Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse will square off in the semifinal of the Rio Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on QUADRA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Tabilo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Tabilo is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Tabilo -> 1.58
Ignacio Buse -> 2.375
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alejandro Tabilo vs. Ignacio Buse
This will be the 3rd time that Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Tabilo (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Tabilo won 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Rubber 5 in 2 back in 2024.
Alejandro Tabilo
14 - 6win/loss
31
19
LLLWWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37-26 | 12-10 | 25-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 27-23 | 20-13 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 13-8 | 15-10 | 3-7 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-26 | 13-5 | 39-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 7-6 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68, Tabilo got to the semifinal after beating Emilio Nava 6-3 6-3, Francesco Passaro 4-6 7-6(0) 6-2 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-1.
In the quarter, Alejandro defeated Agustin Tirante (7-62 6-76 6-1). During the match, Tabilo scored 111 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 92. The Chilean was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tabilo struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Tabilo was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (53/65) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Chilean broke Agustin Tirante 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tabilo has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
ATP Rio De Janeiro - Alejandro Tabilo's projected path
Tabilo has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (328-218). 10-2 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tabilo has a composed 196-118 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Alejandro’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Concepcion Challenger.
Tabilo has a composed 13-5 win-loss record in 2026, 10-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Ignacio Buse
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-21 | 9-5 | 19-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 49-28 | 6-5 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-28 | 3-3 | 44-24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-19 | 7-3 | 28-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-8 | 4-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91 (career-high), Ignacio got to the semifinal after defeating Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 4-6 7-5 6-4, Joao Fonseca 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Matteo Berrettini 6-3 2-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Ignacio defeated Berrettini (6-3 2-6 6-3). During the match Buse scored 85 points vs Berrettini’s 76. Buse was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Buse struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Ignacio Buse was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (37/51) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Peruvian broke Berrettini 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Buse has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
ATP Rio De Janeiro - Ignacio Buse's projected path
Ignacio has a composed 4-1 win-loss record in 2026, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Ignacio has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 89 |
| Pts | 265-207 | 281-265 |
| Total Points | 472 | 546 |
| Winners | 125 | 137 |
| %Winners | 47% | 49% |
Both Tabilo and Buse played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alejandro Tabilo conceded 2 sets, while Ignacio Buse surrendered 3 sets. Tabilo has played 1 set(s) less than Buse (8 vs 9). Therefore, Tabilo played 7 games less than Buse. Alejandro scored 125 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Ignacio bagged 137 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 150/217 | 186/287 |
| %1st in | 69% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 125/150 | 137/186 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 39/67 | 56/101 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 55% |
Tabilo struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Buse scored 14 aces (4.7 per match). Tabilo won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 42% |
| Conceded | 8 | 29 |
| Saved | 4 | 24 |
| % Saved | 50% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Chilean broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alejandro lost his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Buse broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tabilo | |||||
| R1 Nava |
R2 Passaro |
1/4 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 7-60 6-2 | 7-62 6-76 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 31 | 33 | 82 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 96-78 | 111-92 | 265-207 | |
| Total points | 95 | 174 | 203 | 472 | |
| Winners | 29 | 43 | 53 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 45% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/42 | 50/78 | 65/97 | 150/217 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 64% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 43/50 | 53/65 | 125/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 86% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/7 | 15/28 | 17/32 | 39/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 100% | 54% | 53% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/8 | 4/8 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 0/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 0% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Buse | |||||
| R1 Ribeiro Marcondes |
R2 Fonseca |
1/4 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 31 | 26 | 89 | |
| pts | 100-99 | 96-90 | 85-76 | 281-265 | |
| Total points | 199 | 186 | 161 | 546 | |
| Winners | 55 | 45 | 37 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 47% | 44% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 76/113 | 59/96 | 51/78 | 186/287 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 55/76 | 45/59 | 37/51 | 137/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 76% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 21/37 | 17/27 | 56/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 57% | 63% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/6 | 3/7 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 43% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 9 | 6 | 29 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 8/9 | 4/6 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 89% | 67% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Constantin Frantzen/Robin HaaseFrantzen/Robin Haase – Guido Andreozzi/Manuel GuinardAndreozzi/Manuel Guinard (7-615 2-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
