Robin Catry and Karl Poling will play each other in the qualifications of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Robin Catry who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Robin Catry is the pick to win this match.
Robin Catry -> 1.42
Karl Poling -> 2.61
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Robin Catry vs. Karl Poling
There is no head to head record between Robin Catry and Karl Poling since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Robin Catry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-20 | 11-10 | 1-3 | 10-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| 2025 | 30-22 | 12-10 | 3-3 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 23-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-10 | 5-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-7 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 548, Catry reached the qualifications after beating Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications, Catry had a good straight sets win against Schtulmann Gasca (6-1 6-1). During the match, Catry scored 64 points vs Schtulmann Gasca’s 35. Robin was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Catry recorded 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Robin Catry was extremely effective on serve to win 100% (17/17) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Schtulmann Gasca 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Catry has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (94-59). 1-1 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Catry has an overall9-10 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Catry’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Lannion.
The French player has an overall 15-8 win-loss record in 2026, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Catry has never competed in this tournament before.
Karl Poling
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-27 | 20-18 | 3-3 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-34 | 13-17 | 12-9 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-15 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 567, the American got to the qualifications after beating Mateus Alves 6-3 4-1 ret..
In the qualifications against Alves, Poling had a free pass after Alves retired on a 6-3 4-1 . scoreline.
The American has a composed 8-10 win-loss record in 2026, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Catry | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 |
| Pts | 64-35 | 71-51 |
| Total Points | 99 | 122 |
| Winners | 17 | 22 |
| %Winners | 27% | 31% |
Both Catry and Poling played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Catry has played 1 set(s) less than Poling (2 vs 3). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (14). Robin scored 17 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, Poling scored 22 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Catry | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 2 |
| 1st in | 17/35 | 29/53 |
| %1st in | 49% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 17/17 | 22/29 |
| %1st pts | 100% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 15/24 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 63% |
Catry struck 9 aces . Poling bagged 2 aces . Catry won 100% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Poling won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Catry | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 5 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Robin broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Robin extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Poling broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Poling was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Catry | |||
| Q1 Schtulmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 64-35 | 64-35 | |
| Total points | 99 | 99 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 17/35 | 17/35 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 17/17 | 17/17 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 11/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Poling | |||
| Q1 Alves |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 71-51 | 71-51 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/53 | 29/53 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 15/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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