Andre Ilagan and Alex Rybakov will play each other in the qualifications of the Newport Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andre Ilagan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andre Ilagan is the pick to win this match.
Andre Ilagan -> 1.84
Alex Rybakov -> 1.84
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Andre Ilagan vs. Alex Rybakov
This will be the 3rd time that Andre Ilagan and Alex Rybakov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Ilagan and Rybakov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Rybakov won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the semifinal in the Las Vegas Challenger back in 2025.
Andre Ilagan
31 - 17win/loss
194
181
LLWWLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-28 | 29-22 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-33 | 30-27 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 263, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Connor Plunkett 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Andre had a good straight sets win against Plunkett (6-3 6-4). During the match, Ilagan scored 69 points vs Plunkett’s 55. Andre was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ilagan made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andre Ilagan was very efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ilagan broke Plunkett 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Ilagan has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (150-92). 1-0 on grass in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ilagan has an aggregate1-0 win-loss record in the last 5 years on grass.
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Maanshan and the Tyler Challenger.
Andre has a composed 31-17 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Newport Challenger
Andre has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Rybakov
10 - 15win/loss
707
261
LWLWLWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-23 | 7-11 | 6-5 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 47-26 | 24-13 | 8-6 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 432, Alex reached the qualifications after defeating Tung-Lin Wu 6-4 7-6(8).
In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Wu (6-4 7-68). During the match Rybakov scored 92 points vs Wu’s 81. Rybakov was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Rybakov recorded 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Rybakov lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 65% of his first serves in, winning 72% (38/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Wu 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Vero Beach.
Rybakov has a compiled 10-15 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ilagan | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 |
| Pts | 69-55 | 92-81 |
| Total Points | 124 | 173 |
| Winners | 29 | 38 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Ilagan and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ilagan and Rybakov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ilagan played 4 games less than Rybakov. Andre scored 29 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakov recorded 38 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ilagan | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 40/57 | 53/81 |
| %1st in | 70% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 38/53 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 14/28 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 50% |
Ilagan managed to score 3 aces . Rybakov made 6 aces . Ilagan won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ilagan | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 30% | 38% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Andre broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Andre conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Rybakov conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ilagan | |||
| Q1 Plunkett |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 69-55 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/57 | 40/57 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 29/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 10/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Wu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 92-81 | 92-81 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 53/81 | 53/81 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 38/53 | 38/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 14/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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