Henrique Rocha and Timofey Skatov will square off in the semifinal of the Perugia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.42
Timofey Skatov -> 2.61
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Timofey Skatov
There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Timofey Skatov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Henrique Rocha
22 - 13win/loss
116
116
LWWLWLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-23 | 4-6 | 24-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 34-29 | 16-9 | 16-17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-33 | 10-7 | 27-22 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-27 | 47-11 | 17-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119, the Portuguese reached the semifinal after beating Enrico Dalla Valle 6-4 7-6(7), Dusan Lajovic 6-4 7-5 and Remy Bertola 6-2 4-6 6-2.
In the quarter, Henrique defeated Bertola (6-2 4-6 6-2). During the match, Rocha scored 79 points vs Bertola’s 67. Rocha was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rocha fired 4 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Henrique Rocha lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 59% of his first serves in, winning 75% (33/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Rocha broke Bertola 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Portuguese has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Perugia Challenger - Henrique Rocha's projected path
Rocha has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (182-132). 20-9 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rocha has an aggregate91-76 record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Brasilia Challenger where he overcame Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 6-4 6-4.
Rocha has a composed 22-13 win-loss record in 2026, 20-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Perugia Challenger
Rocha has never competed in this tournament before.
Timofey Skatov
22 - 16win/loss
199
123
LLWLLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-29 | 9-6 | 18-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-32 | 6-11 | 22-19 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-23 | 5-7 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 189, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after beating Vilius Gaubas 4-6 6-4 6-2, Chun Hsin Tseng 6-7(2) 7-6(7) 7-6(4) and Marco Cecchinato 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Skatov had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (6-4 6-4). During the match Skatov scored 79 points vs Cecchinato’s 66. Timofey was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Skatov scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Timofey Skatov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 64% of his first serves in, winning 61% (27/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Cecchinato 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Skatov has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Perugia Challenger - Timofey Skatov's projected path
Timofey’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Bengaluru Challenger and the Shymkent 1 Challenger.
Skatov has an overall 22-16 win-loss record in 2026, 12-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rocha | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 87 |
| Pts | 234-213 | 316-293 |
| Total Points | 447 | 609 |
| Winners | 95 | 134 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Rocha and Skatov played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Henrique Rocha dropped 1 set, while Timofey Skatov lost 2 sets. Rocha has played 1 set(s) less than Skatov (7 vs 8). Therefore, Rocha played 16 games less than Skatov. Henrique scored 95 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani blasted 134 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rocha | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 127/226 | 216/309 |
| %1st in | 56% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 95/127 | 134/216 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 49/99 | 47/93 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 51% |
Rocha blasted 7 aces (2.3 per match). Skatov bagged 7 aces (2.3 per match). Rocha won 75% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rocha | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 15 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 15/38 |
| % Converted | 52% | 39% |
| Conceded | 19 | 37 |
| Saved | 13 | 26 |
| % Saved | 68% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 11 |
The Portuguese broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Rocha surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Skatov broke his opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rocha | |||||
| R1 Dalla Valle |
R2 Lajovic |
1/4 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-67 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 26 | 71 | |
| pts | 80-79 | 75-67 | 79-67 | 234-213 | |
| Total points | 159 | 142 | 146 | 447 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 33 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 46/82 | 37/70 | 44/74 | 127/226 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 53% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 27/37 | 33/44 | 95/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 73% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 17/33 | 13/30 | 49/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 52% | 43% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 4/9 | 6/8 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 44% | 75% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 57% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Skatov | |||||
| R1 Gaubas |
R2 Hsin |
1/4 Cecchinato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-72 7-67 7-64 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 39 | 20 | 87 | |
| pts | 100-87 | 137-140 | 79-66 | 316-293 | |
| Total points | 187 | 277 | 145 | 609 | |
| Winners | 39 | 68 | 27 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 50% | 34% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/93 | 112/147 | 44/69 | 216/309 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 76% | 64% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 39/60 | 68/112 | 27/44 | 134/216 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 61% | 61% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 18/35 | 11/25 | 47/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 51% | 44% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/14 | 6/13 | 15/38 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 29% | 46% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 15 | 12 | 37 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 11/15 | 8/12 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 73% | 67% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Perugia Challenger
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Remy BertolaBertola (6-2 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Ryan Seggerman/Theodore WinegarSeggerman/Theodore Winegar – Francesco Forti/Giorgio RiccaForti/Giorgio Ricca (6-4 6-74 10-5) – See score progression
- Mac Kiger/Reese StalderKiger/Reese Stalder – Pruchya Isarow/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaIsarow/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Remy BertolaBertola (6-2 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
