Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex De Minaur will face off in the final of the ABN AMRO Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.72
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 7th time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Auger-Aliassime won 4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(4) in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in 2025.
Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alex De Minaur – U.S. Open 03-September-2025
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-16 | 11-7 | 8-5 | 8-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Canadian reached the final after beating Alexei Popyrin 7-5 6-3, Hamad Medjedovic 6-4 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 7-6(2) 6-2 and Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, Felix had a good straight sets win against Bublik (6-1 6-2). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 56 points vs Bublik’s 28. Felix was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Auger-Aliassime bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 70% of his first serves in, win 96% (27/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Felix broke Bublik 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
ATP Rotterdam - Felix Auger-Aliassime's projected path
Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (367-214). 8-0 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has an overall 105-43 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Adrian Mannarino in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate 9-2 win-loss record in 2026, 8-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-18 | 13-9 | 7-6 | 5-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Australian reached the final after defeating Arthur Fils 7-6(3) 6-2, Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-2, Botic Van De Zandschulp 3-6 7-6(4) 7-5 and Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Alex had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-4 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 65 points vs Humbert’s 63. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex De Minaur conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 10 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Humbert 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Rotterdam - Alex De Minaur's projected path
Alex’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Rotterdam.
Alex has an aggregate 10-2 win-loss record in 2026, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024 and 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 92 |
| Pts | 261-194 | 309-265 |
| Total Points | 455 | 574 |
| Winners | 125 | 134 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Auger-Aliassime and De Minaur played 4 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur dropped 1 set while Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t dropped a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 1 set(s) less than De Minaur (8 vs 9). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 15 games less than De Minaur. The Canadian scored 125 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian fired 134 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 33 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 142/220 | 184/276 |
| %1st in | 65% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 125/142 | 134/184 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 42/78 | 58/92 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 63% |
Auger-Aliassime bagged 33 aces (8.3 per match). De Minaur blasted 10 aces (2.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 88% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 53% | 60% |
| Conceded | 4 | 20 |
| Saved | 4 | 16 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Felix broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. The Australian broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||||
| R1 Popyrin |
R2 Medjedovic |
1/4 Griekspoor |
1/2 Bublik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-62 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 77 | |
| pts | 65-53 | 65-57 | 75-56 | 56-28 | 261-194 | |
| Total points | 118 | 122 | 131 | 84 | 455 | |
| Winners | 34 | 30 | 34 | 27 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 46% | 45% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 41/61 | 36/56 | 37/63 | 28/40 | 142/220 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 59% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | 30/36 | 34/37 | 27/28 | 125/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | 92% | 96% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | 14/26 | 6/12 | 42/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 54% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/4 | 2/6 | 4/6 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | – | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| De Minaur | ||||||
| R1 Fils |
R2 Wawrinka |
1/4 Van De Zandschulp |
1/2 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 7-64 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 34 | 19 | 92 | |
| pts | 74-53 | 59-41 | 111-108 | 65-63 | 309-265 | |
| Total points | 127 | 100 | 219 | 128 | 574 | |
| Winners | 28 | 22 | 50 | 34 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% | 45% | 52% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 29/43 | 67/100 | 51/76 | 184/276 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 22/29 | 50/67 | 34/51 | 134/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 75% | 67% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/20 | 10/14 | 18/33 | 14/25 | 58/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 71% | 55% | 56% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 2/5 | 3/4 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 40% | 75% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/1 | 5/7 | 10/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 71% | 100% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (2-4) – H2H and prediction
