Sorana Cirstea and Jelena Ostapenko will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sorana Cirstea who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sorana Cirstea is the pick to win this match.
Sorana Cirstea -> 1.64
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.25
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Sorana Cirstea vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 8th time that Sorana Cirstea and Jelena Ostapenko play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Cirstea won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Brisbane back in January 2026.
Highlights Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko – Brisbane 06-January-2026
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39-14 | 17-8 | 14-4 | 5-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 30-20 | 26-14 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Cirstea got to the quarter after defeating Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-0, Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-3 7-5 and Linda Noskova 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Noskova (6-2 6-4). During the match, Cirstea scored 68 points vs Noskova’s 48. Sorana was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cirstea fired 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 62% of her first serves in, winning 84% (27/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Cirstea was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Noskova 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cirstea has lost 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.
WTA Rome - Sorana Cirstea's projected path
Cirstea has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (228-186). 9-2 on clay in 2026. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cirstea has a compiled 58-45 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Napoca where she overcame Emma Raducanu in the final 6-0 6-2.
Sorana has a composed 26-7 win-loss record in 2026, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Jelena Ostapenko
15 - 11win/loss
32
5
LLLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-18 | 9-11 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 18-20 | 8-14 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Ostapenko got to the quarter after beating Lucrezia Stefanini 6-0 6-1, Elena Gabriela Ruse 2-6 6-2 6-3, Qinwen Zheng 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-1 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-1 6-2). During the match Ostapenko scored 57 points vs Kalinskaya’s 33. Ostapenko was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Ostapenko made 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko was pretty effective on serve to win 92% (23/25) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Latvian broke Kalinskaya 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
WTA Rome - Jelena Ostapenko's projected path
Ostapenko’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Doha.
Jelena has an overall 15-11 win-loss record in 2026, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cirstea | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 83 |
| Pts | 215-167 | 293-226 |
| Total Points | 382 | 519 |
| Winners | 72 | 117 |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% |
Cirstea played 3 matches while Ostapenko competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sorana Cirstea surrendered 1 set, while Jelena Ostapenko conceded 2 sets. Cirstea has played 3 set(s) less than Ostapenko (7 vs 10). Therefore, Cirstea played 22 games less than Ostapenko. Sorana scored 72 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Jelena managed to score 117 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cirstea | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 103/187 | 159/260 |
| %1st in | 55% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 72/103 | 117/159 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 45/84 | 46/101 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 46% |
Cirstea struck 12 aces (4 per match). Ostapenko fired 17 aces (4.3 per match). Cirstea won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cirstea | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 20 |
| Converted | 15/24 | 20/38 |
| % Converted | 63% | 53% |
| Conceded | 13 | 22 |
| Saved | 6 | 14 |
| % Saved | 46% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 8 |
Cirstea broke her opponents 15 times with a 63% conversion rate. Sorana surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded. Jelena broke her opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Cirstea | |||||
| R2 Maria |
R3 Sabalenka |
R4 Noskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 2-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 29 | 18 | 61 | |
| pts | 53-28 | 94-91 | 68-48 | 215-167 | |
| Total points | 81 | 185 | 116 | 382 | |
| Winners | 18 | 27 | 27 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 29% | 40% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 23/42 | 48/93 | 32/52 | 103/187 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 52% | 62% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 27/48 | 27/32 | 72/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 56% | 84% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 23/45 | 10/20 | 45/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 51% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/12 | 4/4 | 15/24 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 100% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 2 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/11 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 45% | 50% | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Ostapenko | ||||||
| R1 Stefanini |
R2 Gabriela Ruse |
R3 Zheng |
R4 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 2-6 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 25 | 30 | 15 | 83 | |
| pts | 53-25 | 89-80 | 94-88 | 57-33 | 293-226 | |
| Total points | 78 | 169 | 182 | 90 | 519 | |
| Winners | 20 | 29 | 45 | 23 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 33% | 48% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 24 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 49/84 | 58/91 | 25/43 | 159/260 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 58% | 64% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 29/49 | 45/58 | 23/25 | 117/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 59% | 78% | 92% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 13/35 | 16/33 | 10/18 | 46/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 37% | 48% | 56% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/6 | 7/16 | 3/8 | 4/8 | 20/38 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 44% | 38% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 8/14 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 50% | 100% | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova – Madison KeysKeys (6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alexandra EalaEala (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-1 4-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Solana SierraSierra (5-7 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Qinwen ZhengZheng (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Belinda BencicBencic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Iva JovicJovic – Taylor TownsendTownsend (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – (4-0) – H2H and prediction
