Jacob Fearnley and Alexis Galarneau will square off in the semifinal of the Newport Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.33
Alexis Galarneau -> 2.98
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Alexis Galarneau
There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Alexis Galarneau since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jacob Fearnley
17 - 17win/loss
96
49
LWLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-24 | 16-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-27 | 11-10 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 159, Jacob got to the semifinal after defeating Mark Lajal 7-5 3-6 6-1, Stefan Kozlov 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Darwin Blanch 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Fearnley had a good straight sets win against Blanch (6-3 6-3). During the match, Fearnley scored 62 points vs Blanch’s 49. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fearnley couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 6 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Fearnley put 60% of his first serves in, winning 80% (24/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Blanch 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jacob has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Newport Challenger - Jacob Fearnley's projected path
Fearnley has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of his matches (122-63). 9-4 on grass in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fearnley has an overall22-13 match record in the last 6 years on grass.
The Brit’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Ilkley Challenger.
Fearnley has a compiled 16-17 win-loss record in 2026, 9-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Newport Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexis Galarneau
30 - 19win/loss
184
153
LLLWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37-28 | 19-18 | 3-2 | 7-3 | 8-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 37-32 | 24-18 | 1-3 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-26 | 15-12 | 8-6 | 12-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 20-18 | 3-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-28 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 179, the Canadian got to the semifinal after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 4-6 6-4 7-6(4), Adrian Mannarino 6-3 3-6 7-6(5) and Daniel Milavsky 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Galarneau had a good straight sets win against Milavsky (6-3 6-2). During the match Galarneau scored 62 points vs Milavsky’s 47. The Canadian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Galarneau struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alexis Galarneau was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexis broke Milavsky 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexis has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Newport Challenger - Alexis Galarneau's projected path
Galarneau’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Baton Rouge Challenger and the Metepec Challenger.
Alexis has a compiled 30-18 win-loss record in 2026, 8-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fearnley | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 81 |
| Pts | 244-212 | 243-224 |
| Total Points | 456 | 467 |
| Winners | 94 | 88 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Both Fearnley and Galarneau played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jacob Fearnley lost 2 sets, while Alexis Galarneau lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Fearnley and Galarneau have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Fearnley played 9 games less than Galarneau. Jacob scored 94 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Galarneau scored 88 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fearnley | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 130/217 | 119/239 |
| %1st in | 60% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 94/130 | 88/119 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 33/87 | 68/120 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 57% |
Fearnley recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Galarneau made 14 aces (4.7 per match). Fearnley won 72% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Galarneau won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fearnley | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 12 |
| Converted | 18/32 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 56% | 60% |
| Conceded | 24 | 18 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 54% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 9 |
Fearnley broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. Galarneau broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fearnley | |||||
| R1 Lajal |
R2 Kozlov |
1/4 Blanch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 | 18 | 72 | |
| pts | 98-87 | 84-76 | 62-49 | 244-212 | |
| Total points | 185 | 160 | 111 | 456 | |
| Winners | 37 | 33 | 24 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 6 | 6 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 51/90 | 49/77 | 30/50 | 130/217 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 64% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 33/49 | 24/30 | 94/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 67% | 80% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/39 | 10/28 | 7/20 | 33/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 36% | 35% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 7/12 | 5/10 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 58% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 8 | 2 | 24 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 3/8 | 0/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 38% | 0% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Galarneau | |||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Mannarino |
1/4 Milavsky |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 3-6 7-65 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 31 | 17 | 81 | |
| pts | 94-92 | 87-85 | 62-47 | 243-224 | |
| Total points | 186 | 172 | 109 | 467 | |
| Winners | 32 | 35 | 21 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 45/97 | 45/86 | 29/56 | 119/239 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 52% | 52% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 35/45 | 21/29 | 88/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 78% | 72% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/52 | 20/41 | 16/27 | 68/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 49% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/6 | 4/7 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 67% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 2/6 | 4/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 33% | 80% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Newport Challenger
- Adam WaltonWalton – Arthur GeaGea (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Daniel MilavskyMilavsky (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Hans Hach Verdugo/Luis David MartinezHach Verdugo/Luis David Martinez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Daniel MilavskyMilavsky (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
