James Duckworth and Tibo Colson will face off in the semifinal of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James Duckworth who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, James Duckworth is the pick to win this match.
James Duckworth -> 1.32
Tibo Colson -> 3.04
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head James Duckworth vs. Tibo Colson
There is no head to head record between James Duckworth and Tibo Colson since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
James Duckworth
13 - 11win/loss
65
46
LLWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-24 | 13-14 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-34 | 25-20 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-29 | 23-14 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-28 | 43-21 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-27 | 20-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86, James reached the semifinal after defeating Michael Mmoh 6-4 6-3, Stefan Kozlov 6-3 6-2 and Beibit Zhukayev 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Zhukayev, Duckworth recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Duckworth scored 96 points vs Zhukayev’s 87. Duckworth was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Duckworth blasted 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, James Duckworth was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Duckworth broke Zhukayev 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - James Duckworth's projected path
Duckworth has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (293-205). 7-2 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Duckworth has an overall 30-24 match record in the last years on clay.
The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the San Luis Potosi Challenger.
James has a composed 12-11 win-loss record in 2026, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Tibo Colson
19 - 8win/loss
520
390
LWWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-8 | 7-3 | 7-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2025 | 35-18 | 20-11 | 10-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 22-26 | 10-9 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2023 | 42-23 | 2-2 | 15-12 | 25-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-21 | 8-3 | 16-13 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 500, the Belgian got to the semifinal after beating Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros 6-2 4-6 7-6(3), Alafia Ayeni 7-6(0) 6-3, Miguel Tobon 1-6 6-3 6-3, Nicolas Mejia 7-5 6-3 and Juan Alejandro Hernandez 7-6(5) 2-6 7-5.
In the quarter, Tibo defeated Alejandro Hernandez (7-65 2-6 7-5). During the match Colson and Alejandro Hernandez scored the same amount of points (109). However, the world no. 86 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Belgian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Colson buried his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Tibo Colson lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Colson put 44% of his first serves in, winning 89% (39/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (26/57) on the 2nd serve. Colson broke Alejandro Hernandez 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tibo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - Tibo Colson's projected path
Tibo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Lannion.
Tibo has an overall 19-7 win-loss record in 2026, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Tibo has never competed in this tournament before.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Duckworth | Colson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 132 |
| Pts | 223-181 | 446-399 |
| Total Points | 404 | 845 |
| Winners | 98 | 175 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Duckworth played 3 matches while Colson competed in 5 matches. Colson started his run from the qualifications while Duckworth had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. James Duckworth surrendered 1 set, while Tibo Colson conceded 3 sets. Duckworth has played 6 set(s) less than Colson (7 vs 13). Therefore, Duckworth played 67 games less than Colson. James scored 98 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Tibo managed to score 175 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Duckworth | Colson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 67 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 13.4 |
| 1st in | 126/202 | 213/416 |
| %1st in | 62% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 98/126 | 175/213 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 45/76 | 102/203 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 50% |
Duckworth scored 22 aces (7.3 per match). Colson bagged 67 aces (13.4 per match). Duckworth won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Colson won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Duckworth | Colson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 14 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 14/39 |
| % Converted | 47% | 36% |
| Conceded | 11 | 29 |
| Saved | 9 | 18 |
| % Saved | 82% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 11 |
Duckworth broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Duckworth dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Colson broke his opponents 14 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Duckworth | |||||
| R1 Mmoh |
R2 Kozlov |
1/4 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 29 | 65 | |
| pts | 64-49 | 63-45 | 96-87 | 223-181 | |
| Total points | 113 | 108 | 183 | 404 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 40 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/56 | 34/56 | 54/90 | 126/202 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 27/34 | 40/54 | 98/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 79% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/22 | 21/36 | 45/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 55% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/6 | 3/8 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 38% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 71% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Colson | |||||||
| Q1 Fernando Rubio Fierros |
Q3 Ayeni |
R1 Tobon |
R2 Mejia |
1/4 Alejandro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 7-63 | 7-60 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 7-65 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 33 | 132 | |
| pts | 102-93 | 80-60 | 85-80 | 70-57 | 109-109 | 446-399 | |
| Total points | 195 | 140 | 165 | 127 | 218 | 845 | |
| Winners | 41 | 28 | 31 | 36 | 39 | 175 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% | 36% | 51% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 15 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 67 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 37 | |
| 1st in | 49/97 | 34/64 | 43/81 | 43/73 | 44/101 | 213/416 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 53% | 53% | 59% | 44% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 41/49 | 28/34 | 31/43 | 36/43 | 39/44 | 175/213 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 72% | 84% | 89% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 20/30 | 17/38 | 15/30 | 26/57 | 102/203 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 45% | 50% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/5 | 4/12 | 2/3 | 3/11 | 14/39 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 40% | 33% | 67% | 27% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/2 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 6/10 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | 20% | 100% | 60% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (2-6 6-4 7-61) – See score progression
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tibo ColsonColson – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (7-65 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela/Federico ZeballosReyes-Varela/Federico Zeballos (6-3 3-6 10-6) – See score progression
- Santiago Gonzalez/Ryan SeggermanGonzalez/Ryan Seggerman – Jody Maginley/Nicolas MejiaMaginley/Nicolas Mejia (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (2-6 6-4 7-6(1)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Tibo ColsonColson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (1-1) – H2H and prediction
