Juan Alejandro Hernandez and Tibo Colson will face off in the quarter of the Mexico City Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on ESTADIO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tibo Colson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tibo Colson is the pick to win this match.
Tibo Colson -> 1.44
Juan Alejandro Hernandez -> 2.55
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Juan Alejandro Hernandez vs. Tibo Colson
This will be the 2nd time that Juan Alejandro Hernandez and Tibo Colson square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alejandro Hernandez (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Alejandro Hernandez won 6-4 6-0 in the 1st round in the Morelos Challenger back in March 2026.
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
5 - 9win/loss
471
409
LWWLLLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-22 | 16-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-31 | 13-11 | 15-18 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-17 | 13-8 | 11-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-26 | 19-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 492, Alejandro Hernandez reached the quarter after defeating Karl Poling 7-5 6-4 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 7-5 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Juan defeated Pablo Ficovich (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match, Alejandro Hernandez scored 98 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 95. Juan was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alejandro Hernandez scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 6 double faults. Juan Alejandro Hernandez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro Hernandez put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (42/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (23/41) on the 2nd serve. Juan broke Pablo Ficovich 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Juan has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - Juan Alejandro Hernandez's projected path
Alejandro Hernandez has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 52% of his matches (173-158). 3-2 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alejandro Hernandez has a composed66-58 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Mexican has a composed 5-8 win-loss record in 2026, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Tibo Colson
19 - 7win/loss
520
390
LWWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-8 | 7-3 | 7-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2025 | 35-18 | 20-11 | 10-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 22-26 | 10-9 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2023 | 42-23 | 2-2 | 15-12 | 25-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-21 | 8-3 | 16-13 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 500, Colson got to the quarter after beating Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros 6-2 4-6 7-6(3), Alafia Ayeni 7-6(0) 6-3, Miguel Tobon 1-6 6-3 6-3 and Nicolas Mejia 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Tibo had a good straight sets win against Mejia (7-5 6-3). During the match Colson scored 70 points vs Mejia’s 57. The Belgian was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Colson bagged 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Tibo Colson conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Colson put 59% of his first serves in, winning 84% (36/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Colson broke Mejia twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - Tibo Colson's projected path
Colson’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Lannion.
The Belgian has a composed 18-7 win-loss record in 2026, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Tibo has never competed in this tournament before.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alejandro Hernandez | Colson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 99 |
| Pts | 173-162 | 337-290 |
| Total Points | 335 | 627 |
| Winners | 70 | 136 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Alejandro Hernandez played 2 matches while Colson competed in 4 matches. Colson started his run from the qualifications while Alejandro Hernandez had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Juan Alejandro Hernandez surrendered 1 set, while Tibo Colson lost 2 sets. Alejandro Hernandez has played 5 set(s) less than Colson (5 vs 10). Therefore, Alejandro Hernandez played 45 games less than Colson. Alejandro Hernandez scored 70 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian scored 136 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alejandro Hernandez | Colson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 44 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 106/176 | 169/315 |
| %1st in | 60% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 70/106 | 136/169 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 35/70 | 76/146 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 52% |
Alejandro Hernandez made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Colson made 44 aces (11 per match). Alejandro Hernandez won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Colson won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alejandro Hernandez | Colson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 11/28 |
| % Converted | 59% | 39% |
| Conceded | 10 | 19 |
| Saved | 3 | 12 |
| % Saved | 30% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Mexican broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Juan surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 30% of the break points that he conceded. The Belgian broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Tibo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alejandro Hernandez | ||||
| R1 Poling |
R2 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 54 | |
| pts | 75-67 | 98-95 | 173-162 | |
| Total points | 142 | 193 | 335 | |
| Winners | 28 | 42 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 63/104 | 106/176 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/43 | 42/63 | 70/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 23/41 | 35/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/9 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 44% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Colson | ||||||
| Q1 Fernando Rubio Fierros |
Q3 Ayeni |
R1 Tobon |
R2 Mejia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 7-63 | 7-60 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 99 | |
| pts | 102-93 | 80-60 | 85-80 | 70-57 | 337-290 | |
| Total points | 195 | 140 | 165 | 127 | 627 | |
| Winners | 41 | 28 | 31 | 36 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% | 36% | 51% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 15 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 29 | |
| 1st in | 49/97 | 34/64 | 43/81 | 43/73 | 169/315 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 53% | 53% | 59% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 41/49 | 28/34 | 31/43 | 36/43 | 136/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 72% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 20/30 | 17/38 | 15/30 | 76/146 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 45% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/5 | 4/12 | 2/3 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 40% | 33% | 67% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/2 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | 20% | 100% | 121% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela/Federico ZeballosReyes-Varela/Federico Zeballos (6-3 3-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Santiago Gonzalez/Ryan SeggermanGonzalez/Ryan Seggerman – Jody Maginley/Nicolas MejiaMaginley/Nicolas Mejia (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tibo ColsonColson – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-1) – H2H and prediction
