Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Luca Potenza will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Manacor Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:45 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Inaki Montes-De La Torre who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Inaki Montes-De La Torre is the pick to win this match.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre -> 1.45
Luca Potenza -> 2.51
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs. Luca Potenza
There is no head to head record between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Luca Potenza since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
38 - 14win/loss
175
175
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47-18 | 16-4 | 27-11 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 40-24 | 20-13 | 15-8 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 15-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-9 | 5-4 | 9-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-11 | 8-7 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 274, Montes-De La Torre got to the semifinal after beating Mathys Erhard 6-2 3-6 6-4, Daniel Rincon 6-2 6-4 and Jack Pinnington Jones 3-6 6-3 3-0 ret..
In the quarter against Pinnington Jones, Montes-De La Torre had a free pass after Pinnington Jones retired on a 3-6 6-3 3-0 . scoreline.
Montes-De La Torre has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (169-79). 7-1 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Montes-De La Torre has an aggregate65-37 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Plovdiv Challenger where he beat Sandro Kopp in the final 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(8).
Inaki has an aggregate 38-14 win-loss record in 2026, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Luca Potenza
21 - 19win/loss
528
357
LWLLWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-25 | 11-10 | 12-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-33 | 53-27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 488, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Daniel Masur 7-6(4) 7-6(5), Carl Emil Overbeck 6-3 6-3, David Jorda Sanchis 7-5 2-6 7-5, Joel Schwaerzler 6-2 6-2 and Edas Butvilas 4-6 7-5 7-6(6).
In the quarter against Butvilas, Luca recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 7-66). During the match Potenza scored 105 points vs Butvilas’s 100. Luca was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Potenza fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Potenza lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Potenza put 65% of his first serves in, winning 76% (50/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Butvilas 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Manacor Challenger - Luca Potenza's projected path
The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Caltanissetta.
Luca has an aggregate 21-19 win-loss record in 2026, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Montes-De La Torre | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 127 |
| Pts | 227-197 | 406-369 |
| Total Points | 424 | 775 |
| Winners | 79 | 172 |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% |
Montes-De La Torre played 3 matches while Potenza competed in 5 matches. Potenza started his run from the qualifications while Montes-De La Torre had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Inaki Montes-De La Torre dropped 2 sets, while Luca Potenza dropped 2 sets. Montes-De La Torre has played 3 set(s) less than Potenza (9 vs 12). Therefore, Montes-De La Torre played 61 games less than Potenza. The Spaniard scored 79 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Luca struck 172 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Montes-De La Torre | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st in | 121/225 | 250/400 |
| %1st in | 54% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 79/121 | 172/250 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 59/104 | 83/150 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Montes-De La Torre managed to score 7 aces (2.3 per match). Potenza managed to score 11 aces (2.2 per match). Montes-De La Torre won 65% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Montes-De La Torre | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/20 | 17/32 |
| % Converted | 65% | 53% |
| Conceded | 23 | 30 |
| Saved | 16 | 20 |
| % Saved | 70% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 10 |
Montes-De La Torre broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Montes-De La Torre lost his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Potenza broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. Potenza conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Montes-De La Torre | |||||
| R1 Erhard |
R2 Rincon |
1/4 Pinnington Jones |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 18 | 21 | 66 | |
| pts | 98-90 | 63-51 | 66-56 | 227-197 | |
| Total points | 188 | 114 | 122 | 424 | |
| Winners | 43 | 19 | 17 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 30% | 26% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 61/100 | 31/66 | 29/59 | 121/225 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 47% | 49% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 43/61 | 19/31 | 17/29 | 79/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 61% | 59% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 23/35 | 17/30 | 59/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 66% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 80% | 100% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 4 | 23 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 9/10 | 1/4 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 90% | 25% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Potenza | |||||||
| Q1 Masur |
Q3 Emil |
R1 Jorda Sanchis |
R2 Schwaerzler |
1/4 Butvilas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-65 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 2-6 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 32 | 16 | 35 | 127 | |
| pts | 83-82 | 67-51 | 92-100 | 59-36 | 105-100 | 406-369 | |
| Total points | 165 | 118 | 192 | 95 | 205 | 775 | |
| Winners | 34 | 30 | 36 | 22 | 50 | 172 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 39% | 37% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 40/59 | 63/106 | 27/45 | 66/101 | 250/400 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 59% | 60% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 30/40 | 36/63 | 22/27 | 50/66 | 172/250 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 75% | 57% | 81% | 76% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 11/19 | 28/43 | 12/18 | 15/35 | 83/150 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 58% | 65% | 67% | 43% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 17/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 50% | 57% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 30 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/3 | 7/10 | 2/2 | 6/10 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 70% | 100% | 60% | 123% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Manacor Challenger
- Alberto Barroso Campos/David Vega HernandezBarroso Campos/David Vega Hernandez – Thomas Fancutt/Seita WatanabeFancutt/Seita Watanabe (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Luca PotenzaPotenza – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
