Arthur Cazaux and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the qualifications of the Brisbane International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 14. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Cazaux who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Arthur Cazaux is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Cazaux -> 1.51
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.35
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Arthur Cazaux vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 3rd time that Arthur Cazaux and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Cazaux and Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Cazaux won 6-1 6-3 6-3 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Arthur Cazaux vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – U.S. Open 26-August-2024
Arthur Cazaux
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-24 | 18-13 | 8-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-24 | 25-15 | 0-2 | 5-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-29 | 31-13 | 11-9 | 3-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-14 | 14-3 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, the French player reached the qualifications after defeating Martin Landaluce 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Arthur had a good straight sets win against Landaluce (6-3 6-2). During the match, Cazaux scored 68 points vs Landaluce’s 43. Cazaux was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cazaux bagged 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Arthur Cazaux was very effective on serve to win 83% (30/36) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Arthur broke Landaluce 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Cazaux has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (205-126). 1-0 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cazaux has a compiled119-53 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Cazaux has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-19 | 8-9 | 18-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93, the Spaniard reached the qualifications after defeating Mattia Bellucci 6-4 2-6 7-6(3).
In the qualifications, Carreno-Busta defeated Bellucci (6-4 2-6 7-63). During the match Carreno-Busta and Bellucci scored the same amount of points (90). However, the world no. 64 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (41/54) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Pablo broke Bellucci twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Carreno-Busta has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Carreno-Busta has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cazaux | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 |
| Pts | 68-43 | 90-90 |
| Total Points | 111 | 180 |
| Winners | 30 | 41 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Cazaux and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set while Arthur Cazaux hasn’t dropped a set so far. Cazaux has played 1 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (2 vs 3). Therefore, Cazaux played 14 games less than Carreno-Busta. Cazaux scored 30 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo scored 41 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cazaux | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 8 |
| 1st in | 36/46 | 54/89 |
| %1st in | 78% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 41/54 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 20/35 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 57% |
Cazaux made 9 aces . Carreno-Busta blasted 8 aces . Cazaux won 83% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cazaux | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The French player broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Cazaux quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Carreno-Busta broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cazaux | |||
| Q1 Landaluce |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 68-43 | 68-43 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/46 | 36/46 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 30/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| Q1 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 90-90 | 90-90 | |
| Total points | 180 | 180 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 54/89 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 41/54 | 41/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 20/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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