Karen Khachanov and Luciano Darderi will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:30 am on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.36
Luciano Darderi -> 3.125
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Luciano Darderi
There is no head to head record between Karen Khachanov and Luciano Darderi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-19 | 11-10 | 7-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-24 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Khachanov reached the 3rd round after beating Alex Michelsen 4-6 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-3 and Nishesh Basavareddy 6-1 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Basavareddy (6-1 6-4 6-3). During the match, Khachanov scored 98 points vs Basavareddy’s 64. Khachanov was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Khachanov blasted 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Karen Khachanov was quite effective on serve to win 84% (41/49) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Basavareddy 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Khachanov has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (300-212). 2-1 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Khachanov has an aggregate 129-95 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Khachanov has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2026, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Luciano Darderi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-22 | 11-9 | 22-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 38-30 | 6-11 | 30-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-31 | 1-9 | 34-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 3-3 | 45-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 0-1 | 37-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Italian got to the 3rd round after defeating Cristian Garin 7-6(5) 7-5 7-6(3) and Sebastian Baez 6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian defeated Baez (6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Darderi scored 107 points vs Baez’s 102. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Darderi scored 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luciano Darderi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 64% (39/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (23/43) on the 2nd serve. Luciano broke Baez 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darderi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Luciano has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2026, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Khachanov | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 73 |
| Pts | 260-220 | 233-209 |
| Total Points | 480 | 442 |
| Winners | 126 | 87 |
| %Winners | 48% | 37% |
Both Khachanov and Darderi played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov lost 2 sets, while Luciano Darderi conceded 1 set. Khachanov has played 1 set more than Darderi (8 vs 7). Therefore, Khachanov played 3 games more than Darderi. Karen scored 126 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 87 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Khachanov | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 19.5 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 159/246 | 121/205 |
| %1st in | 65% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 126/159 | 87/121 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 46/87 | 50/84 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 60% |
Khachanov recorded 39 aces (19.5 per match). Darderi recorded 25 aces (12.5 per match). Khachanov won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Khachanov | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 9/25 |
| % Converted | 33% | 36% |
| Conceded | 17 | 14 |
| Saved | 15 | 7 |
| % Saved | 88% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
Karen broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Luciano broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. Darderi conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 Michelsen |
R2 Basavareddy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 50 | 26 | 76 | |
| pts | 162-156 | 98-64 | 260-220 | |
| Total points | 318 | 162 | 480 | |
| Winners | 85 | 41 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 42% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 24 | 15 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 110/176 | 49/70 | 159/246 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 85/110 | 41/49 | 126/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/66 | 14/21 | 46/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 67% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 5/12 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 42% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 11/13 | 4/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 85% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Darderi | ||||
| R1 Garin |
R2 Baez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-5 7-63 | 6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 35 | 73 | |
| pts | 126-107 | 107-102 | 233-209 | |
| Total points | 233 | 209 | 442 | |
| Winners | 48 | 39 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 10 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/101 | 61/104 | 121/205 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 48/60 | 39/61 | 87/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 64% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/41 | 23/43 | 50/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 53% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 6/14 | 9/25 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 43% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 5/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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