Pablo Carreno-Busta and Kimmer Coppejans will face off in the semifinal of the Murcia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.32
Kimmer Coppejans -> 3.04
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Kimmer Coppejans
This will be the 2nd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Kimmer Coppejans face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Carreno-Busta won 2-6 7-5 7-5 in the semifinal in Turkey F2.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
11 - 7win/loss
69
10
LLLWLLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-19 | 8-9 | 18-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Pablo reached the semifinal after defeating Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6(3) 6-1, Felix Gill 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Pellegrino (6-3 6-4). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 64 points vs Pellegrino’s 49. Carreno-Busta was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carreno-Busta broke Pellegrino 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
ATP Murcia Challenger - Pablo Carreno-Busta's projected path
Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (262-177). 3-0 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carreno-Busta has an overall 92-61 record in the last years on clay.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 11-7 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Kimmer Coppejans
10 - 6win/loss
227
97
LWLLLLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37-27 | 5-6 | 29-18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-29 | 20-10 | 24-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-8 | 22-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-30 | 4-5 | 24-19 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 6-8 | 30-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 244, Kimmer reached the semifinal after beating Elmer Moller 6-4 6-1, Christoph Negritu 7-5 6-4 and Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-0 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Kimmer defeated Arnaud Bailly (6-0 3-6 6-3). During the match Coppejans scored 81 points vs Arnaud Bailly’s 67. Coppejans was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Coppejans scored 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Kimmer Coppejans lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Coppejans put 66% of his first serves in, winning 62% (31/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Arnaud Bailly 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Murcia Challenger - Kimmer Coppejans's projected path
Coppejans has a composed 10-6 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019 and 2025. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Coppejans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 63 |
| Pts | 230-185 | 233-188 |
| Total Points | 415 | 421 |
| Winners | 99 | 91 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Coppejans played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta conceded 1 set, while Kimmer Coppejans lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Coppejans have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Carreno-Busta played 3 games more than Coppejans. The Spaniard scored 99 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian scored 91 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Coppejans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 138/197 | 135/227 |
| %1st in | 70% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 99/138 | 91/135 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 37/59 | 47/92 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 51% |
Carreno-Busta recorded 4 aces (1.3 per match). Coppejans made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Carreno-Busta won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Coppejans won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Coppejans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 16 |
| Converted | 10/27 | 16/29 |
| % Converted | 37% | 55% |
| Conceded | 9 | 36 |
| Saved | 5 | 29 |
| % Saved | 56% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. Pablo lost his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Kimmer broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Coppejans conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | |||||
| R1 Sanchez |
R2 Gill |
1/4 Pellegrino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 19 | 66 | |
| pts | 72-58 | 94-78 | 64-49 | 230-185 | |
| Total points | 130 | 172 | 113 | 415 | |
| Winners | 28 | 45 | 26 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 48% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 61/81 | 34/53 | 138/197 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 75% | 64% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 28/43 | 45/61 | 26/34 | 99/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 74% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | 13/19 | 37/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | 68% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/10 | 3/8 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 30% | 38% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 75% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Coppejans | |||||
| R1 Moller |
R2 Negritu |
1/4 Arnaud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-0 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 24 | 63 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 82-71 | 81-67 | 233-188 | |
| Total points | 120 | 153 | 148 | 421 | |
| Winners | 25 | 35 | 31 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 36/64 | 49/87 | 50/76 | 135/227 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 66% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 35/49 | 31/50 | 91/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 71% | 62% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 21/38 | 13/26 | 47/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 55% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 3/7 | 7/12 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 43% | 58% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 14 | 11 | 36 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 13/14 | 7/11 | 29 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 93% | 64% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger
- Karol Drzewiecki/Piotr MatuszewskiDrzewiecki/Piotr Matuszewski – Alexander Merino/Christoph NegrituMerino/Christoph Negritu (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
