Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime will square off in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.101
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 6.8
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 7th time that Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but Auger-Aliassime leads 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sinner won 7-5 6-1 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2025.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Nitto atp finals 10-November-2025
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-3 | 19-2 | 18-1 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sinner got to the quarter after defeating Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-0 and Tomas Machac 6-1 6-7(3) 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Italian defeated Machac (6-1 6-73 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 92 points vs Machac’s 72. Jannik was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner made 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Machac 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 59% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Jannik Sinner's projected path
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 77% of his matches (425-129). 2-0 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an overall98-40 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(6) 7-6(4) and in Miami where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 6-4 6-4.
Jannik has an aggregate 21-2 win-loss record in 2026, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Felix Auger-Aliassime
17 - 6win/loss
5
4
WLWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-16 | 11-7 | 8-5 | 8-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Felix reached the quarter after beating Marin Cilic 7-6(4) 6-3 and Casper Ruud 7-5 2-2 ret..
In the 3rd round against Ruud, Felix had a free pass after Ruud retired on a 7-5 2-2 . scoreline.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Montpellier where he overcame Adrian Mannarino in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
The Canadian has an overall 17-6 win-loss record in 2026, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2022 and 2024. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 38 |
| Pts | 147-101 | 138-121 |
| Total Points | 248 | 259 |
| Winners | 52 | 59 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Sinner and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set while Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sinner played 6 games more than Auger-Aliassime. The Italian scored 52 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Felix recorded 59 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 66/112 | 84/127 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 52/66 | 59/84 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 26/46 | 22/43 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
Sinner scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 6 |
| Converted | 12/19 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 63% | 46% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R2 Humbert |
R3 Machac |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 6-73 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 44 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 92-72 | 147-101 | |
| Total points | 84 | 164 | 248 | |
| Winners | 21 | 31 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 43/75 | 66/112 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 31/43 | 52/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 72% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 19/32 | 26/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 7/11 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R2 Cilic |
R3 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 7-5 2-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 38 | |
| pts | 75-64 | 63-57 | 138-121 | |
| Total points | 139 | 120 | 259 | |
| Winners | 34 | 25 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 49/69 | 35/58 | 84/127 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 60% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 25/35 | 59/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 12/23 | 22/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/6 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 67% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (7-5 2-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Zizou BergsBergs (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Zizou BergsBergs (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (7-5 2-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-7(3) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
