Jesper De Jong and Pablo Llamas Ruiz will clash against each other in the quarter of the Murcia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.82
Pablo Llamas Ruiz -> 1.86
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz
This will be the 2nd time that Jesper De Jong and Pablo Llamas Ruiz face off. The head to head is 1-0 for De Jong (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, De Jong won 7-5 7-6(6) in the qualifications in at the French Open back in 2024.
Jesper De Jong
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-26 | 5-10 | 20-13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-31 | 8-7 | 20-13 | 5-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 12-5 | 33-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, the Dutch reached the quarter after defeating Benjamin Hassan 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Max Houkes 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, De Jong had a good straight sets win against Houkes (6-1 6-3). During the match, De Jong scored 62 points vs Houkes’s 45. Jesper was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Jong scored 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jesper De Jong lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, De Jong put 60% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. De Jong broke Houkes 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
ATP Murcia Challenger - Jesper De Jong's projected path
De Jong has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (291-185). 2-0 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Jong has a composed 167-91 record in the last years on clay.
The Dutch has an aggregate 3-7 win-loss record in 2026, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
9 - 5win/loss
140
116
LWLWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36-21 | 9-10 | 23-8 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-21 | 5-5 | 23-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-16 | 2-5 | 10-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-21 | 12-6 | 33-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-23 | 2-4 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 191, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating David Jorda Sanchis 6-1 6-2 and Jan Choinski 6-2 6-7(4) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Pablo defeated Choinski (6-2 6-74 6-3). During the match Llamas Ruiz scored 97 points vs Choinski’s 80. Pablo was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Llamas Ruiz struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Pablo Llamas Ruiz was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (50/63) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pablo broke Choinski 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
ATP Murcia Challenger - Pablo Llamas Ruiz's projected path
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 2 Challenger.
Llamas Ruiz has an aggregate 9-5 win-loss record in 2026, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Jong | Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 45 |
| Pts | 151-128 | 154-109 |
| Total Points | 279 | 263 |
| Winners | 60 | 73 |
| %Winners | 40% | 47% |
Both De Jong and Llamas Ruiz played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jesper De Jong surrendered 1 set, while Pablo Llamas Ruiz dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Jong and Llamas Ruiz have played the same amount of sets 5. However, De Jong played 2 games less than Llamas Ruiz. Jesper scored 60 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Llamas Ruiz blasted 73 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Jong | Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 76/144 | 92/129 |
| %1st in | 53% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 60/76 | 73/92 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 34/68 | 23/37 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 62% |
De Jong struck 12 aces (6 per match). Llamas Ruiz recorded 8 aces (4 per match). De Jong won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Llamas Ruiz won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Jong | Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 44% | 57% |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 75% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
De Jong broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. De Jong lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Pablo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| De Jong | ||||
| R1 Hassan |
R2 Houkes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 16 | 43 | |
| pts | 89-83 | 62-45 | 151-128 | |
| Total points | 172 | 107 | 279 | |
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 40/84 | 36/60 | 76/144 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 60% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 29/36 | 60/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 9/24 | 34/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 38% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/10 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 5/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 83% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Llamas Ruiz | ||||
| R1 Jorda Sanchis |
R2 Choinski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-74 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 30 | 45 | |
| pts | 57-29 | 97-80 | 154-109 | |
| Total points | 86 | 177 | 263 | |
| Winners | 23 | 50 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 63/84 | 92/129 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 75% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 50/63 | 73/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 13/21 | 23/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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