Jakub Paul and John Sperle will face off in the qualifications of the Naples Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on CAMPO 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jakub Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jakub Paul is the pick to win this match.
Jakub Paul -> 1.46
John Sperle -> 2.49
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jakub Paul vs. John Sperle
There is no head to head record between Jakub Paul and John Sperle since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jakub Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-21 | 14-5 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-27 | 15-9 | 17-11 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-24 | 20-4 | 14-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2022 | 25-26 | 4-4 | 20-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 522, Jakub reached the qualifications after defeating Laurent Lokoli 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Lokoli (6-2 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 70 points vs Lokoli’s 52. The Swiss was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul scored just 1 ace during the match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Jakub Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 65% of his first serves in, winning 63% (25/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Swiss broke Lokoli 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Paul has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (241-186). 1-0 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a composed 99-79 record in the last years on clay.
Jakub has an overall 2-3 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Naples Challenger
The Swiss has never competed in this tournament before.
John Sperle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 34-21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 31-28 | 0-0 | 31-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 6-8 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 10-7 | 32-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-21 | 1-2 | 24-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 822, John got to the qualifications after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-4 6-7(2) 6-2.
In the qualifications, The German defeated Arnaboldi (6-4 6-72 6-2). During the match Sperle scored 102 points vs Arnaboldi’s 92. John was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Sperle managed to score 5 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. John Sperle lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sperle put 68% of his first serves in, winning 66% (43/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the 2nd serve. Sperle broke Arnaboldi 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Sperle has an overall 9-6 win-loss record in 2026, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 |
| Pts | 70-52 | 102-92 |
| Total Points | 122 | 194 |
| Winners | 25 | 43 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Both Paul and Sperle played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, John Sperle surrendered 1 set while Jakub Paul hasn’t dropped a set so far. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Sperle (2 vs 3). Therefore, Paul played 15 games less than Sperle. Jakub scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, John recorded 43 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 65/96 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 25/40 | 43/65 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 19/31 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 61% |
Paul scored 1 ace . Sperle also scored 5 aces . Paul won 63% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sperle won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Jakub broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Paul surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||
| Q1 Lokoli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 70-52 | 70-52 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 40/62 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/40 | 25/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 11/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Sperle | |||
| Q1 Arnaboldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-72 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 102-92 | 102-92 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 65/96 | 65/96 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 43/65 | 43/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 19/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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