H2H, prediction of Otto Virtanen vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert in Thionville Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 5th March 2026

PREVIEW. Thionville Challenger. Virtanen and Herbert will play each other in the 2nd round of the Thionville Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 5th of March

Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Otto Virtanen and Pierre-Hugues Herbert will square off in the 2nd round of the Thionville Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Otto Virtanen who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Otto Virtanen is the pick to win this match.
Otto Virtanen -> 1.56
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -> 2.24

 

 

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Bonus

Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert

This will be the 2nd time that Otto Virtanen and Pierre-Hugues Herbert fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Virtanen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Virtanen won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in the Lugano Challenger back in 2024.

Otto Virtanen

Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen

9 - 3win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
4-0
Rank
108
High
91
LWWLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 31-21 8-6 7-10 5-1 11-4 0-0
2025 27-24 4-9 5-9 12-6 6-0 0-0
2024 43-28 9-11 5-7 24-7 5-3 0-0
2023 33-31 4-6 4-10 22-11 3-4 0-0
2022 46-31 4-1 7-12 25-13 8-3 2-2

Ranked no. 128, Virtanen reached the 2nd round after beating Tom Paris 6-4 1-6 7-6(2).

In the 1st round, Virtanen defeated Paris (6-4 1-6 7-62).During the match, Virtanen scored less points (5) than Paris. In fact, the world no. 128 won 88 points vs Paris’s. That means that Virtanen was more focused during the important points. Otto was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Virtanen blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the 2nd serve. Virtanen broke Paris twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Virtanen has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (240-163). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Virtanen has an overall 134-54 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Virtanen’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Manama Challenger.

The Finn has a composed 8-3 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Thionville Challenger

Virtanen has never competed in this tournament before.

Virtanen
Thionville Challenger
Virtanen's Record

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues Herbert

9 - 5win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
5-2
Rank
278
High
36
LLWLLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 17-18 5-5 5-8 5-3 2-2 0-0
2025 27-27 1-5 8-11 15-8 3-3 0-0
2024 33-31 3-5 8-11 19-12 3-3 0-0
2023 26-22 2-4 5-4 16-11 3-3 0-0
2022 18-15 0-0 2-5 10-7 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 157, Herbert got to the 2nd round after beating Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3.

In the 1st round, Herbert defeated Arnaud Bailly (6-3 6-73 6-3). During the match Herbert scored 100 points vs Arnaud Bailly’s 84. Pierre-Hugues was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Herbert recorded 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pierre-Hugues Herbert was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 67% (24/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pierre-Hugues broke Arnaud Bailly 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

The French player best result of the current year was reaching the final in the St. Brieuc Challenger.

Herbert has a composed 9-4 win-loss record in 2026, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Herbert
Thionville Challenger
Herbert's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

O.Virtanen
P.Herbert
1h:55
1h:55
Time on court​
2h:09
2h:09
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
!
2h:09
2h:09
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
31
31
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
88
88
Total points​
100
100
88
88
Avg point​
100
100
34
34
Winners
39
39
34
34
Avg Winners​
39
39
39%
39%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
12
12
7
7
Avg Aces
!
12
12
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
34/49
34/49
1st won total​
39/49
39/49
69%
69%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
18/30
18/30
2nd won total​
24/36
24/36
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
2/7
2/7
BP won
3/7
3/7
2/7
2/7
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
!
29%
29%
Won
43%
43%
6
6
Conceded
2
2
6
6
Avg Conceded
2
2
3
3
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Virtanen Herbert
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 31
Pts 88-93 100-84
Total Points 181 184
Winners 34 39
%Winners 39% 39%

Both Virtanen and Herbert played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Otto Virtanen dropped 1 set, while Pierre-Hugues Herbert dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Virtanen and Herbert have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Virtanen played 1 game less than Herbert. Otto scored 34 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The French player managed to score 39 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Virtanen Herbert
Aces 7 12
Avg per match 7 12
1st in 49/79 49/85
%1st in 62% 58%
1st pts 34/49 39/49
%1st pts 69% 80%
2nd pts 18/30 24/36
%2nd pts 60% 67%

Virtanen blasted 7 aces . Herbert struck 12 aces . Virtanen won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Herbert won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Virtanen Herbert
Won 2 3
Converted 2/7 3/7
% Converted 29% 43%
Conceded 6 2
Saved 3 1
% Saved 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 1

Otto broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Finn surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Herbert conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Virtanen
R1
Paris
Total
Score 6-4 1-6 7-62
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 88-93 88-93
Total points 181 181
Winners 34 34
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 49/79 49/79
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 34/49 34/49
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 18/30 18/30
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/7 2/7
Converted % 29% 29%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3
Herbert
R1
Arnaud
Total
Score 6-3 6-73 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 100-84 100-84
Total points 184 184
Winners 39 39
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 49/85 49/85
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 39/49 39/49
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 24/36 24/36
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Virtanen
WWWWWWWWWW
Herbert
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
29 - 21
17 - 18
8-6
Hard
5-5
3-1
I Hard
5-3
7-10
Clay
5-8
11-4
Grass
2-2

Tennis Scores in Thionville Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw