H2H, prediction of Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 27th August 2026

PREVIEW. New York. Samuel and Garin will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 27th of August

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Toby Samuel vs. Cristian Garin

Toby Samuel and Cristian Garin will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 AM on Court 9. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Toby Samuel who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Toby Samuel is the pick to win this match.
Toby Samuel -> 1.46
Cristian Garin -> 2.6

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Toby Samuel vs. Cristian Garin

There is no head to head record between Toby Samuel and Cristian Garin since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Toby Samuel

Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel

41 - 15win/loss

Hard
26-4
I Hard
3-1
Clay
7-5
Grass
5-5
Rank
100
High
95
LLWWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 44-18 29-7 7-5 3-1 5-5 0-0
2025 57-16 49-11 3-1 5-4 0-0 0-0
2024 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 24-14 10-4 0-0 8-6 6-4 0-0
2022 20-5 7-1 0-0 5-1 8-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 110, the Brit reached the qualifications after defeating Francesco Maestrelli 6-7(2) 6-3 6-1 and Billy Harris 4-6 6-1 6-4.

In the qualifications against Harris, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Samuel scored 102 points vs Harris’s 88. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samuel recorded 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Toby Samuel lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Samuel put 51% of his first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (23/48) on the 2nd serve. Samuel broke Harris 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Samuel has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 73% of his matches (143-52). 25-4 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Samuel has an overall93-21 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Hersonissos 1 Challenger where he defeated Harry Wendelken in the final 6-3 6-0 and the Hersonissos 2 Challenger where he defeated Maxim Mrva in the final 6-2 6-3 and the Winnipeg Challenger where he beat Liam Draxl in the final 6-4 6-2.

Toby has a composed 40-15 win-loss record in 2026, 25-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

Samuel
U.S. Open
Samuel's Record

Cristian Garin

Cristian Garin
Cristian Garin

11 - 16win/loss

Hard
2-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-10
Rank
131
High
17
LLWWLLLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 11-17 2-6 9-11 0-0 0-0 0-0
2025 49-22 6-6 39-13 1-1 3-2 0-0
2024 21-24 3-6 13-14 1-1 4-3 0-0
2023 41-25 22-12 18-12 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 18-23 4-5 9-11 1-4 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 135, the Chilean reached the qualifications after defeating Spencer Johnson 7-6(5) 4-6 7-6 and Elias Ymer 6-2 7-6(5).

In the qualifications, Christian had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-2 7-65). During the match Garin scored 79 points vs Ymer’s 62. Christian was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Garin blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 67% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Christian broke Ymer 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Garin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Chilean has an overall 11-15 win-loss record in 2026, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Garin
U.S. Open
Garin's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Samuel
C.Garin
4h:14
4h:14
Time on court​
5h:02
5h:02
!
2h:18
2h:18
Last match​
1h:48
1h:48
2
2
Match played
2
2
56
56
Games Played​
57
57
6
6
Set played​​
5
5
199
199
Total points​
206
206
99.5
99.5
Avg point​
103
103
73
73
Winners
87
87
36.5
36.5
Avg Winners​
43.5
43.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
15
15
7
7
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
9
9
Double Faults
12
12
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
73/104
73/104
1st won total​
87/124
87/124
70%
70%
1st won %
70%
70%
41/80
41/80
2nd won total​
37/77
37/77
51%
51%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
11/24
11/24
BP won
8/21
8/21
5.5/12
5.5/12
Avg BP won
4/10.5
4/10.5
46%
46%
Won
38%
38%
16
16
Conceded
15
15
8
8
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
5
5
Broken
7
7
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
11
11
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samuel Garin
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 5
Tot Games 56 57
Pts 199-167 206-193
Total Points 366 399
Winners 73 87
%Winners 37% 42%

Both Samuel and Garin played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Toby Samuel conceded 2 sets, while Cristian Garin dropped 1 set. Samuel has played 1 set more than Garin (6 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Samuel played 1 game less than Garin. Samuel scored 73 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Christian blasted 87 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samuel Garin
Aces 14 15
Avg per match 7 7.5
1st in 104/184 124/201
%1st in 57% 62%
1st pts 73/104 87/124
%1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 41/80 37/77
%2nd pts 51% 48%

Samuel scored 14 aces (7 per match). Garin made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Samuel won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samuel Garin
Won 11 8
Converted 11/24 8/21
% Converted 46% 38%
Conceded 16 15
Saved 11 8
% Saved 69% 53%
Times Broken 5 7

Toby broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Brit surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.

Samuel
Q1
Maestrelli		 Q2
Harris		 Total
Score 6-72 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 29 27 56
pts 97-79 102-88 199-167
Total points 176 190 366
Winners 40 33 73
%Winners 41% 32% 37%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 14
Double Faults 2 7 9
1st in 54/86 50/98 104/184
% 1st in 63% 51% 57%
1st pts 40/54 33/50 73/104
% 1st pts 74% 66% 70%
2nd pts 18/32 23/48 41/80
% 2nd pts 56% 48% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/10 6/14 11/24
Converted % 50% 43% 46%
Conceded 3 13 16
Saved 2/3 9/13 11
Saved % 67% 69% 68%
Times Broken 1 4 5
Garin
Q1
Johnson		 Q2
Ymer		 Total
Score 7-65 4-6 7-6 6-2 7-65
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 36 21 57
pts 127-131 79-62 206-193
Total points 258 141 399
Winners 53 34 87
%Winners 42% 43% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 5 15
Double Faults 10 2 12
1st in 79/134 45/67 124/201
% 1st in 59% 67% 62%
1st pts 53/79 34/45 87/124
% 1st pts 67% 76% 70%
2nd pts 27/55 10/22 37/77
% 2nd pts 49% 45% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/12 4/9 8/21
Converted % 33% 44% 38%
Conceded 9 6 15
Saved 4/9 4/6 8
Saved % 44% 67% 56%
Times Broken 5 2 7

Head 2 Head

Toby Samuel
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 5Chall
  • 8Minor
Cristian Garin
  • 0Slam
  • 5Main
  • 8Chall
  • 8Minor

Toby
Samuel

1:0

Cristian
Garin

Rank

100

High

95

1Hard0

Rank

131

High

17

Win Loss
Samuel
WWWWWWWWWW
Garin
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
43 - 18
11 - 16
28-7
Hard
2-6
3-1
I Hard
0-0
7-5
Clay
9-10
5-5
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw

Samuel Toby Samuel
More Stats
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Garin Cristian Garin