Arantxa Rus and Elina Avanesyan will fight against each other in the 1st round of the MSC Hamburg Ladies Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on M1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elina Avanesyan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elina Avanesyan is the pick to win this match.
Elina Avanesyan -> 1.47
Arantxa Rus -> 2.67
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Arantxa Rus vs. Elina Avanesyan
This will be the 3rd time that Arantxa Rus and Elina Avanesyan square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Rus (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Rus won 6-1 6-2 in the semifinal in the W60 San Bartolome de Tirajana back in 2021.
Arantxa Rus
12 - 17win/loss
258
41
LWWWLLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-25 | 10-7 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-37 | 11-12 | 28-20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-33 | 14-14 | 19-13 | 2-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 57-22 | 10-10 | 43-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 9-10 | 29-17 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, Rus reached the 1st round after beating Ekaterina Kazionova 6-4 6-0 and Chloe Paquet 1-6 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications against Paquet, The Dutch recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Rus scored less points (11) than Paquet. In fact, the world no. 187 won 77 points vs Paquet’s. That means that Rus was more focused during the important points. Arantxa was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rus struck 2 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Arantxa Rus lost the serve 5 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Rus put 80% of her first serves in, winning 56% (39/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Rus broke Paquet 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rus started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points she played.
WTA Hamburg - Arantxa Rus's projected path
Rus has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (407-263). 8-11 on clay in 2026. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rus has an overall 247-117 record in the last years on clay.
Rus has an aggregate 12-17 win-loss record in 2026, 8-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2023. See her history.
Elina Avanesyan
26 - 14win/loss
155
36
LWLLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29-17 | 2-3 | 26-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 12-16 | 10-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 12-13 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-24 | 7-12 | 20-9 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-26 | 11-7 | 25-17 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 208, Avanesyan got to the 1st round after defeating Dalila Jakupovic 4-2 ret. and Varvara Lepchenko 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the qualifications against Lepchenko, The Armenian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-3). During the match Avanesyan and Lepchenko scored the same amount of points (101). However, the world no. 187 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Elina was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Avanesyan was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Elina Avanesyan lost the serve 5 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Avanesyan put 70% of her first serves in, winning 67% (43/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (10/28) on the 2nd serve. Avanesyan broke Lepchenko 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
WTA Hamburg - Elina Avanesyan's projected path
Her best result of the season was conquering the title the W100 Zagreb where she defeated Kajsa Rinaldo Persson in the final 6-1 6-3.
Avanesyan has an aggregate 26-14 win-loss record in 2026, 24-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
The Armenian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rus | Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 38 |
| Pts | 149-136 | 130-124 |
| Total Points | 285 | 254 |
| Winners | 68 | 53 |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% |
Both Rus and Avanesyan played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Arantxa Rus surrendered 1 set, while Elina Avanesyan conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rus and Avanesyan have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Rus played 5 games more than Avanesyan. Arantxa scored 68 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Elina made 53 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rus | Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 125/150 | 85/117 |
| %1st in | 83% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 68/125 | 53/85 |
| %1st pts | 54% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 13/32 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 41% |
Rus fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Avanesyan didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rus won 54% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Avanesyan won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rus | Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 8 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 24 | 9 |
| Saved | 16 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 |
Rus broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arantxa lost her serve 8 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Elina broke her opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Avanesyan conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rus | ||||
| Q1 Kazionova |
Q3 Paquet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 1-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 43 | |
| pts | 72-48 | 77-88 | 149-136 | |
| Total points | 120 | 165 | 285 | |
| Winners | 29 | 39 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 51% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/63 | 70/87 | 125/150 | |
| % 1st in | 87% | 80% | 83% | |
| 1st pts | 29/55 | 39/70 | 68/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 56% | 54% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 8/17 | 13/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 4/8 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 15 | 24 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 10/15 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Avanesyan | ||||
| Q1 Jakupovic |
Q3 Lepchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-2 ret. | 4-6 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 6 | 32 | 38 | |
| pts | 29-23 | 101-101 | 130-124 | |
| Total points | 52 | 202 | 254 | |
| Winners | 10 | 43 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 21/25 | 64/92 | 85/117 | |
| % 1st in | 84% | 70% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 10/21 | 43/64 | 53/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 48% | 67% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/4 | 10/28 | 13/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 36% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 6/14 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 17% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Kaitlin QuevedoQuevedo (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Julia StusekStusek – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar – Marcus Daniell/Philipp OswaldDaniell/Philipp Oswald (6-2 4-6 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz – Veronika ErjavecErjavec (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Arantxa RusRus – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mona BarthelBarthel – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Alina CharaevaCharaeva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona WaltertWaltert – Mayar SherifSherif (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Katarzyna KawaKawa – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
