H2H, prediction of Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jan Kumstat in Hamburg Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 15th August 2026

PREVIEW. Hamburg Challenger. Pucinelli De Almeida and Kumstat will play each other in the semifinal of the Hamburg Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Saturday the 15th of August

Prediction and head to head Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs. Jan Kumstat

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Jan Kumstat will play each other in the semifinal of the Hamburg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan Kumstat who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jan Kumstat is the pick to win this match.
Jan Kumstat -> 1.75
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 1.94

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs. Jan Kumstat

There is no head to head record between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Jan Kumstat since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

29 - 12win/loss

Clay
29-11
Rank
251
High
190
LLWWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 32-17 3-3 29-12 0-2 0-0 0-0
2025 39-26 0-1 39-24 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 38-27 0-1 38-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 20-25 1-3 19-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 29-29 1-3 27-24 0-0 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 281, the Brazilian got to the semifinal after defeating Florian Broska 7-6(1) 3-6 7-5, Max Schoenhaus 6-1 6-3 and Dylan Dietrich 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter against Dietrich, Matheus recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Pucinelli De Almeida scored 111 points vs Dietrich’s 102. Matheus was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pucinelli De Almeida bagged 3 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve 3 times and he saved 16 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 63% of his first serves in, winning 66% (51/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. Matheus broke Dietrich 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pucinelli De Almeida has dropped 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

ATP Hamburg Challenger - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's projected path

Projected draw
SF
F

Pucinelli De Almeida has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (272-179). 29-11 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Pucinelli De Almeida has a composed 250-156 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Quito Challenger where he defeated Hernan Casanova in the final 5-7 6-3 6-2.

The Brazilian has a composed 29-12 win-loss record in 2026, 29-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hamburg Challenger

Matheus has never competed in this tournament before.

Pucinelli De Almeida
Hamburg Challenger
Pucinelli De Almeida's Record

Jan Kumstat

Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat

30 - 13win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
2-2
Clay
22-7
Rank
187
High
184
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 37-14 6-4 29-8 2-2 0-0 0-0
2025 24-18 7-7 17-9 0-1 0-0 0-1
2024 3-4 0-0 0-3 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 347, the Czech reached the semifinal after beating Alan Wazny 6-2 7-6(3), Tom Zeuch 3-6 7-6(2) 6-3, Jamie Mackenzie 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3, Max Houkes 6-4 7-6(4) and Carlos Taberner 7-5 ret..

In the quarter against Taberner, Jan had a free pass after Taberner retired on a 7-5 . scoreline.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Liberec Challenger where he beat Gonzalo Bueno in the final 6-3 6-1.

Jan has a compiled 30-13 win-loss record in 2026, 22-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger
Kumstat's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Pucinelli Almeida
J.Kumstat
6h:27
6h:27
Time on court​
9h:12
9h:12
!
2h:47
2h:47
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
3
3
Match played
!
5
5
79
79
Games Played​
118
118
8
8
Set played​​
12
12
276
276
Total points​
427
427
92
92
Avg point​
85.4
85.4
119
119
Winners
177
177
39.7
39.7
Avg Winners​
35.4
35.4
43%
43%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
48
48
2
2
Avg Aces
9.6
9.6
14
14
Double Faults
13
13
4.7
4.7
Avg Double Faults
2.6
2.6
119/176
119/176
1st won total​
177/216
177/216
68%
68%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
50/99
50/99
2nd won total​
77/142
77/142
51%
51%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
12/29
12/29
BP won
12/54
12/54
4/9.7
4/9.7
Avg BP won
2.4/10.8
2.4/10.8
41%
41%
Won
!
22%
22%
29
29
Conceded
21
21
9.7
9.7
Avg Conceded
4.2
4.2
7
7
Broken
4
4
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
!
0.8
0.8
22
22
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pucinelli De Almeida Kumstat
Match played 3 5
Tot Set 8 12
Tot Games 79 118
Pts 276-248 427-368
Total Points 524 795
Winners 119 177
%Winners 43% 41%

