Lorenzo Giustino and Matej Dodig will face off in the 2nd round of the Hagen Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on PLATZMANN CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matej Dodig who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matej Dodig is the pick to win this match.
Matej Dodig -> 1.615
Lorenzo Giustino -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Giustino vs. Matej Dodig
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Giustino and Matej Dodig square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Giustino (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Giustino won 4-6 7-6(4) 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Todi Challenger back in 2024.
Lorenzo Giustino
21 - 22win/loss
207
127
LLWWWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-25 | 9-8 | 16-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-32 | 9-5 | 47-23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-33 | 7-5 | 47-23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 14-16 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-37 | 3-5 | 19-26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 198, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 3-6 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the 1st round against Sachko, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 6-4).During the match, Giustino scored less points (1) than Sachko. In fact, the world no. 198 won 100 points vs Sachko’s. That means that Giustino was more focused during the important points. Giustino was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Giustino made 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 61% of his first serves in, winning 72% (47/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. Giustino broke Sachko 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Giustino has positive record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (340-318). 12-14 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Giustino has a compiled 257-211 record in the last years on clay.
Lorenzo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Liege Challenger.
Lorenzo has a compiled 21-22 win-loss record in 2026, 12-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Hagen Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
Matej Dodig
20 - 16win/loss
174
171
LLWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-20 | 0-4 | 25-11 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 36-32 | 0-0 | 24-22 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-26 | 14-5 | 30-20 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-16 | 1-2 | 38-12 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 257, Dodig got to the 2nd round after defeating Jannik Opitz 7-6(7) 6-2, Oleksii Krutykh 6-4 7-5 and Stefano Travaglia 7-5 6-3.
In the 1st round, Matej had a good straight sets win against Travaglia (7-5 6-3). During the match Dodig scored 72 points vs Travaglia’s 53. Matej was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Dodig blasted 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matej Dodig was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 86% (18/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Croatian broke Travaglia twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
The Croatian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger.
Dodig has an overall 20-16 win-loss record in 2026, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Hagen Challenger
The Croatian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Giustino | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 64 |
| Pts | 100-101 | 219-173 |
| Total Points | 201 | 392 |
| Winners | 47 | 85 |
| %Winners | 47% | 39% |
Giustino played 1 match while Dodig competed in 3 matches. Dodig started his run from the qualifications while Giustino had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Giustino dropped 1 set while Matej Dodig hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Giustino has played 3 set(s) less than Dodig (3 vs 6). Therefore, Giustino played 32 games less than Dodig. The Italian scored 47 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian scored 85 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Giustino | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 65/107 | 107/179 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 47/65 | 85/107 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 19/42 | 48/72 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 67% |
Giustino made 7 aces . Dodig managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Giustino won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Dodig won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Giustino | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 56% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Giustino broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Dodig broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Dodig conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Giustino | |||
| R1 Sachko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 100-101 | 100-101 | |
| Total points | 201 | 201 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 65/107 | 65/107 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 47/65 | 47/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/42 | 19/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Dodig | |||||
| Q1 Opitz |
Q3 Krutykh |
R1 Travaglia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 22 | 21 | 64 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 71-55 | 72-53 | 219-173 | |
| Total points | 141 | 126 | 125 | 392 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 26 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 39/66 | 34/58 | 34/55 | 107/179 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 29/34 | 26/34 | 85/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 85% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 14/24 | 18/21 | 48/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 58% | 86% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/6 | 2/10 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 20% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Hagen Challenger
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