H2H, PREDICTION Dominic Thiem vs Nick Kyrgios | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Thiem and Kyrgios will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Nick Kyrgios

Dominic Thiem and Nick Kyrgios will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Thiem who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Dominic Thiem is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Thiem -> 1.26
Nick Kyrgios -> 4.2

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

See Updated Draw

Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Nick Kyrgios

This will be the 2nd time that Dominic Thiem and Nick Kyrgios face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Thiem (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Thiem won 4-3 ret. in the 2nd round in Nice back in 2015.

Dominic Thiem

Ranked no. 3 (career high), the Austrian got to the 2nd round after beating Mikhail Kukushkin 7-62 6-2 6-3 and Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-0 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Thiem had a good straight sets win against Koepfer (6-4 6-0 6-2). During the match Thiem scored 88 points vs Koepfer’s 53. Dominic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Thiem bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Dominic Thiem was very effective on serve to win 81% (38/47) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Thiem broke Koepfer 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Austrian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Thiem has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (411-193). 3-1 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Thiem has a 113-69 record in the last years on hard.

Thiem has a 3-1 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Dominic lost in the final to Novak Djokovic.

Nick Kyrgios

Ranked no. 47, Nick reached the 2nd round after defeating Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-4 6-4 6-4 and Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 3-6 7-62 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Kyrgios had a tough win against Humbert to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (5-7 6-4 3-6 7-62 6-4). During the match Kyrgios scored 162 points vs Humbert’s 159. Kyrgios was extremely aggressive to blast 83 winners.

Talking about serving, Kyrgios overpowered his opponent with 30 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nick Kyrgios lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kyrgios put 68% of his first serves in, winning 80% (83/104) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (24/48) on the 2nd serve. Nick broke Humbert 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nick has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Australian has a 4-1 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

The Australian surrendered in the 4th round to Rafael Nadal.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Thiem Kyrgios
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 54 84
Pts 205-138 267-238
Total Points 343 505
Winners 73 129
%Winners 36% 48%

Both Thiem and Kyrgios played 2 matches. At the moment, Nick Kyrgios surrendered 2 sets while Dominic Thiem hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Thiem has played 2 set(s) less than Kyrgios (6 vs 8). Therefore, Thiem played 30 games less than Kyrgios. Thiem scored 73 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Kyrgios struck 129 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Thiem Kyrgios
Aces 8 44
Avg per match 4 22
1st in 94/142 159/221
%1st in 66% 72%
1st pts 73/94 129/159
%1st pts 78% 81%
2nd pts 30/48 32/62
%2nd pts 63% 52%

Thiem made 8 aces (4 per match). Kyrgios recorded 44 aces (22 per match). Thiem won 78% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kyrgios won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Thiem Kyrgios
Won 13 8
Converted 13/32 8/26
% Converted 41% 31%
Conceded 6 7
Saved 3 2
% Saved 50% 29%
Times Broken 3 5

Thiem broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Thiem lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. Kyrgios conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 29% of the break points that he conceded.

Thiem
R1
Kukushkin
R2
Koepfer
Total
Score 7-62 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 30 24 54
pts 117-85 88-53 205-138
Total points 202 141 343
Winners 35 38 73
%Winners 30% 43% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 7 8
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 47/75 47/67 94/142
% 1st in 63% 70% 66%
1st pts 35/47 38/47 73/94
% 1st pts 74% 81% 78%
2nd pts 17/28 13/20 30/48
% 2nd pts 61% 65% 63%
Breaks
Won 7 6 13
Converted 7/20 6/12 13/32
Converted % 35% 50% 41%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 1/4 2/2 3
Saved % 25% 100% 63%
Times Broken 3 0 3
Kyrgios
R1
Ferreira Silva
R2
Humbert
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 5-7 6-4 3-6 7-62 6-4
Tot Set 3 5 8
Tot Games 30 54 84
pts 105-79 162-159 267-238
Total points 184 321 505
Winners 46 83 129
%Winners 44% 51% 48%
SERVE
Aces 14 30 44
Double Faults 1 5 6
1st in 55/69 104/152 159/221
% 1st in 80% 68% 72%
1st pts 46/55 83/104 129/159
% 1st pts 84% 80% 81%
2nd pts 8/14 24/48 32/62
% 2nd pts 57% 50% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/17 3/9 8/26
Converted % 29% 33% 31%
Conceded 2 5 7
Saved 0/2 2/5 2
Saved % 0% 40% 20%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Thiem
LLLLLLWLWL
Kyrgios
2024 2023 2022
6 - 14
0 - 0
2-3
Hard
0-0
4-9
Clay
0-0

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

See Updated Draw

Upcoming matches in the draw