Luka Pavlovic and Aidan Mayo will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Pavlovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luka Pavlovic is the pick to win this match.
Luka Pavlovic -> 1.27
Aidan Mayo -> 3.34
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Luka Pavlovic vs. Aidan Mayo
There is no head to head record between Luka Pavlovic and Aidan Mayo since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Luka Pavlovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-23 | 10-8 | 11-13 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 30-19 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-18 | 0-0 | 42-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-12 | 0-1 | 38-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200, Luka reached the 2nd round after defeating Facundo Mena 7-6(4) 4-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, Pavlovic defeated Mena (7-64 4-6 6-2). During the match, Pavlovic scored 109 points vs Mena’s 103. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pavlovic fired 5 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Luka Pavlovic lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pavlovic put 45% of his first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (28/62) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Mena 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Pavlovic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (224-145). 4-3 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Pavlovic has an overall 198-113 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Luka’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger.
The French player has an aggregate 9-7 win-loss record in 2026, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Aidan Mayo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-20 | 20-16 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 17-22 | 16-12 | 0-4 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-32 | 16-18 | 4-4 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-28 | 24-15 | 2-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-25 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 674, Aidan got to the 2nd round after beating Dan Martin 3-6 6-3 7-6(2).
In the 1st round against Martin, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-62). During the match Mayo scored 102 points vs Martin’s 87. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Mayo struck 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Aidan Mayo was quite effective on serve to win 87% (34/39) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Martin twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Mayo has a composed 4-3 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pavlovic | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 |
| Pts | 109-103 | 102-87 |
| Total Points | 212 | 189 |
| Winners | 37 | 34 |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% |
Both Pavlovic and Mayo played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Luka Pavlovic conceded 1 set, while Aidan Mayo conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Pavlovic and Mayo have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (31). Pavlovic scored 37 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 34 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pavlovic | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 10 |
| 1st in | 50/112 | 39/80 |
| %1st in | 45% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 34/39 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 28/62 | 25/41 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 61% |
Pavlovic fired 5 aces . Mayo recorded 10 aces . Pavlovic won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Mayo won 87% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pavlovic | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/7 |
| % Converted | 56% | 29% |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 60% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Luka broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Pavlovic conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Aidan broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Aidan conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pavlovic | |||
| R1 Mena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 109-103 | 109-103 | |
| Total points | 212 | 212 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 50/112 | 50/112 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 45% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 37/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/62 | 28/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Mayo | |||
| R1 Martin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 102-87 | 102-87 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 39/80 | 39/80 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 34/39 | 34/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | 25/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Corentin DenollyDenolly (7-5 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Matias SotoSoto (6-1 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Marc PolmansPolmans (7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Tibo ColsonColson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (1-1) – H2H and prediction
