Adrian Mannarino and Martin Damm will square off in the semifinal of the Open Occitanie for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Martin Damm who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Martin Damm is the pick to win this match.
Martin Damm -> 1.6
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.33
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Martin Damm
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Martin Damm since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-28 | 4-12 | 0-8 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-37 | 16-16 | 5-9 | 0-6 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, Mannarino got to the semifinal after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-6(3) 6-1, Ugo Humbert 6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(4) and Arthur Gea 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Gea, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match, Mannarino and Gea scored the same amount of points (92). However, the world no. 70 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mannarino managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 70% of his first serves in, winning 75% (49/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino broke Gea 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Adrian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (268-266) in the last 10 years. 3-1 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mannarino has an aggregate 73-60 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The French player has a composed 3-4 win-loss record in 2026, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Martin Damm
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-24 | 10-10 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 52-20 | 36-13 | 0-2 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-20 | 7-7 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-29 | 30-14 | 9-8 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-23 | 17-12 | 10-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 160 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Martineau 7-6(7) 6-4, Clement Tabur 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 7-6(8), Hubert Hurkacz 7-6(5) 6-4, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-1 6-3 and Luca Nardi 6-3 7-6(8).
In the quarter, Damm had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-3 7-68). During the match Damm scored 74 points vs Nardi’s 54. Damm was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Damm fired 16 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Martin Damm was quite efficient on serve to win 92% (36/39) of his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Damm broke Nardi once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Damm started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The American has an aggregate 9-3 win-loss record in 2026, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Damm has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 123 |
| Pts | 278-252 | 411-358 |
| Total Points | 530 | 769 |
| Winners | 148 | 206 |
| %Winners | 53% | 50% |
Mannarino played 3 matches while Damm competed in 5 matches. Damm started his run from the qualifications while Mannarino had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Adrian Mannarino conceded 2 sets, while Martin Damm lost 1 set. Mannarino has played 3 set(s) less than Damm (8 vs 11). Therefore, Mannarino played 36 games less than Damm. Mannarino scored 148 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 206 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 89 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 17.8 |
| 1st in | 184/273 | 255/381 |
| %1st in | 67% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 148/184 | 206/255 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 47/89 | 80/126 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 63% |
Mannarino blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Damm fired 89 aces (17.8 per match). Mannarino won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Damm won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/17 | 7/27 |
| % Converted | 35% | 26% |
| Conceded | 14 | 9 |
| Saved | 12 | 9 |
| % Saved | 86% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The French player broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Mannarino lost his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 26% conversion rate. Martin was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 9 break points.
| Mannarino | |||||
| R1 Martinez Portero |
R2 Humbert |
1/4 Gea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 | 6-74 6-3 7-64 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 35 | 32 | 87 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 117-109 | 92-92 | 278-252 | |
| Total points | 120 | 226 | 184 | 530 | |
| Winners | 36 | 63 | 49 | 148 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 54% | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 7 | 3 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 44/65 | 75/115 | 65/93 | 184/273 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 70% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 63/75 | 49/65 | 148/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 84% | 75% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 21/40 | 13/28 | 47/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 53% | 46% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 1/9 | 3/5 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 11% | 60% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 3 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 9/9 | 1/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 33% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Damm | |||||||
| Q1 Martineau |
Q3 Tabur |
R1 Hurkacz |
R2 Bautista-Agut |
1/4 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-4 | 7-65 6-73 7-68 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 22 | 123 | |
| pts | 78-73 | 128-129 | 74-69 | 57-33 | 74-54 | 411-358 | |
| Total points | 151 | 257 | 143 | 90 | 128 | 769 | |
| Winners | 38 | 78 | 32 | 22 | 36 | 206 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 61% | 43% | 39% | 49% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 13 | 36 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 89 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 47/79 | 98/131 | 44/71 | 27/39 | 39/61 | 255/381 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 75% | 62% | 69% | 64% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 78/98 | 32/44 | 22/27 | 36/39 | 206/255 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 73% | 81% | 92% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 16/33 | 19/27 | 10/12 | 17/22 | 80/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 48% | 70% | 83% | 77% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 0/7 | 1/4 | 4/7 | 1/4 | 7/27 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 0% | 25% | 57% | 25% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | – | 100% | 133% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Montpellier
- Martin DammDamm – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-65 7-61) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Arthur GeaGea (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Arthur FilsFils (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Tomas Machac/Matej VocelMachac/Matej Vocel (w/o) – See score progression
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Tallon Griekspoor/Botic Van de ZandschulpGriekspoor/Botic Van de Zandschulp (w/o) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Arthur FilsFils (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6(5) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Titouan DroguetDroguet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
