Joao Fonseca and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT DES PRINCES. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.6
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Joao Fonseca vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 2nd time that Joao Fonseca and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-1 7-6(5) in the Rubber 1 in Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna back in 2024.
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-13 | 7-4 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-17 | 22-6 | 8-5 | 6-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Fonseca got to the 3rd round after beating Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-3 and Arthur Rinderknech 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Brazilian defeated Rinderknech (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Fonseca scored 99 points vs Rinderknech’s 97. Joao was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fonseca bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 68% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. Fonseca broke Rinderknech 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Joao has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Joao Fonseca's projected path
Fonseca has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (99-55). 3-2 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fonseca has an overall40-27 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Fonseca has a compiled 7-5 win-loss record in 2026, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Fonseca has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 22-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 90, Berrettini got to the 3rd round after beating Roberto Bautista Agut 4-0 ret. and Daniil Medvedev 6-0 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-0 6-0). During the match Berrettini scored 50 points vs Medvedev’s 17. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (16/22) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Medvedev 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Matteo Berrettini's projected path
The Italian has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2026, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2025. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fonseca | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 16 |
| Pts | 164-146 | 69-23 |
| Total Points | 310 | 92 |
| Winners | 72 | 24 |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% |
Both Fonseca and Berrettini played 2 matches. At the moment, Joao Fonseca lost 1 set while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fonseca has played 1 set more than Berrettini (5 vs 4). Therefore, Fonseca played 32 games more than Berrettini. The Brazilian scored 72 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo managed to score 24 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fonseca | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 106/158 | 31/44 |
| %1st in | 67% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 72/106 | 24/31 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 31/52 | 11/13 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 85% |
Fonseca bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Berrettini bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Fonseca won 68% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 85% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fonseca | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 8/11 |
| % Converted | 53% | 73% |
| Conceded | 16 | 2 |
| Saved | 13 | 2 |
| % Saved | 81% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Fonseca broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Berrettini was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Fonseca | ||||
| R1 Diallo |
R2 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 48 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 99-97 | 164-146 | |
| Total points | 114 | 196 | 310 | |
| Winners | 22 | 50 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 51% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 71/104 | 106/158 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 50/71 | 72/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 70% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 19/33 | 31/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 58% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/7 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 43% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 12 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 10/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Bautista-Agut |
R2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-0 ret. | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 4 | 12 | 16 | |
| pts | 19-6 | 50-17 | 69-23 | |
| Total points | 25 | 67 | 92 | |
| Winners | 8 | 16 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 32% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 9/10 | 22/34 | 31/44 | |
| % 1st in | 90% | 65% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 8/9 | 16/22 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 1/1 | 10/12 | 11/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 100% | 83% | 85% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 6/8 | 8/11 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cristian GarinGarin (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Terence AtmaneAtmane (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Marin CilicCilic (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-65 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Terence AtmaneAtmane (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cristian GarinGarin (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marin CilicCilic (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alexander BublikBublik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
