Alex De Minaur and Ugo Humbert will face off in the semifinal of the ABN AMRO Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.39
Ugo Humbert -> 2.98
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 8th time that Alex De Minaur and Ugo Humbert play each other. The head to head is 5-2 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, De Minaur won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the semifinal in S hertogenbosch back in 2024.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert – S hertogenbosch 15-June-2024
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-18 | 13-9 | 7-6 | 5-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Alex got to the semifinal after defeating Arthur Fils 7-6(3) 6-2, Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-2 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 3-6 7-6(4) 7-5.
In the quarter against Van De Zandschulp, The Australian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 7-5). During the match, De Minaur scored 111 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 108. De Minaur was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (50/67) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alex broke Van De Zandschulp twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
ATP Rotterdam - Alex De Minaur's projected path
De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (372-211). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has an overall 79-47 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Alex has a composed 9-2 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-21 | 8-10 | 5-5 | 4-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 25-20 | 8-9 | 2-5 | 11-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Humbert got to the semifinal after beating Daniil Medvedev 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3, Guy Den Ouden 6-4 6-3 and Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, Ugo had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-4 6-1). During the match Humbert scored 61 points vs O Connell’s 38. Ugo was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Humbert blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert was very effective on serve to win 96% (25/26) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke O Connell 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Rotterdam - Ugo Humbert's projected path
The French player best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Humbert has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2026, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021, 2022 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 67 |
| Pts | 244-202 | 224-184 |
| Total Points | 446 | 408 |
| Winners | 100 | 87 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both De Minaur and Humbert played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur conceded 1 set, while Ugo Humbert dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 7. However, De Minaur played 6 games more than Humbert. The Australian scored 100 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo fired 87 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 133/200 | 119/203 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 100/133 | 87/119 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 44/67 | 55/84 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 65% |
De Minaur scored 9 aces (3 per match). Humbert bagged 12 aces (4 per match). De Minaur won 75% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 60% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Australian broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Fils |
R2 Wawrinka |
1/4 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 7-64 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 34 | 73 | |
| pts | 74-53 | 59-41 | 111-108 | 244-202 | |
| Total points | 127 | 100 | 219 | 446 | |
| Winners | 28 | 22 | 50 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 29/43 | 67/100 | 133/200 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 22/29 | 50/67 | 100/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/20 | 10/14 | 18/33 | 44/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 71% | 55% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 2/5 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 40% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/1 | 5/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 71% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Humbert | |||||
| R1 Medvedev |
R2 Den |
1/4 O |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 3-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 19 | 17 | 67 | |
| pts | 101-99 | 62-47 | 61-38 | 224-184 | |
| Total points | 200 | 109 | 99 | 408 | |
| Winners | 43 | 19 | 25 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 31% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 63/98 | 30/56 | 26/49 | 119/203 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 54% | 53% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 43/63 | 19/30 | 25/26 | 87/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 63% | 96% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/35 | 18/26 | 13/23 | 55/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | 57% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 4/4 | 3/7 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 100% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 50% | – | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Rotterdam
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (3-6 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Sander Gille/Sem VerbeekGille/Sem Verbeek (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ray Ho/Hendrik JebensHo/Hendrik Jebens – Santiago Gonzalez/David PelGonzalez/David Pel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (3-6 7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Alexander BublikBublik (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Ugo HumbertHumbert (5-2) – H2H and prediction
