Toby Samuel and Harry Wendelken will play each other in the final of the Hersonissos 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Toby Samuel who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Toby Samuel is the pick to win this match.
Toby Samuel -> 1.32
Harry Wendelken -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Toby Samuel vs. Harry Wendelken
This will be the 2nd time that Toby Samuel and Harry Wendelken square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Wendelken (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Wendelken won 6-7(1) 6-3 7-5 in the 2nd round in M25 Loughborough back in 2023.
Toby Samuel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-16 | 29-5 | 7-5 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 57-16 | 49-11 | 3-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-14 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-5 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 244, the Brit got to the final after beating Raul Brancaccio 6-3 4-6 6-3, Daniel Rincon 7-6(2) 6-4, Abedallah Shelbayh 6-4 6-3 and Stefanos Sakellaridis 6-2 6-0.
In the semifinal, Samuel had a good straight sets win against Sakellaridis (6-2 6-0). During the match, Samuel scored 56 points vs Sakellaridis’s 27. Toby was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Samuel scored 3 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Toby Samuel conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 75% of his first serves in, win 89% (24/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (4/9) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Sakellaridis 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Toby has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
ATP Hersonissos 1 Challenger - Toby Samuel's projected path
Samuel has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 74% of his matches (117-41). 11-3 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Samuel has an aggregate79-20 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
The Brit’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Vale do Lobo.
Toby has an aggregate 14-4 win-loss record in 2026, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Hersonissos 1 Challenger
Samuel has never competed in this tournament before.
Harry Wendelken
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39-23 | 23-10 | 0-3 | 13-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 50-27 | 25-14 | 1-1 | 22-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-33 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 14-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 29-26 | 12-10 | 0-1 | 15-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-22 | 8-7 | 1-2 | 15-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 277, Harry got to the final after defeating Lui Maxted 4-6 6-1 6-3, Stefan Dostanic 4-6 6-3 6-4, Lukas Neumayer 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4 and Dimitar Kuzmanov 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Kuzmanov (6-4 6-2). During the match Wendelken scored 68 points vs Kuzmanov’s 49. Harry was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Talking about serving, Wendelken was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Harry Wendelken lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Wendelken put 43% of his first serves in, winning 65% (15/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the 2nd serve. Wendelken broke Kuzmanov 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Hersonissos 1 Challenger - Harry Wendelken's projected path
Harry’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Sheffield.
Wendelken has an aggregate 16-5 win-loss record in 2026, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samuel | Wendelken |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 104 |
| Pts | 306-238 | 370-300 |
| Total Points | 544 | 670 |
| Winners | 108 | 126 |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% |
Both Samuel and Wendelken played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Toby Samuel dropped 1 set, while Harry Wendelken surrendered 3 sets. Samuel has played 2 set(s) less than Wendelken (9 vs 11). Therefore, Samuel played 20 games less than Wendelken. Toby scored 108 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 126 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samuel | Wendelken |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 152/251 | 172/341 |
| %1st in | 61% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 108/152 | 126/172 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 57/99 | 89/169 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Samuel blasted 8 aces (2 per match). Wendelken bagged 24 aces (6 per match). Samuel won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Wendelken won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samuel | Wendelken |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 21 |
| Converted | 18/37 | 21/36 |
| % Converted | 49% | 58% |
| Conceded | 15 | 34 |
| Saved | 8 | 23 |
| % Saved | 53% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
Toby broke his opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. Samuel dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Wendelken broke his opponents 21 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Samuel | ||||||
| R1 Brancaccio |
R2 Rincon |
1/4 Shelbayh |
1/2 Sakellaridis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 7-62 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 23 | 19 | 14 | 84 | |
| pts | 94-80 | 83-72 | 73-59 | 56-27 | 306-238 | |
| Total points | 174 | 155 | 132 | 83 | 544 | |
| Winners | 35 | 28 | 21 | 24 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% | 29% | 43% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 36/73 | 35/60 | 27/36 | 152/251 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 49% | 58% | 75% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/54 | 28/36 | 21/35 | 24/27 | 108/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 78% | 60% | 89% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/28 | 18/37 | 14/25 | 4/9 | 57/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 49% | 56% | 44% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/9 | 6/10 | 5/8 | 18/37 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 60% | 63% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | 40% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wendelken | ||||||
| R1 Maxted |
R2 Dostanic |
1/4 Neumayer |
1/2 Kuzmanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-73 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 104 | |
| pts | 97-69 | 98-90 | 107-92 | 68-49 | 370-300 | |
| Total points | 166 | 188 | 199 | 117 | 670 | |
| Winners | 34 | 37 | 40 | 15 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% | 37% | 22% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 46/80 | 52/111 | 51/96 | 23/54 | 172/341 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 47% | 53% | 43% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 37/52 | 40/51 | 15/23 | 126/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 71% | 78% | 65% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 28/59 | 22/45 | 20/31 | 89/169 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 47% | 49% | 65% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/5 | 5/7 | 5/9 | 21/36 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 100% | 71% | 56% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 34 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7/11 | 7/9 | 2/4 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 64% | 78% | 50% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Harry WendelkenWendelken – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
