H2H, prediction of Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo in Bordeaux Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 17th May 2026

PREVIEW. Bordeaux Challenger. Collignon and Manuel will clash against each other in the final of the Bordeaux Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Sunday the 17th of May

Prediction and head to head Raphael Collignon vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerundolo will play each other in the final of the Bordeaux Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRAL PVTISTES. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Raphael Collignon who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Raphael Collignon is the pick to win this match.
Raphael Collignon -> 1.35
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 2.88

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Raphael Collignon vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo

This will be the 2nd time that Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerundolo face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Manuel (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Manuel won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in the Braunschweig Challenger back in 2025.

Raphael Collignon

Raphael Collignon
Raphael Collignon

24 - 7win/loss

Hard
8-6
I Hard
7-0
Clay
9-1
Rank
47
High
37
LLLLLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 35-18 8-10 16-5 7-0 4-3 0-0
2025 42-23 4-4 15-9 23-9 0-1 0-0
2024 72-23 5-3 46-8 21-12 0-0 0-0
2023 15-16 0-0 6-5 8-10 1-1 0-0
2022 61-22 14-4 38-12 9-6 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 68, Collignon reached the final after beating Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-2 6-1, Alexander Shevchenko 7-6(5) 4-0 ret., Titouan Droguet 6-2 7-6(6) and Tallon Griekspoor 7-5 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (7-5 6-1). During the match, Collignon scored 76 points vs Griekspoor’s 58. Collignon was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Collignon scored 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Raphael Collignon lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Collignon put 58% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Raphael broke Griekspoor 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Raphael hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

ATP Bordeaux Challenger - Raphael Collignon's projected path

Projected draw

Collignon has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (242-116). 9-0 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Collignon has an overall125-44 record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Pau Challenger where he overcame Benjamin Bonzi in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and the Monza Challenger where he beat Dino Prizmic in the final 7-6(2) 6-3.

Raphael has a compiled 24-6 win-loss record in 2026, 9-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bordeaux Challenger

Raphael has never competed in this tournament before.

Collignon
Bordeaux Challenger
Collignon's Record

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

19 - 12win/loss

Hard
2-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-10
Rank
53
High
42
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 32-21 7-6 23-13 0-0 2-2 0-0
2025 49-30 10-9 39-19 0-0 0-2 0-0
2024 46-28 0-3 46-25 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 41-32 4-2 37-28 0-0 0-2 0-0
2022 27-17 3-6 24-11 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 72, the Argentine reached the final after beating Luca Van Assche 7-6(2) 6-4, Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-4 6-4, Martin Damm 6-2 6-2 and Quentin Halys 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-2 6-4). During the match Manuel scored 55 points vs Halys’s 41. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Manuel fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was pretty effective on serve to win 92% (24/26) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Halys 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

ATP Bordeaux Challenger - Juan Manuel Cerundolo's projected path

Projected draw

The Argentine’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Rosario Challenger and the Bordeaux Challenger.

The Argentine has an aggregate 18-12 win-loss record in 2026, 16-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Manuel
Bordeaux Challenger
Manuel's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Collignon
J.Manuel Cerundolo
5h:22
5h:22
Time on court​
!
22h:24
22h:24
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
1h:07
1h:07
4
4
Match played
4
4
72
72
Games Played​
77
77
9
9
Set played​​
8
8
269
269
Total points​
261
261
67.3
67.3
Avg point​
65.3
65.3
114
114
Winners
103
103
28.5
28.5
Avg Winners​
25.8
25.8
42%
42%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
15
15
2.8
2.8
Avg Aces
3.8
3.8
11
11
Double Faults
3
3
2.8
2.8
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
114/159
114/159
1st won total​
103/130
103/130
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
43/81
43/81
2nd won total​
62/109
62/109
53%
53%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
18/35
18/35
BP won
14/22
14/22
4.5/8.8
4.5/8.8
Avg BP won
3.5/5.5
3.5/5.5
!
51%
51%
Won
!
64%
64%
20
20
Conceded
13
13
5
5
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
6
6
Broken
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1
1
14
14
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Collignon Manuel
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 8
Tot Games 72 77
Pts 269-204 261-195
Total Points 473 456
Winners 114 103
%Winners 42% 39%

Both Collignon and Manuel played 4 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Collignon has played 1 set more than Manuel (9 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Collignon played 5 games less than Manuel. Raphael scored 114 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Manuel struck 103 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Collignon Manuel
Aces 11 15
Avg per match 2.8 3.8
1st in 159/240 130/239
%1st in 66% 54%
1st pts 114/159 103/130
%1st pts 72% 79%
2nd pts 43/81 62/109
%2nd pts 53% 57%

Collignon fired 11 aces (2.8 per match). Manuel struck 15 aces (3.8 per match). Collignon won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Manuel won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Collignon Manuel
Won 18 14
Converted 18/35 14/22
% Converted 51% 64%
Conceded 20 13
Saved 14 9
% Saved 70% 69%
Times Broken 6 4

Collignon broke his opponents 18 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Belgian lost his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Manuel broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Collignon
R1
Blancaneaux
R2
Shevchenko
1/4
Droguet
1/2
Griekspoor
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-65 4-0 ret. 6-2 7-66 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 15 17 21 19 72
pts 55-34 62-45 76-67 76-58 269-204
Total points 89 107 143 134 473
Winners 20 27 38 29 114
%Winners 36% 44% 50% 38% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 4 3 11
Double Faults 1 2 3 5 11
1st in 27/41 40/57 50/69 42/73 159/240
% 1st in 66% 70% 72% 58% 66%
1st pts 20/27 27/40 38/50 29/42 114/159
% 1st pts 74% 68% 76% 69% 72%
2nd pts 7/14 10/17 12/19 14/31 43/81
% 2nd pts 50% 59% 63% 45% 53%
Breaks
Won 6 4 2 6 18
Converted 6/10 4/5 2/6 6/14 18/35
Converted % 60% 80% 33% 43% 51%
Conceded 1 5 3 11 20
Saved 0/1 3/5 3/3 8/11 14
Saved % 0% 60% 100% 73% 58%
Times Broken 1 2 0 3 6
Manuel
R1
Van Assche
R2
Andres Burruchaga
1/4
Damm
1/2
Halys
Total
Score 7-62 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 23 20 16 18 77
pts 77-60 74-64 55-30 55-41 261-195
Total points 137 138 85 96 456
Winners 22 34 23 24 103
%Winners 29% 46% 42% 44% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 5 3 15
Double Faults 1 0 1 1 3
1st in 33/69 45/79 26/41 26/50 130/239
% 1st in 48% 57% 63% 52% 54%
1st pts 22/33 34/45 23/26 24/26 103/130
% 1st pts 67% 76% 88% 92% 79%
2nd pts 23/36 16/34 10/15 13/24 62/109
% 2nd pts 64% 47% 67% 54% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 3 14
Converted 4/7 3/6 4/6 3/3 14/22
Converted % 57% 50% 67% 100% 64%
Conceded 6 7 0 0 13
Saved 3/6 6/7 0/0 0/0 9
Saved % 50% 86% 34%
Times Broken 3 1 0 0 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Collignon
WWWWWWWWWW
Manuel Cerundolo
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
33 - 18
32 - 21
8-10
Hard
7-6
5-0
I Hard
0-0
16-5
Clay
23-13
4-3
Grass
2-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw