Mattia Bellucci and Gianluca Cadenasso will face off in the 2nd round of the Cagliari Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 14. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.49
Gianluca Cadenasso -> 2.4
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Gianluca Cadenasso
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Gianluca Cadenasso since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
17 - 14win/loss
88
63
LWLWLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-25 | 15-13 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 24-31 | 10-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 1-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, Bellucci defeated Sonego (6-4 1-6 7-5).During the match, Bellucci scored less points (9) than Sonego. In fact, the world no. 78 won 82 points vs Sonego’s. That means that Bellucci was more focused during the important points. Mattia was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 6 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 60% of his first serves in, winning 65% (32/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Bellucci broke Sonego 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (276-179). 5-4 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has an overall59-47 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Bellucci’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Cap Cana Challenger.
The Italian has a compiled 17-14 win-loss record in 2026, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
Gianluca Cadenasso
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-24 | 5-4 | 43-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-23 | 0-0 | 49-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-11 | 14-5 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 9-8 | 5-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 232, Gianluca reached the 2nd round after defeating Lorenzo Carboni 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Cadenasso had a good straight sets win against Carboni (6-3 6-1). During the match Cadenasso scored 62 points vs Carboni’s 40. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Cadenasso struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Gianluca Cadenasso was quite effective on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Cadenasso broke Carboni 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he beat Franco Roncadelli in the final 7-6(5) 6-0.
Gianluca has an aggregate 12-9 win-loss record in 2026, 12-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 |
| Pts | 82-91 | 62-40 |
| Total Points | 173 | 102 |
| Winners | 32 | 26 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Bellucci and Cadenasso played 1 match. At the moment, Mattia Bellucci lost 1 set while Gianluca Cadenasso hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bellucci has played 1 set more than Cadenasso (3 vs 2). Therefore, Bellucci played 13 games more than Cadenasso. Mattia scored 32 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 26 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 49/82 | 36/49 |
| %1st in | 60% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 26/36 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 7/13 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 54% |
Bellucci managed to score 1 ace . Cadenasso also blasted 6 aces . Bellucci won 65% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Cadenasso won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 56% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Bellucci broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Gianluca broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||
| R1 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 82-91 | 82-91 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/82 | 49/82 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 32/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Cadenasso | |||
| R1 Carboni |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 62-40 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/49 | 36/49 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 26/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 7/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Cagliari Challenger
- Gianluca CadenassoCadenasso – Lorenzo CarboniCarboni (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Luca PotenzaPotenza (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-73 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Stefanos SakellaridisSakellaridis (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman Andres Burruchaga/Andrea PellegrinoAndres Burruchaga/Andrea Pellegrino – Cleeve Harper/David StevensonHarper/David Stevenson (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-4 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Federico CinaCina (6-78 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-4 6-75 7-65) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-2 7-68) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Stefano TravagliaTravaglia (6-74 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Moez EcharguiEchargui (6-75 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-4 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-7(3) 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Gianluca CadenassoCadenasso – Lorenzo CarboniCarboni (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christian GarinGarin – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Marcos GironGiron (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
