Luca Nardi and Martin Damm will fight against each other in the quarter of the Open Occitanie for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Martin Damm who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Martin Damm is the pick to win this match.
Martin Damm -> 1.72
Luca Nardi -> 2.11
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Martin Damm
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Martin Damm since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14-18 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 30-30 | 14-13 | 8-9 | 8-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 6-3 and Flavio Cobolli 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Luca had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-2 6-3). During the match, Nardi scored 62 points vs Cobolli’s 42. Nardi was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi scored 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Luca Nardi was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nardi broke Cobolli 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (189-154). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has a compiled53-43 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Luca’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Manama Challenger.
Luca has a composed 6-4 win-loss record in 2026, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Martin Damm
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-24 | 10-10 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 52-20 | 36-13 | 0-2 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-20 | 7-7 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-29 | 30-14 | 9-8 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-23 | 17-12 | 10-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 160 (career-high), Martin reached the quarter after defeating Matteo Martineau 7-6(7) 6-4, Clement Tabur 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 7-6(8), Hubert Hurkacz 7-6(5) 6-4 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-1 6-3). During the match Damm scored 57 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 33. Damm was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Damm blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Martin Damm was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Martin broke Bautista-Agut 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Damm started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Martin has an aggregate 8-3 win-loss record in 2026, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 101 |
| Pts | 124-83 | 337-304 |
| Total Points | 207 | 641 |
| Winners | 43 | 170 |
| %Winners | 35% | 50% |
Nardi played 2 matches while Damm competed in 4 matches. Damm started his run from the qualifications while Nardi had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Martin Damm surrendered 1 set while Luca Nardi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nardi has played 5 set(s) less than Damm (4 vs 9). Therefore, Nardi played 66 games less than Damm. Nardi scored 43 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Damm fired 170 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 73 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 18.3 |
| 1st in | 55/92 | 216/320 |
| %1st in | 60% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 170/216 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 28/37 | 63/104 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 61% |
Nardi blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Damm managed to score 73 aces (18.3 per match). Nardi won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Damm won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 6/23 |
| % Converted | 39% | 26% |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Luca quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Martin broke his opponents 6 times with a 26% conversion rate. Martin was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| Nardi | ||||
| R1 Basilashvili |
R2 Cobolli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 35 | |
| pts | 62-41 | 62-42 | 124-83 | |
| Total points | 103 | 104 | 207 | |
| Winners | 22 | 21 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 27/46 | 55/92 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 21/27 | 43/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/18 | 13/19 | 28/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 68% | 76% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/9 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 44% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Damm | ||||||
| Q1 Martineau |
Q3 Tabur |
R1 Hurkacz |
R2 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-4 | 7-65 6-73 7-68 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 101 | |
| pts | 78-73 | 128-129 | 74-69 | 57-33 | 337-304 | |
| Total points | 151 | 257 | 143 | 90 | 641 | |
| Winners | 38 | 78 | 32 | 22 | 170 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 61% | 43% | 39% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 36 | 13 | 11 | 73 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 47/79 | 98/131 | 44/71 | 27/39 | 216/320 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 75% | 62% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 78/98 | 32/44 | 22/27 | 170/216 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 73% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 16/33 | 19/27 | 10/12 | 63/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 48% | 70% | 83% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 0/7 | 1/4 | 4/7 | 6/23 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 0% | 25% | 57% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | – | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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