Rafael Nadal and Cameron Norrie will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.018
Cameron Norrie -> 20.5
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Cameron Norrie
There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Cameron Norrie since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, Rafael got to the 3rd round after beating Laslo Djere 6-3 6-4 6-1 and Michael Mmoh 6-1 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Mmoh (6-1 6-4 6-2). During the match Nadal scored 86 points vs Mmoh’s 54. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rafael Nadal was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (43/51) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nadal broke Mmoh 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (465-88). 2-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a 190-44 record in the last years on hard.
The Spaniard has a 2-0 win-loss record in 2021, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Spaniard had to surrender in the quarter to Dominic Thiem.
Cameron Norrie
Ranked no. 69, Norrie got to the 3rd round after defeating Daniel Evans 6-4 4-6 6-4 7-5 and Roman Safiullin 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-63.
In the 2nd round against Safiullin, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-3 7-63). During the match Norrie scored 150 points vs Safiullin’s 138. Cameron was extremely aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Talking about serving, Norrie recorded 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 71% of his first serves in, winning 72% (69/96) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. Norrie broke Safiullin 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Norrie has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Cameron’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
The Brit has a 5-2 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Brit lost in the 1st round to Pierre-Hugues Herbert.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 85 |
| Pts | 173-114 | 292-264 |
| Total Points | 287 | 556 |
| Winners | 83 | 126 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Nadal and Norrie played 2 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie dropped 2 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nadal has played 2 set(s) less than Norrie (6 vs 8). Therefore, Nadal played 34 games less than Norrie. The Spaniard scored 83 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Norrie fired 126 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 8 |
| 1st in | 99/139 | 176/253 |
| %1st in | 71% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 83/99 | 126/176 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 40/77 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 52% |
Nadal scored 12 aces (6 per match). Norrie recorded 16 aces (8 per match). Nadal won 84% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 11/36 |
| % Converted | 50% | 31% |
| Conceded | 5 | 17 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 80% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
Nadal broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rafael surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Cameron broke his opponents 11 times with a 31% conversion rate. Cameron conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Mmoh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 25 | 51 | |
| pts | 87-60 | 86-54 | 173-114 | |
| Total points | 147 | 140 | 287 | |
| Winners | 40 | 43 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 48/72 | 51/67 | 99/139 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 76% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 40/48 | 43/51 | 83/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 9/16 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/11 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 45% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Norrie | ||||
| R1 Evans |
R2 Safiullin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 42 | 43 | 85 | |
| pts | 142-126 | 150-138 | 292-264 | |
| Total points | 268 | 288 | 556 | |
| Winners | 57 | 69 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 80/117 | 96/136 | 176/253 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 71% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 57/80 | 69/96 | 126/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 18/40 | 40/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 45% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 6/20 | 11/36 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 30% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 6/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 55% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWWLL
LWWWWLLLLW Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
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- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-0 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Milos RaonicRaonic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Feliciano LopezLopez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Radu AlbotAlbot (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Mikael YmerYmer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Rafael NadalNadal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
