H2H, prediction of Leandro Riedi vs August Holmgren in Gwangju Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 25th April 2026

PREVIEW. Gwangju Challenger. Riedi and Holmgren will play each other in the semifinal of the Gwangju Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Saturday the 25th of April

Prediction and head to head Leandro Riedi vs. August Holmgren

Leandro Riedi and August Holmgren will face off in the semifinal of the Gwangju Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on SHOW COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Leandro Riedi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Leandro Riedi is the pick to win this match.
Leandro Riedi -> 1.34
August Holmgren -> 2.93

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Bonus

Prediction and head to head Leandro Riedi vs. August Holmgren

There is no head to head record between Leandro Riedi and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Leandro Riedi

Leandro Riedi
Leandro Riedi

14 - 8win/loss

Hard
10-5
I Hard
4-3
Rank
243
High
116
WLLWWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 19-13 10-6 4-3 4-3 1-1 0-0
2025 18-8 11-5 2-1 0-0 5-2 0-0
2024 32-15 2-4 6-4 17-4 7-3 0-0
2023 19-22 14-9 3-4 1-7 1-2 0-0
2022 49-17 18-6 5-5 21-6 0-0 5-0

Ranked no. 129, Leandro reached the semifinal after defeating Marat Sharipov 3-6 6-4 7-5, Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3 6-2 and James McCabe 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against McCabe (6-1 6-4). During the match, Riedi scored 67 points vs McCabe’s 45. Leandro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Riedi scored just 1 ace during the match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Leandro Riedi was quite effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swiss broke McCabe 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Leandro has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

ATP Gwangju Challenger - Leandro Riedi's projected path

Projected draw
SF
F

Riedi has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (158-94). 10-5 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Riedi has a composed55-30 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Busan Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Leandro has an overall 14-8 win-loss record in 2026, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Gwangju Challenger

Riedi has never competed in this tournament before.

Riedi
Gwangju Challenger
Riedi's Record

August Holmgren

August Holmgren
August Holmgren

11 - 12win/loss

Hard
8-5
I Hard
3-7
Rank
242
High
141
LLLLLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 27-28 13-12 6-3 3-7 5-6 0-0
2025 23-25 14-12 3-8 1-3 5-2 0-0
2024 37-25 24-12 6-6 7-7 0-0 0-0
2023 46-26 33-14 9-6 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 31-12 18-4 10-5 3-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 185, the Dane reached the semifinal after beating Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 6-4, Alexis Galarneau 6-4 6-3 and Yuta Shimizu 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the quarter, Holmgren had a good straight sets win against Shimizu (7-66 6-4). During the match Holmgren scored 85 points vs Shimizu’s 78. The Dane was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Holmgren made 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 62% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Holmgren broke Shimizu 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

August hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

ATP Gwangju Challenger - August Holmgren's projected path

Projected draw

The Dane has a composed 11-12 win-loss record in 2026, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Holmgren
Gwangju Challenger
Holmgren's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Riedi
A.Holmgren
4h:26
4h:26
Time on court​
4h:18
4h:18
1h:10
1h:10
Last match​
1h:45
1h:45
3
3
Match played
3
3
65
65
Games Played​
62
62
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
239
239
Total points​
212
212
79.7
79.7
Avg point​
70.7
70.7
92
92
Winners
84
84
30.7
30.7
Avg Winners​
28
28
38%
38%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
34
34
7.3
7.3
Avg Aces
!
11.3
11.3
4
4
Double Faults
9
9
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
92/117
92/117
1st won total​
84/103
84/103
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
47/78
47/78
2nd won total​
42/73
42/73
60%
60%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
9/31
9/31
BP won
8/27
8/27
3/10.3
3/10.3
Avg BP won
2.7/9
2.7/9
!
29%
29%
Won
30%
30%
14
14
Conceded
6
6
4.7
4.7
Avg Conceded
2
2
2
2
Broken
2
2
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
12
12
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Riedi Holmgren
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 65 62
Pts 239-192 212-182
Total Points 431 394
Winners 92 84
%Winners 38% 40%

Both Riedi and Holmgren played 3 matches. At the moment, Leandro Riedi conceded 1 set while August Holmgren hasn’t dropped a set so far. Riedi has played 1 set more than Holmgren (7 vs 6). Therefore, Riedi played 3 games more than Holmgren. Leandro scored 92 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Holmgren struck 84 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Riedi Holmgren
Aces 22 34
Avg per match 7.3 11.3
1st in 117/195 103/176
%1st in 60% 59%
1st pts 92/117 84/103
%1st pts 79% 82%
2nd pts 47/78 42/73
%2nd pts 60% 58%

Riedi scored 22 aces (7.3 per match). Holmgren managed to score 34 aces (11.3 per match). Riedi won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Riedi Holmgren
Won 9 8
Converted 9/31 8/27
% Converted 29% 30%
Conceded 14 6
Saved 12 4
% Saved 86% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

The Swiss broke his opponents 9 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Swiss dropped his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Holmgren broke his opponents 8 times with a 30% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Riedi
R1
Sharipov
R2
Kukushkin
1/4
McCabe
Total
Score 3-6 6-4 7-5 6-3 6-2 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 31 17 17 65
pts 112-107 60-40 67-45 239-192
Total points 219 100 112 431
Winners 42 21 29 92
%Winners 38% 35% 43% 38%
SERVE
Aces 13 8 1 22
Double Faults 3 1 0 4
1st in 51/87 26/50 40/58 117/195
% 1st in 59% 52% 69% 60%
1st pts 42/51 21/26 29/40 92/117
% 1st pts 82% 81% 73% 79%
2nd pts 21/36 14/24 12/18 47/78
% 2nd pts 58% 58% 67% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 4 3 9
Converted 2/16 4/7 3/8 9/31
Converted % 13% 57% 38% 29%
Conceded 7 2 5 14
Saved 6/7 1/2 5/5 12
Saved % 86% 50% 100% 79%
Times Broken 1 1 0 2
Holmgren
R1
Yunchaokete
R2
Galarneau
1/4
Shimizu
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-3 7-66 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 20 19 23 62
pts 63-54 64-50 85-78 212-182
Total points 117 114 163 394
Winners 24 24 36 84
%Winners 38% 38% 42% 40%
SERVE
Aces 15 8 11 34
Double Faults 2 2 5 9
1st in 28/52 26/45 49/79 103/176
% 1st in 54% 58% 62% 59%
1st pts 24/28 24/26 36/49 84/103
% 1st pts 86% 92% 73% 82%
2nd pts 16/24 12/19 14/30 42/73
% 2nd pts 67% 63% 47% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 3 3 8
Converted 2/7 3/7 3/13 8/27
Converted % 29% 43% 23% 30%
Conceded 0 0 6 6
Saved 0/0 0/0 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 22%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Riedi
WWWWWWWWWW
Holmgren
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
18 - 13
27 - 27
10-6
Hard
13-12
3-3
I Hard
3-6
4-3
Clay
6-3
1-1
Grass
5-6

Tennis Scores in Gwangju Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw