Elmer Moller and Daniel Merida Aguilar will square off in the semifinal of the Maia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elmer Moller who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elmer Moller is the pick to win this match.
Elmer Moller -> 1.78
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Elmer Moller vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar

There is no head to head record between Elmer Moller and Daniel Merida Aguilar since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Elmer Moller

Ranked no. 147, the Dane got to the semifinal after beating Pedro Araujo 6-4 6-4, Daniel Michalski 2-6 6-4 7-6(6) and Carlos Lopez Montagud 7-5 6-4.

In the quarter, Moller had a good straight sets win against Lopez Montagud (7-5 6-4). During the match, Moller scored 72 points vs Lopez Montagud’s 59. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moller scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Elmer Moller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Moller put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Moller broke Lopez Montagud 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moller has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Moller has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (184-98). 29-17 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moller has an aggregate126-57 record in the last 6 years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Oeiras 4 Challenger where he overcame Francisco Comesana in the final 6-0 6-4 and the Iasi Challenger where he beat Titouan Droguet in the final 3-6 6-1 7-6(2).

The Dane has an aggregate 32-26 win-loss record in 2025, 29-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 170, Daniel reached the semifinal after beating Gianluca Cadenasso 6-4 6-4, Andres Santamarta Roig 6-3 6-4 and Jan Choinski 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Choinski (6-3 7-5). During the match Merida scored 78 points vs Choinski’s 70. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Merida scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve once and he saved 18 break points. Furthermore, Merida put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Choinski 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he beat Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

Merida has an aggregate 50-24 win-loss record in 2025, 35-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moller	Merida
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	73	60
Pts	254-239	234-206
Total Points	493	440
Winners	90	111
%Winners	35%	47%

Both Moller and Merida played 3 matches. At the moment, Elmer Moller conceded 1 set while Daniel Merida Aguilar hasn’t lost a set so far. Moller has played 1 set more than Merida (7 vs 6). Therefore, Moller played 13 games more than Merida. Elmer scored 90 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel struck 111 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moller	Merida
Aces	5	4
Avg per match	1.7	1.3
1st in	136/226	157/239
%1st in	60%	66%
1st pts	90/136	111/157
%1st pts	66%	71%
2nd pts	37/90	38/82
%2nd pts	41%	46%

Moller struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Merida bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Moller won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Merida won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moller	Merida
Won	15	10
Converted	15/36	10/23
% Converted	42%	43%
Conceded	22	30
Saved	10	26
% Saved	45%	87%
Times Broken	12	4

Moller broke his opponents 15 times with a 42% conversion rate. Elmer conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded. Merida broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.

Moller
	R1 Araujo	R2 Michalski	1/4 Lopez	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	2-6 6-4 7-66	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	20	31	22	73
pts	73-64	109-116	72-59	254-239
Total points	137	225	131	493
Winners	27	37	26	90
%Winners	37%	34%	36%	35%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	1	5
Double Faults	1	5	4	10
1st in	40/60	56/102	40/64	136/226
% 1st in	67%	55%	63%	60%
1st pts	27/40	37/56	26/40	90/136
% 1st pts	68%	66%	65%	66%
2nd pts	7/20	17/46	13/24	37/90
% 2nd pts	35%	37%	54%	41%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	15
Converted	5/13	5/16	5/7	15/36
Converted %	38%	31%	71%	42%
Conceded	5	13	4	22
Saved	2/5	7/13	1/4	10
Saved %	40%	54%	25%	40%
Times Broken	3	6	3	12

Merida
	R1 Cadenasso	R2 Santamarta Roig	1/4 Choinski	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	19	21	60
pts	87-76	69-60	78-70	234-206
Total points	163	129	148	440
Winners	40	34	37	111
%Winners	46%	49%	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2	4
Double Faults	1	1	3	5
1st in	56/80	47/68	54/91	157/239
% 1st in	70%	69%	59%	66%
1st pts	40/56	34/47	37/54	111/157
% 1st pts	71%	72%	69%	71%
2nd pts	11/24	7/21	20/37	38/82
% 2nd pts	46%	33%	54%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/9	4/7	3/7	10/23
Converted %	33%	57%	43%	43%
Conceded	5	6	19	30
Saved	4/5	4/6	18/19	26
Saved %	80%	67%	95%	81%
Times Broken	1	2	1	4

Tennis Scores in Maia Challenger

• Andrej MartinMartin – Lilian MarmousezMarmousez (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander Donski/Tiago PereiraDonski/Tiago Pereira – Inigo Cervantes/David PichlerCervantes/David Pichler (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw