Andre Ilagan and Edas Butvilas will face off in the final of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Edas Butvilas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Edas Butvilas is the pick to win this match.
Edas Butvilas -> 1.45
Andre Ilagan -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Andre Ilagan vs. Edas Butvilas
This will be the 2nd time that Andre Ilagan and Edas Butvilas fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ilagan (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ilagan won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Tyler Challenger back in June 2026.
Andre Ilagan
38 - 22win/loss
184
181
LLLWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42-26 | 27-20 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-33 | 30-27 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 243 (career-high), Andre got to the final after beating Andres Andrade 6-3 6-4, Soon-Woo Kwon 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4, Sebastian Gorzny 7-6(5) 6-4 and Spencer Johnson 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Johnson (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ilagan scored 68 points vs Johnson’s 61. Andre was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ilagan managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andre Ilagan lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ilagan put 70% of his first serves in, winning 67% (31/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Johnson 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ilagan has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
ATP Lexington Challenger - Andre Ilagan's projected path
Ilagan has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (157-96). 23-15 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ilagan has an aggregate128-76 record in the last 5 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Maanshan,the Tyler Challenger and the Lexington Challenger.
Andre has an aggregate 38-21 win-loss record in 2026, 23-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2025. See his history.
Edas Butvilas
28 - 21win/loss
198
194
WLLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-25 | 22-10 | 12-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-32 | 20-12 | 2-10 | 10-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-26 | 28-12 | 26-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-23 | 14-9 | 9-9 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 268, the Lithuanian got to the final after beating Tristan Boyer 6-3 3-6 6-3, Ozan Baris 6-0 6-2, Rei Sakamoto 7-6(5) 3-6 7-5 and Dusan Lajovic 6-2 6-7(5) 6-2.
In the semifinal, Edas defeated Lajovic (6-2 6-75 6-2). During the match Butvilas scored 103 points vs Lajovic’s 78. Edas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Butvilas fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Edas Butvilas was quite effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Lithuanian broke Lajovic 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Lithuanian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Lexington Challenger - Edas Butvilas's projected path
Edas’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Lexington Challenger.
Edas has a composed 27-21 win-loss record in 2026, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Butvilas has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ilagan | Butvilas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 104 |
| Pts | 266-244 | 337-286 |
| Total Points | 510 | 623 |
| Winners | 122 | 141 |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% |
Both Ilagan and Butvilas played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andre Ilagan lost 1 set, while Edas Butvilas conceded 3 sets. Ilagan has played 2 set(s) less than Butvilas (9 vs 11). Therefore, Ilagan played 10 games less than Butvilas. The American scored 122 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Lithuanian fired 141 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ilagan | Butvilas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 6.8 |
| 1st in | 181/289 | 190/309 |
| %1st in | 63% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 122/181 | 141/190 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 55/108 | 66/119 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 55% |
Ilagan bagged 16 aces (4 per match). Butvilas bagged 27 aces (6.8 per match). Ilagan won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Butvilas won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ilagan | Butvilas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 18 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 18/35 |
| % Converted | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded | 25 | 17 |
| Saved | 19 | 9 |
| % Saved | 76% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Ilagan broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ilagan lost his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Edas broke his opponents 18 times with a 51% conversion rate. Edas conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ilagan | ||||||
| R1 Andrade |
R2 Kwon |
1/4 Gorzny |
1/2 Johnson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 7-64 6-4 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 32 | 23 | 20 | 94 | |
| pts | 71-58 | 127-125 | 0-0 | 68-61 | 266-244 | |
| Total points | 129 | 252 | 0 | 129 | 510 | |
| Winners | 34 | 57 | 0 | 31 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 0% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 93/158 | 0/0 | 46/66 | 181/289 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 0% | 70% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 57/93 | 0/0 | 31/46 | 122/181 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 61% | 0% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 32/65 | 0/0 | 11/20 | 55/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 49% | 0% | 55% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 25 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 15/20 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | – | 67% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Butvilas | ||||||
| R1 Boyer |
R2 Baris |
1/4 Sakamoto |
1/2 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 6-0 6-2 | 7-65 3-6 7-5 | 6-2 6-75 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 104 | |
| pts | 80-74 | 57-34 | 97-100 | 103-78 | 337-286 | |
| Total points | 154 | 91 | 197 | 181 | 623 | |
| Winners | 31 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% | 46% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 47/81 | 24/42 | 62/97 | 57/89 | 190/309 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 64% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 20/24 | 45/62 | 45/57 | 141/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 83% | 73% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 9/18 | 17/35 | 19/32 | 66/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 50% | 49% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/8 | 4/6 | 5/13 | 18/35 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 63% | 67% | 38% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 1/1 | 0/4 | 2/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andre IlaganIlagan – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
