Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 PM on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.135
Paula Badosa -> 5.7
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 9th time that Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Badosa won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Berlin back in June 2026.
Highlights Paula Badosa vs Cori Gauff – Berlin 17-June-2026
Cori Gauff
42 - 13win/loss
4
2
WWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47-14 | 32-8 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Zeynep Sonmez 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Gauff had a good straight sets win against Sonmez (6-3 6-4). During the match, Gauff scored 69 points vs Sonmez’s 49. Gauff was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gauff recorded 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Cori Gauff was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (29/41) of her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Sonmez 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Gauff has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 71% of her matches (318-129). 26-7 on hard in 2026. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has an overall 185-74 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Cincinnati where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-2 6-4.
Cori has an overall 41-13 win-loss record in 2026, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2023. See her history.
Paula Badosa
23 - 18win/loss
59
2
LWLWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-20 | 12-11 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 18-13 | 13-8 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, Paula got to the 2nd round after defeating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round, Paula had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-1 6-4). During the match Badosa scored 87 points vs Kasatkina’s 69. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Paula Badosa conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 66% of her first serves in, winning 63% (34/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Kasatkina 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Her best result of the season was conquering the title the Bastad where she defeated Simona Waltert in the final 7-5 7-5.
Badosa has a composed 23-17 win-loss record in 2026, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 |
| Pts | 69-49 | 87-69 |
| Total Points | 118 | 156 |
| Winners | 29 | 34 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Gauff and Badosa played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gauff and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gauff played 2 games more than Badosa. Gauff scored 29 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa managed to score 34 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 41/66 | 54/82 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 34/54 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 18/28 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 64% |
Gauff recorded 5 aces . Badosa managed to score 3 aces . Gauff won 71% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/10 |
| % Converted | 50% | 30% |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 80% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The American broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gauff lost her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Paula was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.
| Gauff | |||
| R1 Sonmez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 69-49 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/66 | 41/66 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 29/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Badosa | |||
| R1 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 87-69 | 87-69 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 54/82 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 34/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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