H2H, prediction of Alexander Bublik vs Learner Tien in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 10th May 2026

PREVIEW. Rome. Bublik and Tien will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 10th of May

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Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Learner Tien

Alexander Bublik and Learner Tien will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on SUPERTENNIS ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.5
Learner Tien -> 2.58

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Learner Tien

There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik

16 - 9win/loss

Hard
9-4
I Hard
4-2
Clay
3-3
Rank
21
High
10
LWWLWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 28-18 11-5 8-8 4-2 5-3 0-0
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 11, Alexander got to the 3rd round after defeating Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Baez (6-1 6-2). During the match, Bublik scored 57 points vs Baez’s 37. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bublik struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Bublik was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexander broke Baez 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

ATP Rome - Alexander Bublik's projected path

Projected draw
1st
BYE
QF
SF
F

Bublik has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (324-253). 3-3 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bublik has a compiled 57-56 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 7-6(2) 6-3.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 16-9 win-loss record in 2026, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Bublik
Rome
Bublik's Record

Learner Tien

Learner Tien
Learner Tien

12 - 8win/loss

Hard
10-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
2-2
Rank
13
High
12
LWLWWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 30-17 18-9 9-4 1-2 2-2 0-0
2025 43-26 26-13 3-7 10-2 4-4 0-0
2024 63-14 53-8 0-1 10-5 0-0 0-0
2023 30-10 20-10 0-0 10-0 0-0 0-0
2022 12-11 8-5 3-3 1-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 21 (career-high), Tien reached the 3rd round after defeating Damir Dzumhur 6-2 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Learner had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-2 6-1). During the match Tien scored 62 points vs Dzumhur’s 44. Learner was very aggressive to blast 18 winners.

About the serving games, Tien scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Learner Tien lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 69% of his first serves in, winning 55% (18/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the 2nd serve. Learner broke Dzumhur 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

ATP Rome - Learner Tien's projected path

Projected draw
1st
BYE
QF
SF
F

The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Tien has an overall 12-8 win-loss record in 2026, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.

Tien
Rome
Tien's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Bublik
L.Tien
0h:59
0h:59
Time on court​
1h:08
1h:08
!
0h:59
0h:59
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
1
1
Match played
1
1
15
15
Games Played​
15
15
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
57
57
Total points​
62
62
57
57
Avg point​
62
62
26
26
Winners
18
18
26
26
Avg Winners​
18
18
46%
46%
Ratio winners
29%
29%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
1
1
4
4
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
26/32
26/32
1st won total​
18/33
18/33
!
81%
81%
1st won %
55%
55%
7/13
7/13
2nd won total​
12/15
12/15
54%
54%
2nd won %
!
80%
80%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
6/11
6/11
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
6/11
6/11
44%
44%
Won
!
55%
55%
1
1
Conceded
2
2
1
1
Avg Conceded
2
2
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
1
1
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bublik Tien
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
Pts 57-37 62-44
Total Points 94 106
Winners 26 18
%Winners 46% 29%

Both Bublik and Tien played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bublik and Tien have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (15). Alexander scored 26 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 18 winners (29%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bublik Tien
Aces 4 1
Avg per match 4 1
1st in 32/45 33/48
%1st in 71% 69%
1st pts 26/32 18/33
%1st pts 81% 55%
2nd pts 7/13 12/15
%2nd pts 54% 80%

Bublik scored 4 aces . Tien made 1 ace . Bublik won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 55% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bublik Tien
Won 4 6
Converted 4/9 6/11
% Converted 44% 55%
Conceded 1 2
Saved 1 1
% Saved 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 1

Alexander broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Bublik was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Tien broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
R2
Baez		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 57-37 57-37
Total points 94 94
Winners 26 26
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 32/45 32/45
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 26/32 26/32
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 7/13 7/13
% 2nd pts 54% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Tien
R2
Dzumhur		 Total
Score 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 62-44 62-44
Total points 106 106
Winners 18 18
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 33/48 33/48
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 18/33 18/33
% 1st pts 55% 55%
2nd pts 12/15 12/15
% 2nd pts 80% 80%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/11 6/11
Converted % 55% 55%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Alexander Bublik
  • 0Slam
  • 9Main
  • 7Chall
  • 4Minor
Learner Tien
  • 0Slam
  • 3Main
  • 3Chall
  • 7Minor

Alexander
Bublik

0:2

Learner
Tien

Rank

21

High

10

0Clay2

Rank

13

High

12

Win Loss
Bublik
WWWWWWWWWW
Tien
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
27 - 17
29 - 16
11-5
Hard
18-9
3-1
I Hard
0-1
8-8
Clay
9-4
5-3
Grass
2-2

Tennis Scores in Rome

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw

Bublik Alexander Bublik
More Stats
Click here
Tien Learner Tien