Edas Butvilas and Luca Potenza will face off in the quarter of the Manacor Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on Court 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Edas Butvilas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Edas Butvilas is the pick to win this match.
Edas Butvilas -> 1.3
Luca Potenza -> 3.14
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Edas Butvilas vs. Luca Potenza
This will be the 2nd time that Edas Butvilas and Luca Potenza play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Potenza (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Potenza won 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Villena Challenger back in 2025.
Edas Butvilas
31 - 22win/loss
199
194
LLLWWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36-29 | 24-14 | 12-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-32 | 20-12 | 2-10 | 10-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-26 | 28-12 | 26-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-23 | 14-9 | 9-9 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 195 (career-high), the Lithuanian got to the quarter after beating Sebastian Ofner 2-6 6-0 3-0 ret. and Remy Bertola 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Butvilas defeated Bertola (6-3 6-7(5) 6-3). During the match, Butvilas scored 99 points vs Bertola’s 85. The Lithuanian was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Butvilas scored 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Edas Butvilas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Butvilas put 65% of his first serves in, winning 75% (51/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Butvilas broke Bertola 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
ATP Manacor Challenger - Edas Butvilas's projected path
Butvilas has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 56% of his matches (153-118). 18-8 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Butvilas has a compiled81-44 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Lexington Challenger where he beat Andre Ilagan in the final 6-2 1-6 7-6(6).
The Lithuanian has a composed 30-22 win-loss record in 2026, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2025. See his history.
Luca Potenza
20 - 19win/loss
528
357
LWLLWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-25 | 11-10 | 12-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-33 | 53-27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 488, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Daniel Masur 7-6(4) 7-6(5), Carl Emil Overbeck 6-3 6-3, David Jorda Sanchis 7-5 2-6 7-5 and Joel Schwaerzler 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Schwaerzler (6-2 6-2). During the match Potenza scored 59 points vs Schwaerzler’s 36. Potenza was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Potenza scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Potenza was quite effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Schwaerzler 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Manacor Challenger - Luca Potenza's projected path
Potenza’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Caltanissetta.
Luca has a composed 20-19 win-loss record in 2026, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Luca has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 92 |
| Pts | 154-125 | 301-269 |
| Total Points | 279 | 570 |
| Winners | 69 | 122 |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% |
Butvilas played 2 matches while Potenza competed in 4 matches. Potenza started his run from the qualifications while Butvilas had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Edas Butvilas dropped 2 sets, while Luca Potenza surrendered 1 set. Butvilas has played 2 set(s) less than Potenza (7 vs 9). Therefore, Butvilas played 44 games less than Potenza. The Lithuanian scored 69 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Luca recorded 122 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 91/154 | 184/299 |
| %1st in | 59% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 69/91 | 122/184 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 30/63 | 68/115 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 59% |
Butvilas bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Potenza blasted 8 aces (2 per match). Butvilas won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 13 |
| Converted | 9/11 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 82% | 50% |
| Conceded | 11 | 20 |
| Saved | 6 | 14 |
| % Saved | 55% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Butvilas broke his opponents 9 times with a 82% conversion rate. Butvilas lost his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Potenza conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Butvilas | ||||
| R1 Ofner |
R2 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-0 3-0 ret. | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 48 | |
| pts | 55-40 | 99-85 | 154-125 | |
| Total points | 95 | 184 | 279 | |
| Winners | 18 | 51 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 23/50 | 68/104 | 91/154 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 51/68 | 69/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 16/36 | 30/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/6 | 9/11 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 83% | 82% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Potenza | ||||||
| Q1 Masur |
Q3 Emil |
R1 Jorda Sanchis |
R2 Schwaerzler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-65 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 2-6 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 32 | 16 | 92 | |
| pts | 83-82 | 67-51 | 92-100 | 59-36 | 301-269 | |
| Total points | 165 | 118 | 192 | 95 | 570 | |
| Winners | 34 | 30 | 36 | 22 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 39% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 40/59 | 63/106 | 27/45 | 184/299 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 59% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 30/40 | 36/63 | 22/27 | 122/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 75% | 57% | 81% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 11/19 | 28/43 | 12/18 | 68/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 58% | 65% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 4/7 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 50% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/3 | 7/10 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 70% | 100% | 155% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Billy HarrisHarris – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
