Alex Michelsen and Adam Walton will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Newport Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.43
Adam Walton -> 2.58
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Adam Walton
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Adam Walton since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
21 - 16win/loss
35
30
LLWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-21 | 25-11 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-27 | 14-13 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Michelsen reached the semifinal after defeating Hayato Matsuoka 6-1 6-4, Jason Jung 6-1 6-3 and Liam Broady 6-3 7-6(6).
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Broady (6-3 7-66). During the match, Michelsen scored 78 points vs Broady’s 65. Michelsen was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michelsen bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex Michelsen was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Broady twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
ATP Newport Challenger - Alex Michelsen's projected path
Michelsen has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (179-113). 3-1 on grass in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has a compiled23-15 win-loss record in the last 5 years on grass.
Michelsen has a compiled 21-15 win-loss record in 2026, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Newport Challenger
Michelsen has never competed in this tournament before.
Adam Walton
32 - 21win/loss
98
74
LLWWWLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41-31 | 32-23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 36-34 | 32-23 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-37 | 46-27 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-30 | 53-26 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-12 | 41-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85, Walton reached the semifinal after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-3, Bernard Tomic 6-4 4-6 6-2 and Arthur Gea 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Gea (6-4 6-4). During the match Walton scored 69 points vs Gea’s 61. Walton was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Walton blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Adam Walton lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Walton put 66% of his first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 29% (6/21) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Gea 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Walton has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
ATP Newport Challenger - Adam Walton's projected path
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tyler Challenger where he defeated Andre Ilagan in the final 7-5 6-1.
Walton has an overall 31-21 win-loss record in 2026, 6-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Walton |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 64 |
| Pts | 205-146 | 213-166 |
| Total Points | 351 | 379 |
| Winners | 77 | 78 |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% |
Both Michelsen and Walton played 3 matches. At the moment, Adam Walton lost 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t conceded a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set(s) less than Walton (6 vs 7). Therefore, Michelsen played 9 games less than Walton. Michelsen scored 77 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Adam blasted 78 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Walton |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 7 |
| 1st in | 107/166 | 101/180 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 77/107 | 78/101 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 41/59 | 43/79 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 54% |
Michelsen struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Walton managed to score 21 aces (7 per match). Michelsen won 72% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Walton won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Walton |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 14/25 |
| % Converted | 55% | 56% |
| Conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
The American broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Alex lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. Adam conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||||
| R1 Matsuoka |
R2 Jung |
1/4 Broady |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 22 | 55 | |
| pts | 67-45 | 60-36 | 78-65 | 205-146 | |
| Total points | 112 | 96 | 143 | 351 | |
| Winners | 23 | 20 | 34 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/55 | 29/45 | 43/66 | 107/166 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 20/29 | 34/43 | 77/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 69% | 79% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 12/16 | 15/23 | 41/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 75% | 65% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/7 | 2/6 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 71% | 33% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 67% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Walton | |||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Tomic |
1/4 Gea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 | 20 | 64 | |
| pts | 58-33 | 86-72 | 69-61 | 213-166 | |
| Total points | 91 | 158 | 130 | 379 | |
| Winners | 17 | 31 | 30 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 36% | 43% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 12 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 21/40 | 40/79 | 40/61 | 101/180 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 51% | 66% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 31/40 | 30/40 | 78/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 78% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 24/39 | 6/21 | 43/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 62% | 29% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/7 | 5/12 | 14/25 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 57% | 42% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 40% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Newport Challenger
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Daniel MilavskyMilavsky (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Hans Hach Verdugo/Luis David MartinezHach Verdugo/Luis David Martinez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Arthur GeaGea (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Daniel MilavskyMilavsky (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Arthur GeaGea (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
