H2H, prediction of Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya in Abidjan 2 Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 1st May 2026

PREVIEW. Abidjan 2 Challenger. Onclin and Alkaya will play each other in the quarter of the Abidjan 2 Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 1st of May

Prediction and head to head Gauthier Onclin vs. Mert Alkaya

Gauthier Onclin and Mert Alkaya will square off in the quarter of the Abidjan 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on COURT 1 COFINA NEEMBA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gauthier Onclin who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gauthier Onclin is the pick to win this match.
Gauthier Onclin -> 1.34
Mert Alkaya -> 2.93

 

 

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Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Gauthier Onclin vs. Mert Alkaya

This will be the 2nd time that Gauthier Onclin and Mert Alkaya face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Onclin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Onclin won 1-6 6-2 7-5 in the quarter in the Abidjan 1 Challenger back in April 2026.

Gauthier Onclin

Gauthier Onclin
Gauthier Onclin

33 - 8win/loss

Hard
23-5
I Hard
10-3
Rank
172
High
158
LLLLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 47-21 29-9 4-6 10-3 4-3 0-0
2025 28-29 8-9 18-11 1-8 1-1 0-0
2024 56-27 27-11 19-13 10-3 0-0 0-0
2023 40-25 1-2 15-10 23-11 1-2 0-0
2022 54-26 10-8 36-15 8-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 246, the Belgian reached the quarter after beating Oscar Weightman 6-3 6-2 and Massimo Giunta 6-7(6) 7-6(2) 6-0.

In the 2nd round against Giunta, Onclin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 7-62 6-0). During the match, Onclin scored 115 points vs Giunta’s 98. Gauthier was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Onclin struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gauthier Onclin was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (40/50) of his 1st serve and 71% (34/48) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Onclin broke Giunta 3 times after converting 19% of his break points (3/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

ATP Abidjan 2 Challenger - Gauthier Onclin's projected path

Projected draw

Onclin has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (271-159). 22-5 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Onclin has an overall107-57 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Abidjan 1 Challenger where he overcame Hamish Stewart in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(2).

Gauthier has a compiled 32-8 win-loss record in 2026, 22-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Abidjan 2 Challenger

Onclin
Abidjan 2 Challenger
Onclin's Record

Mert Alkaya

Mert Alkaya
Mert Alkaya

27 - 10win/loss

Hard
26-9
I Hard
0-1
Clay
1-0
Rank
295
High
295
LLLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 39-26 36-20 2-2 0-3 1-1 0-0
2025 55-24 55-24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 35-21 20-7 15-14 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 31-17 10-5 21-12 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 9-6 0-0 9-6 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 349 (career-high), the Turk got to the quarter after beating Mukund Sasikumar 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 and Paul Jubb 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Turk had a good straight sets win against Jubb (6-1 6-4). During the match Alkaya scored 68 points vs Jubb’s 52. Alkaya was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Alkaya fired 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mert Alkaya lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alkaya put 53% of his first serves in, winning 65% (20/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Mert broke Jubb 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alkaya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

ATP Abidjan 2 Challenger - Mert Alkaya's projected path

Projected draw
QF
SF
F

Mert’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.

Mert has a compiled 27-9 win-loss record in 2026, 26-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Alkaya
Abidjan 2 Challenger
Alkaya's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

G.Onclin
M.Alkaya
4h:02
4h:02
Time on court​
3h:34
3h:34
!
2h:43
2h:43
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
2
2
Match played
2
2
49
49
Games Played​
48
48
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
171
171
Total points​
157
157
85.5
85.5
Avg point​
78.5
78.5
66
66
Winners
67
67
33
33
Avg Winners​
33.5
33.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
10
10
4
4
Avg Aces
5
5
5
5
Double Faults
1
1
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
66/79
66/79
1st won total​
67/92
67/92
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
46/70
46/70
2nd won total​
36/60
36/60
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
6/22
6/22
BP won
7/13
7/13
3/11
3/11
Avg BP won
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
!
27%
27%
Won
!
54%
54%
2
2
Conceded
6
6
1
1
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Onclin Alkaya
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 49 48
Pts 171-136 157-135
Total Points 307 292
Winners 66 67
%Winners 39% 43%

Both Onclin and Alkaya played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Gauthier Onclin conceded 1 set, while Mert Alkaya dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Onclin and Alkaya have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Onclin played 1 game more than Alkaya. The Belgian scored 66 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Turk scored 67 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Onclin Alkaya
Aces 8 10
Avg per match 4 5
1st in 79/149 92/152
%1st in 53% 61%
1st pts 66/79 67/92
%1st pts 84% 73%
2nd pts 46/70 36/60
%2nd pts 66% 60%

Onclin managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Alkaya scored 10 aces (5 per match). Onclin won 84% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Alkaya won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Onclin Alkaya
Won 6 7
Converted 6/22 7/13
% Converted 27% 54%
Conceded 2 6
Saved 2 4
% Saved 100% 67%
Times Broken 0 2

Onclin broke his opponents 6 times with a 27% conversion rate. Gauthier pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Turk broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Mert conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Onclin
R1
Weightman
R2
Giunta
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-76 7-62 6-0
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 32 49
pts 56-38 115-98 171-136
Total points 94 213 307
Winners 26 40 66
%Winners 46% 35% 39%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 8
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 29/51 50/98 79/149
% 1st in 57% 51% 53%
1st pts 26/29 40/50 66/79
% 1st pts 90% 80% 84%
2nd pts 12/22 34/48 46/70
% 2nd pts 55% 71% 66%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/6 3/16 6/22
Converted % 50% 19% 27%
Conceded 0 2 2
Saved 0/0 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Alkaya
R1
Kumar Mukund
R2
Jubb
Total
Score 6-3 6-75 6-3 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 17 48
pts 89-83 68-52 157-135
Total points 172 120 292
Winners 47 20 67
%Winners 53% 29% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 10
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 61/93 31/59 92/152
% 1st in 66% 53% 61%
1st pts 47/61 20/31 67/92
% 1st pts 77% 65% 73%
2nd pts 21/32 15/28 36/60
% 2nd pts 66% 54% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 5 7
Converted 2/4 5/9 7/13
Converted % 50% 56% 54%
Conceded 0 6 6
Saved 0/0 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 34%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Onclin
WWWWWWWWWW
Alkaya
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
47 - 20
38 - 24
29-9
Hard
36-20
10-3
I Hard
0-1
4-5
Clay
1-2
4-3
Grass
1-1
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw