Alex Molcan and Rei Sakamoto will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Bordeaux Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:30 am on COURT INTERSPORT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Molcan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Molcan is the pick to win this match.
Alex Molcan -> 1.43
Rei Sakamoto -> 2.58
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Alex Molcan vs. Rei Sakamoto
There is no head to head record between Alex Molcan and Rei Sakamoto since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alex Molcan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-19 | 1-3 | 24-11 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 47-15 | 7-3 | 38-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 13-17 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-27 | 10-8 | 13-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-24 | 7-8 | 18-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 113, Alex reached the 2nd round after defeating Jenson Brooksby 6-2 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-2 7-5). During the match, Molcan scored 75 points vs Brooksby’s 53. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Molcan struck 5 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Alex Molcan was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Molcan broke Brooksby 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Molcan has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (282-175). 12-3 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Molcan has a composed 192-97 record in the last years on clay.
Molcan’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Munich.
The Slovakian has a composed 15-8 win-loss record in 2026, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bordeaux Challenger
The Slovakian has never competed in this tournament before.
Rei Sakamoto
22 - 13win/loss
133
133
WLLWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-22 | 23-14 | 9-6 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 34-26 | 27-16 | 3-3 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-16 | 12-11 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 156 (career-high), Sakamoto reached the 2nd round after defeating Matteo Martineau 6-7(4) 6-2 7-6(5), Chun Hsin Tseng 7-5 6-1 and Alexandre Muller 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Sakamoto defeated Muller (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Sakamoto scored 96 points vs Muller’s 94. Sakamoto was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Sakamoto struck 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rei Sakamoto lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sakamoto put 65% of his first serves in, winning 74% (46/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Rei broke Muller twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Rei’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Brisbane 2 Challenger and the New Delhi Challenger.
Rei has an overall 22-12 win-loss record in 2026, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Molcan | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 81 |
| Pts | 75-53 | 276-251 |
| Total Points | 128 | 527 |
| Winners | 28 | 107 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Molcan played 1 match while Sakamoto competed in 3 matches. Sakamoto started his run from the qualifications while Molcan had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Rei Sakamoto surrendered 2 sets while Alex Molcan hasn’t lost a set so far. Molcan has played 6 set(s) less than Sakamoto (2 vs 8). Therefore, Molcan played 61 games less than Sakamoto. Molcan scored 28 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rei blasted 107 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Molcan | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 9 |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 154/266 |
| %1st in | 67% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 107/154 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 63/112 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 56% |
Molcan blasted 5 aces . Sakamoto recorded 27 aces (9 per match). Molcan won 74% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Molcan | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 12/27 |
| % Converted | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Saved | 3 | 12 |
| % Saved | 75% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Molcan broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Alex lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Sakamoto broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. Rei conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Molcan | |||
| R1 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 75-53 | 75-53 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 38/57 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Sakamoto | |||||
| Q1 Martineau |
Q3 Hsin |
R1 Muller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-2 7-65 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 19 | 28 | 81 | |
| pts | 113-109 | 67-48 | 96-94 | 276-251 | |
| Total points | 222 | 115 | 190 | 527 | |
| Winners | 38 | 23 | 46 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | 48% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 58/111 | 34/59 | 62/96 | 154/266 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 65% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 23/34 | 46/62 | 107/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 68% | 74% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/53 | 16/25 | 16/34 | 63/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 64% | 47% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/9 | 2/5 | 12/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 56% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 1/3 | 4/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 33% | 80% | 183% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Bordeaux Challenger
- Martin DammDamm – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-63 7-67) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (2-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Pierre DelageDelage (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rei SakamotoSakamoto – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Raphael CollignonCollignon – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel Cukierman/Trey HilderbrandCukierman/Trey Hilderbrand – Arthur Lenglet/Charles PiletLenglet/Charles Pilet (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 6-72 6-2) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Moise KouameKouame (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Quentin HalysHalys (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Terence AtmaneAtmane (1-0) – H2H and prediction
