Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Alejandro Moro Canas will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Murcia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Moro Canas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Moro Canas is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 1.75
Gilles Arnaud Bailly -> 1.94
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs. Alejandro Moro Canas
This will be the 2nd time that Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Alejandro Moro Canas face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaud Bailly (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Arnaud Bailly won 6-4 1-6 6-3 in the semifinal in the Porto 2 Challenger back in 2025.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
4 - 6win/loss
316
201
LLWLLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17-27 | 3-5 | 14-19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 74-25 | 29-9 | 42-14 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 14-15 | 2-1 | 10-13 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-24 | 2-2 | 24-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 8-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 212, the Belgian got to the 2nd round after beating Saba Purtseladze 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Arnaud Bailly defeated Purtseladze (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match, Arnaud Bailly scored 104 points vs Purtseladze’s 91. The Belgian was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaud Bailly scored 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gilles Arnaud Bailly lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Arnaud Bailly put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (37/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Purtseladze 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Arnaud Bailly has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (127-76). 1-0 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaud Bailly has a composed81-46 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Arnaud Bailly has a compiled 4-6 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Arnaud Bailly has never competed in this tournament before.
Alejandro Moro Canas
9 - 6win/loss
228
142
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32-27 | 10-7 | 18-16 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-34 | 19-11 | 19-19 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-28 | 11-8 | 17-13 | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-31 | 17-11 | 17-15 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-18 | 20-8 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 239, Moro Canas got to the 2nd round after beating Vilius Gaubas 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Gaubas (7-62 6-2). During the match Moro Canas scored 84 points vs Gaubas’s 68. Alejandro was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Moro Canas scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moro Canas put 73% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro broke Gaubas 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Tenerife 2 Challenger.
Alejandro has a composed 9-6 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaud Bailly | Moro Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 21 |
| Pts | 104-91 | 84-68 |
| Total Points | 195 | 152 |
| Winners | 37 | 33 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Arnaud Bailly and Moro Canas played 1 match. At the moment, Gilles Arnaud Bailly surrendered 1 set while Alejandro Moro Canas hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Arnaud Bailly has played 1 set more than Moro Canas (3 vs 2). Therefore, Arnaud Bailly played 8 games more than Moro Canas. The Belgian scored 37 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 33 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaud Bailly | Moro Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 49/67 |
| %1st in | 63% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 37/57 | 33/49 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 10/18 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 56% |
Arnaud Bailly bagged 2 aces . Moro Canas bagged 1 ace . Arnaud Bailly won 65% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Moro Canas won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaud Bailly | Moro Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 38% | 36% |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 20% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Arnaud Bailly broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaud Bailly | |||
| R1 Purtseladze |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 104-91 | 104-91 | |
| Total points | 195 | 195 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 57/90 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 18/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Moro Canas | |||
| R1 Gaubas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 84-68 | 84-68 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 49/67 | 49/67 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 33/49 | 33/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-2 6-74 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Christoph NegrituNegritu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Max HoukesHoukes (0-0) – H2H and prediction
