Luka Pavlovic and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will clash against each other in the quarter of the Mexico City Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the pick to win this match.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez -> 1.65
Luka Pavlovic -> 2.08
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Luka Pavlovic vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
This will be the 3rd time that Luka Pavlovic and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Pavlovic and Pacheco (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Pacheco won 4-6 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in the San Luis Potosi Challenger back in April 2026.
Luka Pavlovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-23 | 10-8 | 11-13 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 30-19 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-18 | 0-0 | 42-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-12 | 0-1 | 38-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200, Pavlovic got to the quarter after defeating Facundo Mena 7-6(4) 4-6 6-2 and Aidan Mayo 6-1 3-6 7-6(8).
In the 2nd round, The French player defeated Mayo (6-1 3-6 7-68). During the match, Pavlovic scored 110 points vs Mayo’s 103. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pavlovic overwhelmed his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Luka Pavlovic lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pavlovic put 50% of his first serves in, winning 86% (43/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (23/51) on the 2nd serve. Luka broke Mayo twice after converting 14% of his break points (2/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - Luka Pavlovic's projected path
Pavlovic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (225-145). 5-3 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pavlovic has an overall 199-113 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger.
The French player has an aggregate 10-7 win-loss record in 2026, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
15 - 11win/loss
261
196
LWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-20 | 23-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-34 | 8-12 | 18-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 22-12 | 12-14 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-15 | 6-6 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 270, Rodrigo got to the quarter after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-2 and Bor Artnak 6-4 3-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Pacheco defeated Artnak (6-4 3-6 7-5).During the match Pacheco scored less points (3) than Artnak. In fact, the world no. 200 won 90 points vs Artnak’s. That means that Pacheco was more focused during the important points. Rodrigo was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Pacheco scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (40/53) of his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rodrigo broke Artnak twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodrigo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's projected path
Pacheco’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Metepec Challenger and the San Luis Potosi Challenger.
Pacheco has a compiled 15-10 win-loss record in 2026, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024 and 2025. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pavlovic | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 47 |
| Pts | 219-206 | 156-135 |
| Total Points | 425 | 291 |
| Winners | 80 | 69 |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% |
Both Pavlovic and Pacheco played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luka Pavlovic dropped 2 sets, while Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez conceded 1 set. Pavlovic has played 1 set more than Pacheco (6 vs 5). Therefore, Pavlovic played 13 games more than Pacheco. The French player scored 80 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rodrigo scored 69 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pavlovic | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 100/213 | 86/140 |
| %1st in | 47% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 80/100 | 69/86 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 51/113 | 30/54 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 56% |
Pavlovic struck 26 aces (13 per match). Pacheco blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Pavlovic won 80% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Pacheco won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pavlovic | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/23 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 30% | 43% |
| Conceded | 17 | 5 |
| Saved | 12 | 4 |
| % Saved | 71% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Luka conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Pacheco broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Mexican conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pavlovic | ||||
| R1 Mena |
R2 Mayo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-2 | 6-1 3-6 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 29 | 60 | |
| pts | 109-103 | 110-103 | 219-206 | |
| Total points | 212 | 213 | 425 | |
| Winners | 37 | 43 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 21 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 50/112 | 50/101 | 100/213 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 50% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 43/50 | 80/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 86% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/62 | 23/51 | 51/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/14 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 14% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 86% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Pacheco | ||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Artnak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 | 47 | |
| pts | 66-42 | 90-93 | 156-135 | |
| Total points | 108 | 183 | 291 | |
| Winners | 29 | 40 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/48 | 53/92 | 86/140 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 40/53 | 69/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 75% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 23/39 | 30/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/4 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Santiago Gonzalez/Ryan SeggermanGonzalez/Ryan Seggerman – Jody Maginley/Nicolas MejiaMaginley/Nicolas Mejia (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela/Federico ZeballosReyes-Varela/Federico Zeballos (6-3 3-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tibo ColsonColson – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-1) – H2H and prediction
