Jannik Sinner and Tomas Machac will square off in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.039
Tomas Machac -> 11
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Tomas Machac
This will be the 4th time that Jannik Sinner and Tomas Machac fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in Doha back in February 2026.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Tomas Machac – Doha 16-February-2026
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-3 | 19-2 | 18-1 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Italian reached the 3rd round after defeating Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-3 6-0). During the match, Sinner scored 55 points vs Humbert’s 29. Sinner was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jannik Sinner conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 62% of his first serves in, win 91% (21/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Humbert 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Jannik Sinner's projected path
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 77% of his matches (424-129). 1-0 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed97-40 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(6) 7-6(4) and in Miami where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Italian has a compiled 20-2 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14-13 | 8-7 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 23-19 | 15-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 53, the Czech got to the 3rd round after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-4 1-6 6-3 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-6(2) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Tomas had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (7-62 6-3). During the match Machac scored 83 points vs Cerundolo’s 74. Tomas was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Machac struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Machac lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Machac put 65% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Tomas broke Cerundolo 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tomas has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Tomas Machac's projected path
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Adelaide where he beat Ugo Humbert in the final 6-4 6-7(2) 6-2.
Tomas has a composed 10-6 win-loss record in 2026, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 48 |
| Pts | 55-29 | 169-159 |
| Total Points | 84 | 328 |
| Winners | 21 | 69 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Sinner played 1 match while Machac competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Tomas Machac conceded 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Machac (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sinner played 33 games less than Machac. Jannik scored 21 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Tomas managed to score 69 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 105/159 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 69/105 |
| %1st pts | 91% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 27/54 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 50% |
Sinner struck 6 aces . Machac fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sinner won 91% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 7/19 |
| % Converted | 63% | 37% |
| Conceded | 0 | 17 |
| Saved | 0 | 11 |
| % Saved | 0% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jannik had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Czech broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Czech conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||
| R2 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 55-29 | |
| Total points | 84 | 84 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 23/37 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 21/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Machac | ||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| pts | 86-85 | 83-74 | 169-159 | |
| Total points | 171 | 157 | 328 | |
| Winners | 33 | 36 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/71 | 57/88 | 105/159 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 36/57 | 69/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 63% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 15/31 | 27/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/11 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 36% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 13 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 10/13 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 77% | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cristian GarinGarin (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Terence AtmaneAtmane (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Marin CilicCilic (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-65 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Terence AtmaneAtmane (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cristian GarinGarin (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marin CilicCilic (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alexander BublikBublik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
