Jesper De Jong and Gianluca Cadenasso will clash against each other in the quarter of the Cagliari Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.363
Gianluca Cadenasso -> 2.83
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Gianluca Cadenasso
There is no head to head record between Jesper De Jong and Gianluca Cadenasso since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jesper De Jong
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-25 | 3-9 | 20-13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-31 | 8-7 | 20-13 | 5-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 12-5 | 33-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 109, De Jong got to the quarter after beating Stefano Travaglia 6-7(4) 6-3 6-1 and Adrian Mannarino 6-3 3-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, De Jong defeated Mannarino (6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match, De Jong scored 97 points vs Mannarino’s 83. Jesper was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Jong blasted 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jesper De Jong lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, De Jong put 61% of his first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Jesper broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Cagliari Challenger - Jesper De Jong's projected path
De Jong has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (296-191). 7-6 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Jong has a composed 172-97 record in the last years on clay.
Jesper’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Murcia Challenger.
De Jong has a composed 8-13 win-loss record in 2026, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
Gianluca Cadenasso
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-24 | 5-4 | 43-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-23 | 0-0 | 49-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-11 | 14-5 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 9-8 | 5-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 232, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Lorenzo Carboni 6-3 6-1 and Mattia Bellucci 7-5 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Cadenasso had a good straight sets win against Bellucci (7-5 6-1). During the match Cadenasso scored 68 points vs Bellucci’s 47. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Cadenasso wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Gianluca Cadenasso lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Cadenasso put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Bellucci 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gianluca hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.
ATP Cagliari Challenger - Gianluca Cadenasso's projected path
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Asuncion Challenger where he overcame Franco Roncadelli in the final 7-6(5) 6-0.
The Italian has a composed 13-9 win-loss record in 2026, 13-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Jong | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 35 |
| Pts | 194-160 | 130-87 |
| Total Points | 354 | 217 |
| Winners | 73 | 51 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both De Jong and Cadenasso played 2 matches. At the moment, Jesper De Jong dropped 2 sets while Gianluca Cadenasso hasn’t lost a set so far. De Jong has played 2 sets more than Cadenasso (6 vs 4). Therefore, De Jong played 19 games more than Cadenasso. De Jong scored 73 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Cadenasso made 51 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Jong | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 3 |
| 1st in | 103/172 | 72/108 |
| %1st in | 60% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 73/103 | 51/72 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 36/69 | 20/36 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
De Jong made 20 aces (10 per match). Cadenasso managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). De Jong won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Cadenasso won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Jong | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 10 |
| Converted | 12/27 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded | 18 | 10 |
| Saved | 12 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
De Jong broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jesper dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Gianluca broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Jong | ||||
| R1 Travaglia |
R2 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
| pts | 97-77 | 97-83 | 194-160 | |
| Total points | 174 | 180 | 354 | |
| Winners | 35 | 38 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 12 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 49/83 | 54/89 | 103/172 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 38/54 | 73/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 70% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 19/35 | 36/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 8/11 | 4/16 | 12/27 | |
| Converted % | 73% | 25% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 8/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Cadenasso | ||||
| R1 Carboni |
R2 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 35 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 68-47 | 130-87 | |
| Total points | 102 | 115 | 217 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 36/49 | 36/59 | 72/108 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 61% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 25/36 | 51/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 13/23 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 57% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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