H2H, prediction of Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert in St. Brieuc Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 28th February 2026

PREVIEW. St. Brieuc Challenger. Gaston and Herbert will clash against each other in the semifinal of the St. Brieuc Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 28th of February

Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Hugo Gaston and Pierre-Hugues Herbert will play each other in the semifinal of the St. Brieuc Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on COURT STEREDENN. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.5
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -> 2.375

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Bonus

Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert

This will be the 2nd time that Hugo Gaston and Pierre-Hugues Herbert square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Gaston (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gaston won 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in Marseille back in 2024.

Hugo Gaston

Hugo Gaston
Hugo Gaston

6 - 6win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
4-3
Rank
101
High
58
LWWWLWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 29-25 7-7 12-12 7-4 3-2 0-0
2025 30-31 9-12 6-14 15-4 0-1 0-0
2024 31-31 5-12 15-11 8-6 3-2 0-0
2023 45-32 6-5 30-18 8-6 1-3 0-0
2022 27-31 4-9 4-8 16-11 3-3 0-0

Ranked no. 95, the French player reached the semifinal after beating Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 6-2 6-4, Mikhail Kukushkin w/o and Ugo Blanchet 6-4 6-1.

In the quarter, Gaston had a good straight sets win against Blanchet (6-4 6-1). During the match, Gaston scored 64 points vs Blanchet’s 46. Gaston was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaston was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Gaston broke Blanchet 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaston hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

ATP St. Brieuc Challenger - Hugo Gaston's projected path

Projected draw
SF
F

Gaston has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (273-216). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gaston has an aggregate 82-60 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The French player has an overall 6-5 win-loss record in 2026, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Brieuc Challenger

Gaston has never competed in this tournament before.

Gaston
St. Brieuc Challenger
Gaston's Record

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues Herbert

8 - 3win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
4-0
Rank
278
High
36
LLWLLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 17-18 5-5 5-8 5-3 2-2 0-0
2025 27-27 1-5 8-11 15-8 3-3 0-0
2024 33-31 3-5 8-11 19-12 3-3 0-0
2023 26-22 2-4 5-4 16-11 3-3 0-0
2022 18-15 0-0 2-5 10-7 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 182, the French player reached the semifinal after beating Raphael Perot 6-4 6-4, Mark Lajal 6-4 7-6(1) and Titouan Droguet 4-6 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter against Droguet, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Herbert scored 99 points vs Droguet’s 80. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Herbert bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Pierre-Hugues Herbert was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (35/49) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pierre-Hugues broke Droguet 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Herbert has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

ATP St. Brieuc Challenger - Pierre-Hugues Herbert's projected path

Projected draw

Herbert has an overall 7-3 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Herbert
St. Brieuc Challenger
Herbert's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Gaston
P.Herbert
2h:24
2h:24
Time on court​
!
4h:57
4h:57
1h:09
1h:09
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
35
35
Games Played​
69
69
4
4
Set played​​
7
7
131
131
Total points​
242
242
65.5
65.5
Avg point​
80.7
80.7
40
40
Winners
89
89
20
20
Avg Winners​
29.7
29.7
31%
31%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
25
25
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
8.3
8.3
3
3
Double Faults
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
40/54
40/54
1st won total​
89/121
89/121
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
21/47
21/47
2nd won total​
57/92
57/92
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
11/29
11/29
BP won
9/30
9/30
5.5/14.5
5.5/14.5
Avg BP won
3/10
3/10
38%
38%
Won
30%
30%
8
8
Conceded
13
13
4
4
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
4
4
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gaston Herbert
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 7
Tot Games 35 69
Pts 131-100 242-201
Total Points 231 443
Winners 40 89
%Winners 31% 37%

Gaston played 2 matches while Herbert competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Pierre-Hugues Herbert dropped 1 set while Hugo Gaston hasn’t lost a set so far. Gaston has played 3 set(s) less than Herbert (4 vs 7). Therefore, Gaston played 34 games less than Herbert. Hugo scored 40 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Herbert scored 89 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gaston Herbert
Aces 3 25
Avg per match 1.5 8.3
1st in 54/101 121/213
%1st in 53% 57%
1st pts 40/54 89/121
%1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 21/47 57/92
%2nd pts 45% 62%

Gaston fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Herbert bagged 25 aces (8.3 per match). Gaston won 74% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Herbert won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gaston Herbert
Won 11 9
Converted 11/29 9/30
% Converted 38% 30%
Conceded 8 13
Saved 4 10
% Saved 50% 77%
Times Broken 4 3

Gaston broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Gaston lost his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Herbert broke his opponents 9 times with a 30% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
R1
Gueymard
R2
Kukushkin
1/4
Blanchet
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 w/o 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 17 35
pts 67-54 64-46 131-100
Total points 121 110 231
Winners 20 20 40
%Winners 30% 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 3
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 27/54 27/47 54/101
% 1st in 50% 57% 53%
1st pts 20/27 20/27 40/54
% 1st pts 74% 74% 74%
2nd pts 10/27 11/20 21/47
% 2nd pts 37% 55% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/14 5/15 11/29
Converted % 43% 33% 38%
Conceded 7 1 8
Saved 4/7 0/1 4
Saved % 57% 0% 19%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Herbert
R1
Perot
R2
Lajal
1/4
Droguet
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-61 4-6 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 20 23 26 69
pts 65-57 78-64 99-80 242-201
Total points 122 142 179 443
Winners 27 27 35 89
%Winners 42% 35% 35% 37%
SERVE
Aces 12 7 6 25
Double Faults 1 5 3 9
1st in 37/64 35/68 49/81 121/213
% 1st in 58% 51% 60% 57%
1st pts 27/37 27/35 35/49 89/121
% 1st pts 73% 77% 71% 74%
2nd pts 18/27 18/33 21/32 57/92
% 2nd pts 67% 55% 66% 62%
Breaks
Won 2 3 4 9
Converted 2/4 3/9 4/17 9/30
Converted % 50% 33% 24% 30%
Conceded 1 4 8 13
Saved 1/1 2/4 7/8 10
Saved % 100% 50% 88% 79%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Gaston
WWWWWWWWWW
Herbert
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
29 - 25
17 - 18
7-7
Hard
5-5
7-4
I Hard
5-3
12-12
Clay
5-8
3-2
Grass
2-2

Tennis Scores in St. Brieuc Challenger

  • Arthur Reymond/Luca SanchezReymond/Luca SanchezJoshua Paris/Marcus WillisParis/Marcus Willis (7-68 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw