Pablo Carreno-Busta and Felix Gill will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Murcia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.32
Felix Gill -> 3.04
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Felix Gill
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Felix Gill since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
9 - 7win/loss
69
10
LLLWLLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-19 | 8-9 | 18-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Carreno-Busta got to the 2nd round after defeating Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6(3) 6-1.
In the 1st round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Sanchez Jover (7-63 6-1). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 72 points vs Sanchez Jover’s 58. Carreno-Busta was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 68% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Sanchez Jover 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Carreno-Busta has winning record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (260-177). 1-0 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 90-61 match record in the last years on clay.
Carreno-Busta has a compiled 9-7 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Felix Gill
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-24 | 8-6 | 21-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 51-15 | 0-1 | 51-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-26 | 4-2 | 29-21 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-24 | 7-4 | 36-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-21 | 1-2 | 24-13 | 5-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 252 (career-high), the Brit reached the 2nd round after defeating Nicolas Parizzia 6-2 6-4, Federico Arnaboldi 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Filip Pieczonka 6-3 3-6 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Gill defeated Pieczonka (6-3 3-6 7-65). During the match Gill scored 113 points vs Pieczonka’s 105. Felix was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Gill blasted 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Felix Gill lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gill put 63% of his first serves in, winning 73% (44/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (14/35) on the 2nd serve. Gill broke Pieczonka 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Felix’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Antalya and the Pune Challenger.
Gill has a compiled 16-4 win-loss record in 2026, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Gill |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 77 |
| Pts | 72-58 | 274-241 |
| Total Points | 130 | 515 |
| Winners | 28 | 121 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Carreno-Busta played 1 match while Gill competed in 3 matches. Gill started his run from the qualifications while Carreno-Busta had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Felix Gill lost 2 sets while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Carreno-Busta has played 6 set(s) less than Gill (2 vs 8). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 57 games less than Gill. Carreno-Busta scored 28 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Gill bagged 121 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Gill |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 155/239 |
| %1st in | 68% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 28/43 | 121/155 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 36/84 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 43% |
Carreno-Busta managed to score 2 aces . Gill struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Carreno-Busta won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Gill won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Gill |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 10 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 10/30 |
| % Converted | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded | 3 | 16 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 33% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Pablo lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Felix broke his opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Sanchez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 72-58 | 72-58 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 43/63 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 28/43 | 28/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gill | |||||
| Q1 Parizzia |
Q3 Arnaboldi |
R1 Pieczonka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 | 31 | 77 | |
| pts | 64-49 | 97-87 | 113-105 | 274-241 | |
| Total points | 113 | 184 | 218 | 515 | |
| Winners | 29 | 48 | 44 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 49% | 39% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 60/88 | 60/95 | 155/239 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 48/60 | 44/60 | 121/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 80% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/28 | 14/35 | 36/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 39% | 40% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/10 | 4/16 | 10/30 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 30% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 7 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/8 | 3/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 43% | 218% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-2 6-74 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
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