Pucinelli De Almeida played 3 matches while Kumstat competed in 5 matches. Kumstat started his run from the qualifications while Pucinelli De Almeida had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida dropped 2 sets, while Jan Kumstat surrendered 2 sets. Pucinelli De Almeida has played 4 set(s) less than Kumstat (8 vs 12). Therefore, Pucinelli De Almeida played 39 games less than Kumstat. The Brazilian scored 119 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech managed to score 177 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pucinelli De Almeida Kumstat
Aces 6 48
Avg per match 2 9.6
1st in 176/275 216/358
%1st in 64% 60%
1st pts 119/176 177/216
%1st pts 68% 82%
2nd pts 50/99 77/142
%2nd pts 51% 54%

Pucinelli De Almeida bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Kumstat recorded 48 aces (9.6 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida won 68% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kumstat won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pucinelli De Almeida Kumstat
Won 12 12
Converted 12/29 12/54
% Converted 41% 22%
Conceded 29 21
Saved 22 17
% Saved 76% 81%
Times Broken 7 4

The Brazilian broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Pucinelli De Almeida lost his serve 7 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Czech broke his opponents 12 times with a 22% conversion rate. The Czech conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.

Pucinelli De Almeida
R1
Broska
R2
Schoenhaus
1/4
Dietrich
Total
Score 7-61 3-6 7-5 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 34 16 29 79
pts 108-111 57-35 111-102 276-248
Total points 219 92 213 524
Winners 52 16 51 119
%Winners 48% 28% 46% 43%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 3 6
Double Faults 5 0 9 14
1st in 78/109 21/43 77/123 176/275
% 1st in 72% 49% 63% 64%
1st pts 52/78 16/21 51/77 119/176
% 1st pts 67% 76% 66% 68%
2nd pts 15/31 14/22 21/46 50/99
% 2nd pts 48% 64% 46% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 5 4 12
Converted 3/6 5/10 4/13 12/29
Converted % 50% 50% 31% 41%
Conceded 9 1 19 29
Saved 6/9 0/1 16/19 22
Saved % 67% 0% 84% 50%
Times Broken 3 1 3 7
Kumstat
Q1
Wazny
Q3
Zeuch
R1
Mackenzie
R2
Houkes
1/4
Taberner
Total
Score 6-2 7-63 3-6 7-62 6-3 6-75 6-3 6-3 6-4 7-64 7-5 ret.
Tot Set 2 3 3 2 1 11
Tot Games 21 31 31 23 12 118
pts 75-61 107-97 114-98 85-75 46-37 427-368
Total points 136 204 212 160 83 795
Winners 36 41 46 38 16 177
%Winners 48% 38% 40% 45% 35% 41%
SERVE
Aces 9 10 12 11 6 48
Double Faults 3 2 3 3 2 13
1st in 44/66 50/91 56/90 46/72 20/39 216/358
% 1st in 67% 55% 62% 64% 51% 60%
1st pts 36/44 41/50 46/56 38/46 16/20 177/216
% 1st pts 82% 82% 82% 83% 80% 82%
2nd pts 12/22 23/41 18/34 14/26 10/19 77/142
% 2nd pts 55% 56% 53% 54% 53% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 2 4 2 2 12
Converted 2/13 2/8 4/17 2/9 2/7 12/54
Converted % 15% 25% 24% 22% 29% 22%
Conceded 4 5 3 5 4 21
Saved 4/4 4/5 2/3 4/5 3/4 17
Saved % 100% 80% 67% 80% 75% 134%
Times Broken 0 1 1 1 1 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Pucinelli De Almeida
WWWWWWWWWW
Kumstat
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
32 - 15
37 - 14
3-3
Hard
6-4
0-0
I Hard
2-2
29-12
Clay
29-8

Tennis Scores in Hamburg Challenger

  • Admir Kalender/Nino SerdarusicKalender/Nino SerdarusicSergio Martos Gornes/Szymon WalkowMartos Gornes/Szymon Walkow (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

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