H2H, prediction of Adam Walton vs Jacob Fearnley in Newport Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 12th July 2026

PREVIEW. Newport Challenger. Walton and Fearnley will clash against each other in the final of the Newport Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 12th of July

Prediction and head to head Adam Walton vs. Jacob Fearnley

Adam Walton and Jacob Fearnley will clash against each other in the final of the Newport Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 9:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.81
Adam Walton -> 1.87

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Adam Walton vs. Jacob Fearnley

There is no head to head record between Adam Walton and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Adam Walton

Adam Walton
Adam Walton

32 - 22win/loss

Hard
23-14
I Hard
0-1
Clay
2-3
Grass
7-4
Rank
98
High
74
LLWWWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 41-31 32-23 2-3 0-1 7-4 0-0
2025 36-34 32-23 2-2 1-4 1-5 0-0
2024 54-37 46-27 0-2 4-3 4-5 0-0
2023 56-30 53-26 0-1 3-3 0-0 0-0
2022 41-12 41-10 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 85, Adam got to the final after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-3, Bernard Tomic 6-4 4-6 6-2, Arthur Gea 6-4 6-4 and Alex Michelsen 7-6(2) 6-4.

In the semifinal, Adam had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (7-62 6-4). During the match, Walton scored 84 points vs Michelsen’s 74. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Walton blasted 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Adam Walton lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Walton put 67% of his first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Michelsen 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Adam has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

ATP Newport Challenger - Adam Walton's projected path

Projected draw

Walton has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (228-139). 7-3 on grass in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Walton has a compiled12-13 match record in the last 8 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tyler Challenger where he overcame Andre Ilagan in the final 7-5 6-1.

The Australian has an aggregate 32-21 win-loss record in 2026, 7-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Newport Challenger

The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.

Walton
Newport Challenger
Walton's Record

Jacob Fearnley

Jacob Fearnley
Jacob Fearnley

18 - 17win/loss

Hard
4-8
I Hard
1-2
Clay
2-3
Grass
11-4
Rank
96
High
49
LWLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 30-24 16-15 2-3 1-2 11-4 0-0
2025 33-27 11-10 10-6 9-7 3-4 0-0
2024 45-9 10-2 0-0 26-4 9-3 0-0
2023 17-4 0-0 0-0 16-2 1-2 0-0
2022 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 159, the Brit got to the final after beating Mark Lajal 7-5 3-6 6-1, Stefan Kozlov 3-6 6-3 6-2, Darwin Blanch 6-3 6-3 and Alexis Galarneau 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Galarneau, Fearnley recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-3 6-4). During the match Fearnley scored 104 points vs Galarneau’s 95. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.

About the serving games, Fearnley recorded 5 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 61% of his first serves in, winning 77% (48/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Galarneau 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jacob has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

ATP Newport Challenger - Jacob Fearnley's projected path

Projected draw

Jacob’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Ilkley Challenger and the Newport Challenger.

Jacob has an aggregate 17-17 win-loss record in 2026, 10-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Fearnley
Newport Challenger
Fearnley's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Walton
J.Fearnley
6h:08
6h:08
Time on court​
7h:58
7h:58
1h:49
1h:49
Last match​
!
2h:20
2h:20
4
4
Match played
4
4
87
87
Games Played​
104
104
9
9
Set played​​
11
11
297
297
Total points​
348
348
74.3
74.3
Avg point​
87
87
114
114
Winners
142
142
28.5
28.5
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
38%
38%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
23
23
Aces
12
12
5.8
5.8
Avg Aces
3
3
5
5
Double Faults
30
30
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
!
7.5
7.5
114/153
114/153
1st won total​
142/192
142/192
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
55/105
55/105
2nd won total​
50/126
50/126
52%
52%
2nd won %
40%
40%
-- Break Points --
18/36
18/36
BP won
23/43
23/43
4.5/9
4.5/9
Avg BP won
5.8/10.8
5.8/10.8
50%
50%
Won
!
53%
53%
16
16
Conceded
34
34
4
4
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
9
9
Broken
14
14
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
7
7
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Walton Fearnley
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 11
Tot Games 87 104
Pts 297-240 348-307
Total Points 537 655
Winners 114 142
%Winners 38% 41%

Both Walton and Fearnley played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Adam Walton surrendered 1 set, while Jacob Fearnley conceded 3 sets. Walton has played 2 set(s) less than Fearnley (9 vs 11). Therefore, Walton played 17 games less than Fearnley. Adam scored 114 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Jacob bagged 142 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Walton Fearnley
Aces 23 12
Avg per match 5.8 3
1st in 153/258 192/318
%1st in 59% 60%
1st pts 114/153 142/192
%1st pts 75% 74%
2nd pts 55/105 50/126
%2nd pts 52% 40%

Walton recorded 23 aces (5.8 per match). Fearnley scored 12 aces (3 per match). Walton won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Walton Fearnley
Won 18 23
Converted 18/36 23/43
% Converted 50% 53%
Conceded 16 34
Saved 7 20
% Saved 44% 59%
Times Broken 9 14

The Australian broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Adam conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 23 times with a 53% conversion rate. Fearnley conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.

Walton
R1
Mcdonald
R2
Tomic
1/4
Gea
1/2
Michelsen
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-4 7-62 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 16 28 20 23 87
pts 58-33 86-72 69-61 84-74 297-240
Total points 91 158 130 158 537
Winners 17 31 30 36 114
%Winners 29% 36% 43% 43% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 12 5 2 23
Double Faults 2 2 1 0 5
1st in 21/40 40/79 40/61 52/78 153/258
% 1st in 53% 51% 66% 67% 59%
1st pts 17/21 31/40 30/40 36/52 114/153
% 1st pts 81% 78% 75% 69% 75%
2nd pts 13/19 24/39 6/21 12/26 55/105
% 2nd pts 68% 62% 29% 46% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 4 18
Converted 5/6 4/7 5/12 4/11 18/36
Converted % 83% 57% 42% 36% 50%
Conceded 3 5 5 3 16
Saved 2/3 3/5 2/5 0/3 7
Saved % 67% 60% 40% 0% 42%
Times Broken 1 2 3 3 9
Fearnley
R1
Lajal
R2
Kozlov
1/4
Blanch
1/2
Galarneau
Total
Score 7-5 3-6 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-72 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 28 26 18 32 104
pts 98-87 84-76 62-49 104-95 348-307
Total points 185 160 111 199 655
Winners 37 33 24 48 142
%Winners 38% 39% 39% 46% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 0 5 12
Double Faults 9 6 6 9 30
1st in 51/90 49/77 30/50 62/101 192/318
% 1st in 57% 64% 60% 61% 60%
1st pts 37/51 33/49 24/30 48/62 142/192
% 1st pts 73% 67% 80% 77% 74%
2nd pts 16/39 10/28 7/20 17/39 50/126
% 2nd pts 41% 36% 35% 44% 40%
Breaks
Won 6 7 5 5 23
Converted 6/10 7/12 5/10 5/11 23/43
Converted % 60% 58% 50% 45% 53%
Conceded 14 8 2 10 34
Saved 10/14 3/8 0/2 7/10 20
Saved % 71% 38% 0% 70% 45%
Times Broken 4 5 2 3 14

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Walton
WWWWWWWWWW
Fearnley
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
41 - 31
29 - 24
32-23
Hard
16-15
2-3
Clay
2-3
7-4
Grass
11-4
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw