Jannik Sinner and Casper Ruud will fight against each other in the final of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.19
Casper Ruud -> 5
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Casper Ruud play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-0 6-1 in the quarter in Rome back in 2025.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud – Rome 15-May-2025
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-3 | 19-2 | 18-1 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the final after defeating Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 6-2 6-0, Andrea Pellegrino 6-2 6-3, Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 5-7 6-4.
In the semifinal, Jannik defeated Medvedev (6-2 5-7 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 108 points vs Medvedev’s 88. Sinner was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sinner broke Medvedev 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
ATP Rome - Jannik Sinner's projected path
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 77% of his matches (439-129). 16-0 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an aggregate112-40 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(6) 7-6(4) and in Miami where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Carlo where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Madrid where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-1 6-2.
Jannik has a composed 35-2 win-loss record in 2026, 16-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2025. See his history.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-17 | 8-10 | 19-6 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-16 | 12-8 | 14-5 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Ruud got to the final after beating Zachary Svajda 6-1 6-3, Jiri Lehecka 6-3 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-1, Karen Khachanov 6-1 1-6 6-2 and Luciano Darderi 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-1 6-1). During the match Ruud scored 58 points vs Darderi’s 32. Casper was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Ruud made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Casper Ruud was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (17/23) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Casper broke Darderi 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
ATP Rome - Casper Ruud's projected path
Casper’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Rome.
Casper has an overall 17-9 win-loss record in 2026, 10-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020, 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 98 | 87 |
| Pts | 359-262 | 312-213 |
| Total Points | 621 | 525 |
| Winners | 130 | 113 |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% |
Both Sinner and Ruud played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 1 set, while Casper Ruud lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Ruud have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Sinner played 11 games more than Ruud. Sinner scored 130 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Ruud struck 113 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st in | 168/286 | 151/245 |
| %1st in | 59% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 130/168 | 113/151 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 75/118 | 59/94 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 63% |
Sinner scored 22 aces (4.4 per match). Ruud blasted 13 aces (2.6 per match). Sinner won 77% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 22 |
| Converted | 19/38 | 22/44 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Jannik broke his opponents 19 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Casper broke his opponents 22 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||||
| R2 Ofner |
R3 Popyrin |
R4 Pellegrino |
1/4 Rublev |
1/2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-0 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 30 | 98 | |
| pts | 68-53 | 54-26 | 63-45 | 66-50 | 108-88 | 359-262 | |
| Total points | 121 | 80 | 108 | 116 | 196 | 621 | |
| Winners | 27 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 41 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 33% | 37% | 32% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 23/38 | 29/45 | 28/57 | 55/92 | 168/286 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 64% | 49% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 18/23 | 23/29 | 21/28 | 41/55 | 130/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 78% | 79% | 75% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 11/15 | 10/16 | 17/29 | 22/37 | 75/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 73% | 63% | 59% | 59% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 4/5 | 4/10 | 19/38 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 63% | 50% | 80% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Ruud | |||||||
| R2 Svajda |
R3 Lehecka |
R4 Musetti |
1/4 Khachanov |
1/2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 1-6 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 87 | |
| pts | 59-33 | 64-45 | 63-43 | 68-60 | 58-32 | 312-213 | |
| Total points | 92 | 109 | 106 | 128 | 90 | 525 | |
| Winners | 18 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 47% | 38% | 35% | 29% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 22/38 | 37/56 | 34/48 | 35/61 | 23/42 | 151/245 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 71% | 57% | 55% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 30/37 | 24/34 | 24/35 | 17/23 | 113/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 81% | 71% | 69% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/16 | 10/19 | 10/14 | 13/26 | 12/19 | 59/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 88% | 53% | 71% | 50% | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/8 | 4/10 | 5/10 | 6/9 | 22/44 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 38% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Casper RuudRuud (4-0) – H2H and prediction
