Fajing Sun and Semen Pankin will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Astana Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Fajing Sun who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Fajing Sun is the pick to win this match.
Fajing Sun -> 1.81
Semen Pankin -> 1.87
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Fajing Sun vs. Semen Pankin
This will be the 2nd time that Fajing Sun and Semen Pankin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sun (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sun won 6-4 6-1 in the 1st round in the Istanbul Challenger back in August 2026.
Fajing Sun
22 - 21win/loss
299
197
LLWWLWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-27 | 27-23 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 24-24 | 24-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-27 | 42-23 | 7-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-27 | 25-22 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 32-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 326, Fajing reached the 2nd round after beating Zangar Nurlanuly 6-2 3-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, Sun defeated Nurlanuly (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match, Sun scored 88 points vs Nurlanuly’s 73. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sun blasted 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Fajing Sun lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. Fajing broke Nurlanuly 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Sun has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (256-192). 21-17 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sun has a composed 230-161 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Wuning 2 Challenger where he beat Li Tu in the final 5-7 6-4 7-5.
The Chinese has an aggregate 22-21 win-loss record in 2026, 21-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.
Semen Pankin
41 - 15win/loss
425
414
LLWLLLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45-22 | 38-19 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-22 | 24-12 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-10 | 8-4 | 18-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-8 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421, Semen got to the 2nd round after beating Dominik Palan 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round, Semen had a good straight sets win against Palan (6-1 6-4). During the match Pankin scored 58 points vs Palan’s 37. Semen was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about serving, Pankin scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Semen Pankin was exceptionally effective on serve to win 82% (18/22) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pankin broke Palan 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Semen’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Kutaisi.
The Russian has a composed 41-15 win-loss record in 2026, 37-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sun | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 17 |
| Pts | 88-73 | 58-37 |
| Total Points | 161 | 95 |
| Winners | 34 | 18 |
| %Winners | 39% | 31% |
Both Sun and Pankin played 1 match. At the moment, Fajing Sun surrendered 1 set while Semen Pankin hasn’t lost a set so far. Sun has played 1 set more than Pankin (3 vs 2). Therefore, Sun played 8 games more than Pankin. The Chinese scored 34 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Semen scored 18 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sun | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2 |
| 1st in | 49/83 | 22/44 |
| %1st in | 59% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 18/22 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 15/22 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 68% |
Sun fired 6 aces . Pankin bagged 2 aces . Sun won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Pankin won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sun | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 71% | 36% |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Fajing broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Chinese lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Semen conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sun | |||
| R1 Nurlanuly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 88-73 | 88-73 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/83 | 49/83 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 34/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Pankin | |||
| R1 Palan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 58-37 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 22/44 | 22/44 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 18/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Alec DeckersDeckers (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mert AlkayaAlkaya – Sidharth RawatRawat (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jie CuiCui – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Amir OmarkhanovOmarkhanov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Zangar NurlanulyNurlanuly (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Manas Manoj DhamneManoj Dhamne – Vadym UrsuUrsu (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (5-7 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – Colin SinclairSinclair (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Sergey FominFomin – Maxim ZhukovZhukov (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Erik ArutiunianArutiunian – Sanhui ShinShin (6-1 1-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Taisei IchikawaIchikawa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Masamichi ImamuraImamura – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Hayato MatsuokaMatsuoka – Koki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Alexandr BindaBinda (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lucio RattiRatti – Tai SachSach (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Semen PankinPankin – Dominik PalanPalan (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Alec DeckersDeckers (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sergey FominFomin – Maxim ZhukovZhukov (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aziz DougazDougaz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Semen PankinPankin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sergey FominFomin – Kasidit SamrejSamrej (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
