Edas Butvilas and Luca Potenza will face off in the quarter of the Manacor Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on Court 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Edas Butvilas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Edas Butvilas is the pick to win this match.
Edas Butvilas -> 1.3
Luca Potenza -> 3.14
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Edas Butvilas vs. Luca Potenza
This will be the 2nd time that Edas Butvilas and Luca Potenza play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Potenza (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Potenza won 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Villena Challenger back in 2025.
Edas Butvilas
31 - 22win/loss
198
194
WLLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-25 | 22-10 | 12-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-32 | 20-12 | 2-10 | 10-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-26 | 28-12 | 26-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-23 | 14-9 | 9-9 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 195 (career-high), the Lithuanian got to the quarter after beating Sebastian Ofner 2-6 6-0 3-0 ret. and Remy Bertola 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Butvilas defeated Bertola (6-3 6-7(5) 6-3). During the match, Butvilas scored 99 points vs Bertola’s 85. The Lithuanian was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Butvilas scored 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Edas Butvilas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Butvilas put 65% of his first serves in, winning 75% (51/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Butvilas broke Bertola 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
ATP Manacor Challenger - Edas Butvilas's projected path
Butvilas has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 56% of his matches (153-118). 18-8 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Butvilas has a compiled81-44 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Lexington Challenger where he beat Andre Ilagan in the final 6-2 1-6 7-6(6).
The Lithuanian has a composed 30-22 win-loss record in 2026, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2025. See his history.
Luca Potenza
20 - 19win/loss
538
357
LLLWWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-22 | 9-9 | 11-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-33 | 53-27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 488, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Daniel Masur 7-6(4) 7-6(5), Carl Emil Overbeck 6-3 6-3, David Jorda Sanchis 7-5 2-6 7-5 and Joel Schwaerzler 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Schwaerzler (6-2 6-2). During the match Potenza scored 59 points vs Schwaerzler’s 36. Potenza was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Potenza scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Potenza was quite effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Schwaerzler 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Manacor Challenger - Luca Potenza's projected path
Potenza’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Caltanissetta.
Luca has a composed 20-19 win-loss record in 2026, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Luca has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 92 |
| Pts | 154-125 | 301-269 |
| Total Points | 279 | 570 |
| Winners | 69 | 122 |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% |
Butvilas played 2 matches while Potenza competed in 4 matches. Potenza started his run from the qualifications while Butvilas had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Edas Butvilas dropped 2 sets, while Luca Potenza surrendered 1 set. Butvilas has played 2 set(s) less than Potenza (7 vs 9). Therefore, Butvilas played 44 games less than Potenza. The Lithuanian scored 69 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Luca recorded 122 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 91/154 | 184/299 |
| %1st in | 59% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 69/91 | 122/184 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 30/63 | 68/115 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 59% |
Butvilas bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Potenza blasted 8 aces (2 per match). Butvilas won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 13 |
| Converted | 9/11 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 82% | 50% |
| Conceded | 11 | 20 |
| Saved | 6 | 14 |
| % Saved | 55% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Butvilas broke his opponents 9 times with a 82% conversion rate. Butvilas lost his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Potenza conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Butvilas | ||||
| R1 Ofner |
R2 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-0 3-0 ret. | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 48 | |
| pts | 55-40 | 99-85 | 154-125 | |
| Total points | 95 | 184 | 279 | |
| Winners | 18 | 51 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 23/50 | 68/104 | 91/154 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 51/68 | 69/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 16/36 | 30/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/6 | 9/11 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 83% | 82% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Potenza | ||||||
| Q1 Masur |
Q3 Emil |
R1 Jorda Sanchis |
R2 Schwaerzler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-65 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 2-6 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 32 | 16 | 92 | |
| pts | 83-82 | 67-51 | 92-100 | 59-36 | 301-269 | |
| Total points | 165 | 118 | 192 | 95 | 570 | |
| Winners | 34 | 30 | 36 | 22 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 39% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 40/59 | 63/106 | 27/45 | 184/299 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 59% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 30/40 | 36/63 | 22/27 | 122/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 75% | 57% | 81% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 11/19 | 28/43 | 12/18 | 68/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 58% | 65% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 4/7 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 50% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/3 | 7/10 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 70% | 100% | 155% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Billy HarrisHarris – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
