Daniel Merida Aguilar and Tomas Barrios Vera will play each other in the qualifications of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 10:00 am on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.59
Tomas Barrios Vera -> 2.18
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Tomas Barrios Vera
There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Tomas Barrios Vera since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
24 - 10win/loss
41
39
WLWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-20 | 20-8 | 23-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 50-25 | 15-5 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-33 | 17-9 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 16-13 | 20-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 8-9 | 21-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86 (career-high), Daniel got to the qualifications after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (7-5 6-4). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 87 points vs Mcdonald’s 71. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Merida Aguilar struck 2 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 65% of his first serves in, winning 62% (36/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Merida Aguilar has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (210-142). 12-4 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Merida Aguilar has an overall140-89 record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Francesco Maestrelli in the final 6-2 6-4.
Daniel has a compiled 24-10 win-loss record in 2026, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.
Tomas Barrios Vera
16 - 14win/loss
137
93
LWWWLLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-26 | 9-8 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 52-28 | 5-5 | 43-20 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-28 | 6-5 | 26-19 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-30 | 4-7 | 42-22 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 3-1 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 134, Marcelo got to the qualifications after defeating Jacopo Vasami 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Marcelo had a good straight sets win against Vasami (6-3 6-4). During the match Tomas Barrios Vera scored 62 points vs Vasami’s 48. Tomas Barrios Vera was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Tomas Barrios Vera bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tomas Barrios Vera conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Tomas Barrios Vera put 80% of his first serves in, winning 78% (32/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Vasami 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
The Chilean’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Concepcion Challenger.
The Chilean has an aggregate 16-14 win-loss record in 2026, 10-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Merida Aguilar | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 |
| Pts | 87-71 | 62-48 |
| Total Points | 158 | 110 |
| Winners | 36 | 32 |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% |
Both Merida Aguilar and Tomas Barrios Vera played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Merida Aguilar and Tomas Barrios Vera have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Merida Aguilar played 3 games more than Tomas Barrios Vera. The Spaniard scored 36 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean made 32 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Merida Aguilar | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 41/51 |
| %1st in | 65% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 36/58 | 32/41 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 5/10 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 50% |
Merida Aguilar recorded 2 aces . Tomas Barrios Vera scored 4 aces . Merida Aguilar won 62% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Tomas Barrios Vera won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Merida Aguilar | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 |
| Saved | 8 | 1 |
| % Saved | 80% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Tomas Barrios Vera broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Tomas Barrios Vera was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Merida Aguilar | |||
| Q1 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 87-71 | 87-71 | |
| Total points | 158 | 158 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 58/89 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/58 | 36/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | |||
| Q1 Vasami |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 62-48 | 62-48 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/51 | 41/51 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 32/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Jesper De JongDe Jong (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Marin CilicCilic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tomas MachacMachac (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick KypsonKypson – Titouan DroguetDroguet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Vit KoprivaKopriva (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – (0-3) – H2H and prediction
